Projected Income Statement: Calbee, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Calbee, Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -57,022 -30,318 -17,260 -20,201 -23,511 -8,350 -5,819 -7,765
Change - 46.83% 43.07% -17.04% -16.39% 64.48% 30.31% -33.44%
Announcement Date 10/05/22 09/05/23 09/05/24 12/05/25 14/05/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Calbee, Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 12,491 26,716 31,186 29,513 24,972 27,667 33,333 30,000
Change - 113.88% 16.73% -5.36% -15.39% 10.79% 20.48% -10%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 9,836 -7,406 -10,957 10,496 9,385 7,200 10,433 17,300
Change - -175.29% -47.95% 195.79% -10.58% -23.28% 44.91% 65.81%
Announcement Date 10/05/22 09/05/23 09/05/24 12/05/25 14/05/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Calbee, Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.73% 12.27% 13.19% 13.44% 12.72% 11.9% 12.67% 13.17%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.24% 7.96% 9.01% 9.01% 7.69% 7.27% 7.9% 8.31%
EBT Margin (%) 10.9% 8.11% 9.97% 9.11% 7.7% 7.31% 7.99% 8.4%
Net margin (%) 7.36% 5.29% 6.56% 6.47% 5.09% 4.85% 5.26% 5.5%
FCF margin (%) 4.01% -2.65% -3.62% 3.25% 2.76% 1.95% 2.77% 4.44%
FCF / Net Income (%) 54.48% -50.14% -55.1% 50.28% 54.16% 40.27% 52.65% 80.65%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.33% 9.86% 11.73% 9.76% 8.38% 6.4% 6.7% 7.13%
ROE 10.3% 8.5% 10.9% 10.5% 8.3% 8.35% 9.25% 9.23%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.09% 9.56% 10.29% 9.15% 7.34% 7.51% 8.85% 7.7%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.56% 77.98% 78.01% 68.06% 57.72% 63.12% 69.85% 58.43%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 126.99% -360.73% -284.62% 281.18% 266.08% 384.26% 319.49% 173.41%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 205.6 193.5 244 264.3 259.6 - - -
Change - -5.89% 26.13% 8.31% -1.78% - - -
Dividend per Share 1 52 52 56 58 66 69 72.15 76.1
Change - 0% 7.69% 3.57% 13.79% 4.55% 4.57% 5.47%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,358 1,394 1,535 1,642 1,732 1,812 1,838 2,021
Change - 2.61% 10.17% 6.95% 5.47% 4.63% 1.44% 9.92%
EPS 1 136.2 115.2 159.2 167.1 140 147.5 164 177.7
Change - -15.48% 38.26% 4.96% -16.23% 5.37% 11.21% 8.35%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 129,586 124,918 124,925 124,937 121,588 121,588 121,588 121,588
Announcement Date 10/05/22 09/05/23 09/05/24 12/05/25 14/05/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 20x 18x
PBR 1.63x 1.61x
EV / Sales 0.95x 0.94x
Yield 2.34% 2.44%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
2,954.00JPY
Average target price
3,016.67JPY
Spread / Average Target
+2.12%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise