Projected Income Statement: CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -11,298 -11,467 -13,738 -8,238 -9,670 -11,217 -14,285 -17,426
Change - -1.5% -19.8% 40.03% -17.38% -16% -27.35% -21.99%
Announcement Date 22/03/22 22/03/23 20/03/24 28/03/25 25/03/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,914 2,517 1,754 2,145 2,245 2,715 2,674 2,741
Change - 31.47% -30.29% 22.26% 4.68% 20.91% -1.49% 2.49%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,787 6,129 2,761 2,682 4,438 7,639 6,642 6,905
Change - 61.85% -54.95% -2.87% 65.48% 72.15% -13.05% 3.95%
Announcement Date 22/03/22 22/03/23 20/03/24 28/03/25 25/03/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 27.49% 25.92% 25.21% 24.31% 24.27% 35.77% 26.57% 27.98%
EBIT Margin (%) 24.38% 22.53% 21.65% 19.69% 18.84% 31.78% 22.27% 22.15%
EBT Margin (%) 24.57% 24.51% 23.5% 19.23% 18.49% 32.88% 24.37% 24.64%
Net margin (%) 20.11% 19.69% 18.68% 14.92% 14.93% 26.54% 19.58% 19.78%
FCF margin (%) 11.04% 17.37% 8.08% 8.64% 15.03% 19.83% 18.64% 18.26%
FCF / Net Income (%) 54.87% 88.2% 43.26% 57.89% 100.66% 74.7% 95.23% 92.34%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.3% 15.96% 13.34% 9.55% 8.52% 17.73% 12.03% 12.03%
ROE 23.2% 21.73% 18.53% 13.22% 11.86% 24.36% 15.16% 14.95%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.58% 7.13% 5.13% 6.91% 7.6% 7.05% 7.5% 7.25%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 20.3% 27.51% 20.37% 28.42% 31.32% 19.7% 28.25% 25.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 50.55% 41.06% 63.55% 79.99% 50.6% 35.54% 40.26% 39.7%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.4769 0.7254 0.3804 0.4112 0.585 0.9163 0.7874 0.6899
Change - 52.09% -47.56% 8.1% 42.28% 56.63% -14.07% -12.38%
Dividend per Share 1 0.18 0.21 0.28 0.26 0.29 0.445 0.364 0.388
Change - 16.67% 33.33% -7.14% 11.54% 53.44% -18.19% 6.58%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.673 2.872 3.039 2.944 3.29 3.913 4.177 4.506
Change - 7.46% 5.82% -3.14% 11.75% 18.94% 6.76% 7.86%
EPS 1 0.5773 0.5831 0.5376 0.3946 0.3859 0.8966 0.5985 0.6395
Change - 1% -7.8% -26.6% -2.21% 132.36% -33.25% 6.84%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 11,916,370 11,915,520 11,848,756 11,541,665 11,433,025 11,433,025 11,433,025 11,433,025
Announcement Date 22/03/22 22/03/23 20/03/24 28/03/25 25/03/26 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.87x 14.8x
PBR 2.26x 2.12x
EV / Sales 2.33x 2.44x
Yield 5.03% 4.11%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
24
Last Close Price
8.850HKD
Average target price
12.54HKD
Spread / Average Target
+41.67%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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