Projected Income Statement: Essity AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 55,433 62,869 53,703 30,769 26,543 28,682 25,218 21,279
Change - 13.41% -14.58% -42.71% -13.73% 8.06% -12.08% -15.62%
Announcement Date 26/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,358 6,949 6,850 7,396 7,090 7,962 8,054 7,976
Change - -5.56% -1.42% 7.97% -4.14% 12.3% 1.16% -0.98%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,309 5,925 12,227 9,773 8,369 10,002 11,786 13,074
Change - -18.94% 106.36% -20.07% -14.37% 19.51% 17.85% 10.92%
Announcement Date 26/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.44% 13.06% 17.01% 18.22% 18.57% 17.73% 18.35% 18.76%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.53% 7.65% 12.09% 13.22% 13.38% 12.91% 13.5% 13.96%
EBT Margin (%) 10.29% 5.19% 8.69% 11.24% 12.39% 11.57% 12.42% 12.9%
Net margin (%) 7.07% 3.56% 6.49% 14.35% 9.14% 8.62% 9.24% 9.61%
FCF margin (%) 6% 3.79% 8.31% 6.71% 6.04% 7.13% 8.11% 8.77%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.79% 106.43% 127.98% 46.79% 66.13% 82.73% 87.81% 91.25%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.23% 2.89% 4.62% 10.76% 7.18% 7.17% 7.47% 7.83%
ROE 15% 8.1% 12.5% 13.4% 15.2% 14.29% 14.68% 14.67%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.77x 3.08x 2.15x 1.16x 1.03x 1.15x 0.95x 0.76x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.58x 10.61x 4.39x 3.15x 3.17x 2.87x 2.14x 1.63x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.04% 4.45% 4.66% 5.08% 5.12% 5.68% 5.54% 5.35%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.72% 34.08% 27.37% 27.89% 27.56% 32.01% 30.2% 28.51%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.67% 117.28% 56.02% 75.68% 84.72% 79.61% 68.33% 61.01%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 20.89 18.33 27.16 24.52 22.44 26.72 29.31 31.58
Change - -12.26% 48.18% -9.74% -8.48% 19.08% 9.69% 7.75%
Dividend per Share 1 7 7.25 7.75 8.25 8.75 9.185 9.734 10.27
Change - 3.57% 6.9% 6.45% 6.06% 4.97% 5.97% 5.51%
Book Value Per Share 1 85.29 95.89 100.9 126.1 124.3 133.5 143.4 155
Change - 12.42% 5.2% 25.01% -1.45% 7.43% 7.38% 8.11%
EPS 1 12.27 7.93 13.6 29.83 18.37 17.8 20 21.5
Change - -35.37% 71.5% 119.34% -38.42% -3.09% 12.37% 7.46%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 702,342 702,342 702,342 694,998 683,049 679,502 679,502 679,502
Announcement Date 26/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.6x 13.9x
PBR 2.07x 1.93x
EV / Sales 1.55x 1.47x
Yield 3.31% 3.51%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
277.20SEK
Average target price
271.13SEK
Spread / Average Target
-2.19%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise