Projected Income Statement: Covivio

Forecast Balance Sheet: Covivio

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 10,972 - 6,925 6,845 7,061 8,168 8,277 8,172
Change - - - -1.16% 3.16% 15.68% 1.33% -1.27%
Announcement Date 22/02/22 21/02/23 15/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Covivio

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 697.5 484.5 595.8 579.6 466.5 441.5 250.5
Change - - 22.97% -2.72% -19.51% -5.36% -43.26%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 716.3 347.2 384.7 240 -212 -218 56
Change - - 10.8% -37.61% -188.33% -2.83% 125.69%
Announcement Date 22/02/22 15/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Covivio

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 91.76% 88.05% 89.51% 58.7% 101.29% 74.9% 66.33% 75.73%
EBIT Margin (%) 83.75% 85.28% 86.09% 57.18% 96.99% 76.31% 70.08% 83.97%
EBT Margin (%) 170.55% 117.3% -252.45% 7.53% 98.57% 52.6% 53.98% 79.38%
Net margin (%) 155.33% 102.29% -230.47% 6.81% 116.37% 85.85% 64.39% 67.74%
FCF margin (%) 120.47% - 56.4% 38.47% 37.81% -23.03% -20.04% 5.51%
FCF / Net Income (%) 77.56% - -24.47% 564.9% 32.49% -26.83% -31.12% 8.14%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.48% - 1.65% 1.91% 2.94% 2.97% 3.05% 3.16%
ROE 4.62% - 5% 5.9% 6.02% 6.07% 6.01% 5.94%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 20.11x - 12.57x 11.66x 10.98x 11.85x 11.47x 10.62x
Debt / Free cash flow 15.32x - 19.95x 17.79x 29.42x -38.53x -37.97x 145.92x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 117.31% - 78.7% 59.58% 91.3% 50.68% 40.58% 24.66%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 127.84% - 87.93% 101.5% 90.14% 67.67% 61.18% 32.56%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 97.37% - 139.54% 154.87% 241.5% -220.05% -202.52% 447.32%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.903 - 8.531 8.074 8.251 5.132 5.186 5.207
Change - - - -5.36% 2.18% -37.79% 1.04% 0.41%
Dividend per Share 1 3.75 3.75 3.3 3.5 3.75 3.911 4.002 4.143
Change - 0% -12% 6.06% 7.14% 4.29% 2.34% 3.52%
Book Value Per Share 1 90.97 100.6 81.62 73.9 77.3 87.88 90.32 93.72
Change - 10.63% -18.9% -9.46% 4.6% 13.68% 2.79% 3.76%
EPS 1 9.791 6.606 -14.55 0.637 6.667 5.615 5.962 7.041
Change - -32.53% -320.31% 104.38% 946.69% -15.79% 6.18% 18.1%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 94,369 93,764 100,084 110,805 110,750 110,776 110,776 110,776
Announcement Date 22/02/22 21/02/23 15/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.46x 8.91x
PBR 0.6x 0.59x
EV / Sales 15.3x 13x
Yield 7.36% 7.54%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
53.10EUR
Average target price
62.84EUR
Spread / Average Target
+18.34%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise