Projected Income Statement: Fastenal Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Fastenal Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 154 325 38.7 -55.8 -152 -154 -280 -311
Change - 111.04% -88.09% -244.19% -172.4% -1.45% -81.82% -11.07%
Announcement Date 19/01/22 19/01/23 18/01/24 17/01/25 20/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Fastenal Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 156.6 173.8 172.8 226.5 245.3 303.7 300.7 319.9
Change - 10.98% -0.58% 31.08% 8.3% 23.81% -1% 6.39%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 613.5 767.2 1,260 946.8 1,051 1,081 1,199 1,294
Change - 25.05% 64.22% -24.85% 10.96% 2.89% 10.93% 7.89%
Announcement Date 19/01/22 19/01/23 18/01/24 17/01/25 20/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Fastenal Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.09% 23.35% 23.22% 22.34% 22.38% 22.67% 22.73% 23.05%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.25% 20.82% 20.81% 20.01% 20.19% 20.61% 20.85% 20.94%
EBT Margin (%) 20.09% 20.63% 20.72% 19.99% 20.18% 20.55% 20.69% 20.8%
Net margin (%) 15.39% 15.57% 15.72% 15.25% 15.35% 15.61% 15.73% 15.77%
FCF margin (%) 10.21% 10.99% 17.15% 12.55% 12.81% 12.02% 12.3% 12.51%
FCF / Net Income (%) 66.32% 70.59% 109.08% 82.29% 83.49% 77.03% 78.22% 79.34%

Profitability

        
ROA 22.39% 24.57% 25.63% 25.12% 25.81% 26.29% 26.93% 27.4%
ROE 32.03% 35.03% 35.47% 33.04% 33.29% 33.92% 34.82% 34.14%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.11x 0.2x 0.02x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.25x 0.42x 0.03x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.61% 2.49% 2.35% 3% 2.99% 3.38% 3.08% 3.09%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.28% 10.66% 10.13% 13.44% 13.37% 14.9% 13.57% 13.42%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 25.53% 22.65% 13.72% 23.92% 23.35% 28.1% 25.07% 24.72%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.667 0.8174 1.25 1.022 1.127 1.197 1.359 1.42
Change - 22.55% 52.94% -18.29% 10.29% 6.27% 13.54% 4.46%
Dividend per Share 1 0.56 0.62 0.7 0.78 - 0.9374 1.017 1.045
Change - 10.71% 12.9% 11.43% - - 8.45% 2.76%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.643 2.748 2.927 3.154 3.435 3.71 3.995 4.42
Change - 3.95% 6.54% 7.74% 8.92% 8% 7.69% 10.64%
EPS 1 0.8 0.945 1.01 1 1.09 1.223 1.344 1.419
Change - 18.12% 6.88% -0.99% 9% 12.24% 9.87% 5.57%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,150,327 1,145,520 1,143,200 1,145,773 1,148,036 1,148,179 1,148,179 1,148,179
Announcement Date 19/01/22 19/01/23 18/01/24 17/01/25 20/01/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 39x 35.5x
PBR 12.9x 11.9x
EV / Sales 6.08x 5.59x
Yield 1.96% 2.13%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
47.73USD
Average target price
44.68USD
Spread / Average Target
-6.38%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. FAST Stock
  4. Financials Fastenal Company