Projected Income Statement: Constellium

Forecast Balance Sheet: Constellium

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,982 1,891 1,664 1,697 1,544 1,377 1,087 453
Change - -4.59% -12% 1.98% -9.02% -10.8% -21.06% -58.33%
Announcement Date 23/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 20/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Constellium

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 232 273 337 394.7 279.3 288.6 281.1 280
Change - 17.67% 23.44% 17.11% -29.24% 3.32% -2.58% -0.39%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 125 182 170 -95.56 150.6 280.3 256.8 323.7
Change - 45.6% -6.59% -156.21% 257.64% 86.09% -8.41% 26.06%
Announcement Date 23/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 20/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Constellium

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.44% 8.29% 9.85% 8.47% 10.01% 9.22% 8.81% 9.66%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.1% 4.11% 4.66% 3.34% 6.12% 6.94% 5.73% 6.38%
EBT Margin (%) 5.15% 2.5% 2.71% 1.84% 4.83% 6.26% 4.76% 5.46%
Net margin (%) 4.18% 3.71% 1.73% 0.76% 3.23% 4.5% 3.34% 3.58%
FCF margin (%) 2.03% 2.24% 2.35% -1.36% 2.11% 3.07% 2.74% 3.53%
FCF / Net Income (%) 48.64% 60.47% 136% -178.57% 65.26% 68.17% 81.95% 98.42%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.87% 6.29% 3.45% 1.16% 5.41% 8.17% 5.99% -
ROE 329.51% 57.72% 21.07% 7.87% 32.93% 41.61% 25.7% 21.06%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.41x 2.81x 2.33x 2.85x 2.16x 1.63x 1.32x 0.51x
Debt / Free cash flow 15.86x 10.39x 9.79x -17.76x 10.25x 4.91x 4.23x 1.4x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.77% 3.36% 4.66% 5.62% 3.91% 3.16% 3% 3.05%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 39.93% 40.56% 47.27% 66.29% 39.04% 34.24% 34% 31.56%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 185.6% 150% 198.24% -413% 185.39% 102.94% 109.49% 86.52%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.426 3.076 3.391 1.943 2.916 4.304 4.55 -
Change - 26.82% 10.22% -42.68% 50.03% 47.6% 5.72% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 1.93 5.066 5.742 4.391 5.768 8.536 10.85 14.34
Change - 162.48% 13.34% -23.52% 31.36% 47.98% 27.09% 32.2%
EPS 1 1.75 2.06 0.84 0.3631 1.623 2.933 2.241 2.484
Change - 17.71% -59.22% -56.77% 347.05% 80.66% -23.58% 10.83%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 141,677 144,302 146,820 146,266 137,802 136,150 136,150 136,150
Announcement Date 23/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 20/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.38x 11x
PBR 2.88x 2.27x
EV / Sales 0.52x 0.47x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
24.57EUR
Average target price
32.56EUR
Spread / Average Target
+32.50%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise