Projected Income Statement: Almarai Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Almarai Company

Forecast Balance Sheet - Almarai Company
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,203 9,521 9,887 10,140 12,516 13,635 13,662 13,124
Change - 3.46% 3.84% 2.56% 23.43% 8.94% 0.2% -3.94%
Announcement Date 23/01/22 23/01/23 21/01/24 20/01/25 18/01/26 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Almarai Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,088 1,301 2,506 4,834 5,387 4,166 3,552 3,072
Change - 19.55% 92.68% 92.92% 11.43% -22.67% -14.73% -13.52%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,827 2,529 1,977 1,194 -503.2 1,206 2,030 2,962
Change - -33.93% -21.83% -39.59% -142.14% 339.56% 68.38% 45.91%
Announcement Date 23/01/22 23/01/23 21/01/24 20/01/25 18/01/26 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Almarai Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.9% 22.73% 23.2% 23.31% 25.38% 21.77% 22.12% 22.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.33% 13.12% 14.26% 15.07% 14.03% 13.19% 13.39% 13.57%
EBT Margin (%) 10.52% 9.88% 11.06% 11.74% 11.77% 10.91% 11.12% 11.44%
Net margin (%) 9.87% 9.4% 10.47% 11.03% 11.13% 10.12% 10.41% 10.78%
FCF margin (%) 24.15% 13.51% 10.1% 5.69% -2.28% 4.98% 7.9% 10.82%
FCF / Net Income (%) 244.71% 143.7% 96.47% 51.62% -20.49% 49.2% 75.9% 100.38%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.88% 5.51% 6% 6.45% 6.5% 6.15% 6.4% 6.43%
ROE 9.83% 10.73% 11.89% 12.64% 12.49% 11.94% 12.12% 12.68%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.43x 2.24x 2.18x 2.07x 2.24x 2.59x 2.4x 2.14x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.4x 3.77x 5x 8.49x -24.87x 11.31x 6.73x 4.43x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.86% 6.95% 12.8% 23.04% 24.41% 17.2% 13.83% 11.22%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.72% 30.56% 55.18% 98.86% 96.19% 79.02% 62.51% 50.2%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 28.42% 51.43% 126.77% 404.87% -1,070.44% 345.55% 175% 103.72%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.915 3.829 4.483 6.028 5.463 4.715 5.187 5.593
Change - -22.09% 17.06% 34.49% -9.38% -13.69% 10.02% 7.83%
Dividend per Share 1 1 1 1 1 1.15 1.176 1.234 1.376
Change - 0% 0% 0% 15% 2.3% 4.89% 11.52%
Book Value Per Share 1 16.12 16.67 17.8 18.79 20.53 21.74 23.09 24.16
Change - 3.43% 6.76% 5.58% 9.24% 5.92% 6.22% 4.6%
EPS 1 1.59 1.76 2.05 2.31 2.48 2.483 2.67 2.947
Change - 10.69% 16.48% 12.68% 7.36% 0.11% 7.54% 10.38%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000
Announcement Date 23/01/22 23/01/23 21/01/24 20/01/25 18/01/26 - - -
1SAR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 16.6x 15.4x
PBR 1.89x 1.78x
EV / Sales 2.26x 2.13x
Yield 2.86% 3%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Almarai Company


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Almarai Company
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Almarai Company
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
MarketScreener Ratings - Almarai Company
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
41.14SAR
Average target price
55.49SAR
Spread / Average Target
+34.89%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Almarai Company
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