Projected Income Statement: ASOS Plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -200 153 320 297 185 178 116 67.6
Change - 176.5% 109.15% -7.19% -37.71% -3.63% -34.83% -41.72%
Announcement Date 11/10/21 19/10/22 01/11/23 05/11/24 21/11/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 157.1 182.9 177.9 133.5 85.9 90.88 95.28 96.56
Change - 16.42% -2.73% -24.96% -35.66% 5.8% 4.84% 1.34%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 58 -303.3 -161.5 94.5 14.1 -17.44 43.86 33.82
Change - -622.93% 46.75% 158.51% -85.08% -223.69% 351.46% -22.89%
Announcement Date 11/10/21 19/10/22 01/11/23 05/11/24 21/11/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.33% 3.56% 3.51% 2.76% 5.31% 7.38% 7.82% 8.12%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.28% 1.12% -0.82% -2.8% -1.3% 0.1% 0.85% 1.45%
EBT Margin (%) 4.53% -0.81% -8.36% -13.05% -11.36% -1.75% -1.96% -1.16%
Net margin (%) 3.28% -0.78% -6.29% -11.66% -12.04% -1.02% -1.49% -0.89%
FCF margin (%) 1.48% -7.7% -4.55% 3.25% 0.57% -0.78% 1.93% 1.46%
FCF / Net Income (%) 45.17% 984.74% 72.39% -27.9% -4.73% 76.06% -129.86% -164.08%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.76% 0.72% -1.88% -5.04% -4.86% -5.46% -1.5% -0.64%
ROE 15.22% 2.07% -5.62% -17.78% -26.14% -27.65% -11.26% -5.12%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 1.09x 2.57x 3.71x 1.4x 1.07x 0.65x 0.36x
Debt / Free cash flow - -0.5x -1.98x 3.14x 13.1x -10.19x 2.64x 2x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.02% 4.65% 5.01% 4.59% 3.47% 4.04% 4.2% 4.15%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 48.25% 130.64% 142.89% 166.67% 65.27% 54.78% 53.74% 51.19%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 270.86% -60.3% -110.15% 141.27% 609.22% -521.09% 217.27% 285.53%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.025 -1.208 0.1566 1.915 1.334 0.9331 1.299 1.216
Change - -159.63% 112.97% 1,122.61% -30.34% -30.04% 39.19% -6.34%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 10.38 10.18 8.276 4.375 1.78 1.989 1.886 2.243
Change - -1.95% -18.71% -47.14% -59.3% 11.68% -5.17% 18.95%
EPS 1 1.255 -0.309 -2.13 -2.844 -2.501 -0.1928 -0.2826 -0.174
Change - -124.62% -589.32% -33.52% 12.06% 92.29% -46.61% 38.45%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 99,592 99,704 119,008 119,106 119,347 119,720 119,720 119,720
Announcement Date 11/10/21 19/10/22 01/11/23 05/11/24 21/11/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -26.4x -18x
PBR 2.55x 2.69x
EV / Sales 0.35x 0.32x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
5.080GBP
Average target price
4.491GBP
Spread / Average Target
-11.60%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise