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Real-time Estimate
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 2,020.50 GBX | +1.79% |
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-3.21% | +17.91% |
| 12:22pm | BAE Systems says Silchester informed it holds no notifiable stake since December 2023 | RE |
| 12:14pm | FTSE 100 rises as private sector growth picks up | AN |
Projected Income Statement: BAE Systems plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 20,862 | 21,310 | 23,256 | 25,284 | 28,335 | 30,608 | 32,836 | 35,420 |
| Change | - | 2.15% | 9.13% | 8.72% | 12.07% | 8.02% | 7.28% | 7.87% |
| EBITDA 1 | 2,807 | 2,925 | 3,246 | 3,469 | 4,112 | 4,253 | 4,601 | 4,991 |
| Change | - | 4.2% | 10.97% | 6.87% | 18.54% | 3.42% | 8.18% | 8.49% |
| EBIT 1 | 2,132 | 2,205 | 2,479 | 2,682 | 3,015 | 3,292 | 3,609 | 3,939 |
| Change | - | 3.42% | 12.43% | 8.19% | 12.42% | 9.2% | 9.62% | 9.14% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -334 | -279 | -395 | -247 | -353 | -373.6 | -365.7 | -347.8 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,596 | 2,110 | 1,989 | 2,326 | 2,332 | 2,555 | 2,901 | 3,208 |
| Change | - | 32.21% | -5.73% | 16.94% | 0.26% | 9.57% | 13.53% | 10.59% |
| Net income 1 | 1,299 | 1,758 | 1,591 | 1,857 | 1,956 | 2,120 | 2,356 | 2,643 |
| Change | - | 35.33% | -9.5% | 16.72% | 5.33% | 8.39% | 11.14% | 12.18% |
| Announcement Date | 25/02/21 | 24/02/22 | 23/02/23 | 21/02/24 | 19/02/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: BAE Systems plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 3,723 | 2,160 | 2,023 | 2,464 | 6,875 | 6,469 | 6,220 | 5,517 |
| Change | - | -41.98% | -6.34% | 21.8% | 179.02% | -5.91% | -3.85% | -11.3% |
| Announcement Date | 25/02/21 | 24/02/22 | 23/02/23 | 21/02/24 | 19/02/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: BAE Systems plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 385 | 366 | 599 | 789 | 990 | 1,124 | 1,195 | 1,255 |
| Change | - | -4.94% | 63.66% | 31.72% | 25.48% | 13.54% | 6.33% | 4.99% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 781 | 1,864 | 2,146 | 2,593 | 2,505 | 1,491 | 2,300 | 2,708 |
| Change | - | 138.67% | 15.13% | 20.83% | -3.39% | -40.5% | 54.29% | 17.75% |
| Announcement Date | 25/02/21 | 24/02/22 | 23/02/23 | 21/02/24 | 19/02/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: BAE Systems plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 13.46% | 13.73% | 13.96% | 13.72% | 14.51% | 13.89% | 14.01% | 14.09% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 10.22% | 10.35% | 10.66% | 10.61% | 10.64% | 10.76% | 10.99% | 11.12% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 7.65% | 9.9% | 8.55% | 9.2% | 8.23% | 8.35% | 8.83% | 9.06% |
| Net margin (%) | 6.23% | 8.25% | 6.84% | 7.34% | 6.9% | 6.93% | 7.18% | 7.46% |
| FCF margin (%) | 3.74% | 8.75% | 9.23% | 10.26% | 8.84% | 4.87% | 7% | 7.65% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 60.12% | 106.03% | 134.88% | 139.63% | 128.07% | 70.3% | 97.6% | 102.45% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 4.89% | 6.43% | 5.9% | 6.03% | 5.88% | 5.67% | 6.07% | 6.58% |
| ROE | 26.32% | 29.11% | 18.53% | 17.6% | 18.62% | 18.4% | 19.08% | 19.74% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.33x | 0.74x | 0.62x | 0.71x | 1.67x | 1.52x | 1.35x | 1.11x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 4.77x | 1.16x | 0.94x | 0.95x | 2.74x | 4.34x | 2.7x | 2.04x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 1.85% | 1.72% | 2.58% | 3.12% | 3.49% | 3.67% | 3.64% | 3.54% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 13.72% | 12.51% | 18.45% | 22.74% | 24.08% | 26.43% | 25.98% | 25.14% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 49.3% | 19.64% | 27.91% | 30.43% | 39.52% | 75.41% | 51.97% | 46.34% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.3632 | 0.7621 | 0.9004 | 1.224 | 1.286 | 0.8918 | 1.037 | 1.179 |
| Change | - | 109.8% | 18.15% | 35.94% | 5.04% | -30.63% | 16.25% | 13.74% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.237 | 0.251 | 0.27 | 0.3 | 0.33 | 0.3571 | 0.3975 | 0.4465 |
| Change | - | 5.91% | 7.57% | 11.11% | 10% | 8.2% | 11.31% | 12.33% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 1.39 | 2.333 | 3.644 | 3.456 | 3.855 | 4.143 | 4.483 | 4.893 |
| Change | - | 67.82% | 56.18% | -5.15% | 11.54% | 7.45% | 8.22% | 9.13% |
| EPS 1 | 0.405 | 0.547 | 0.505 | 0.604 | 0.641 | 0.7023 | 0.7915 | 0.8936 |
| Change | - | 35.06% | -7.68% | 19.6% | 6.13% | 9.56% | 12.7% | 12.91% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 3,215,557 | 3,161,416 | 3,070,678 | 3,025,615 | 2,983,629 | 2,976,331 | 2,976,331 | 2,976,331 |
| Announcement Date | 25/02/21 | 24/02/22 | 23/02/23 | 21/02/24 | 19/02/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 28.3x | 25.1x |
| PBR | 4.79x | 4.43x |
| EV / Sales | 2.14x | 1.99x |
| Yield | 1.8% | 2% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
This super rating is the result of a weighted average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Global Valuation (Composite), EPS Revisions (4 months), and Visibility (Composite). We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.
Investor
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Global
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Quality
This composite rating is the result of an average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Capital Efficiency (Composite), Quality of Financial Reporting (Composite), and Financial Health (Composite). The company must be covered by at least 2 of these 3 ratings for the calculation to be performed. We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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