Projected Income Statement: adidas AG

Forecast Balance Sheet: adidas AG

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -1,333 2,675 1,548 3,132 3,937 3,830 3,673 3,426
Change - 300.68% -42.13% 102.33% 25.7% -2.72% -4.1% -6.72%
Announcement Date 09/03/22 08/03/23 31/01/24 04/03/25 03/03/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: adidas AG

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 667 695 504 540 363 540.2 580.1 609.4
Change - 4.2% -27.48% 7.14% -32.78% 48.82% 7.39% 5.04%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,525 -1,238 2,126 2,370 388 2,183 2,434 2,743
Change - -149.03% 271.73% 11.48% -83.63% 462.65% 11.48% 12.72%
Announcement Date 09/03/22 08/03/23 31/01/24 04/03/25 03/03/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: adidas AG

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.76% 9.08% 6.91% 10.75% 12.94% 13.22% 14.23% 14.65%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.35% 2.97% 1.25% 5.65% 8.29% 9.07% 10.06% 10.67%
EBT Margin (%) 8.72% 1.72% 0.3% 4.73% 7.34% 8.28% 9.55% 10.2%
Net margin (%) 9.97% 2.72% -0.35% 3.23% 5.4% 5.98% 6.89% 7.47%
FCF margin (%) 11.89% -5.5% 9.92% 10.01% 1.56% 5.69% 6.41% 8.92%
FCF / Net Income (%) 119.33% -202.29% -2,834.67% 310.21% 28.96% 95.22% 93.03% 119.46%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.8% 2.88% -0.39% 3.95% 6.55% 7.92% 9.66% 11.13%
ROE 30.29% 9.78% -1.57% 15.19% 23.82% 26.84% 29.38% 31.05%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 1.31x 1.05x 1.23x 1.23x 1.08x 0.93x 0.76x
Debt / Free cash flow - -2.16x 0.73x 1.32x 10.15x 1.75x 1.51x 1.25x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.14% 3.09% 2.35% 2.28% 1.46% 1.99% 2.01% 1.75%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 21.28% 34% 34.05% 21.22% 11.31% 15.05% 14.16% 11.92%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 26.42% -56.14% 23.71% 22.78% 93.56% 24.75% 23.84% 19.58%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 16.44 -2.963 14.73 16.3 4.206 12.04 14.16 16.79
Change - -118.02% 597.12% 10.64% -74.19% 186.26% 17.62% 18.6%
Dividend per Share 1 3.3 0.7 0.7 2 2.8 3.674 4.444 5.114
Change - -78.79% 0% 185.71% 40% 31.22% 20.97% 15.07%
Book Value Per Share 1 38.72 27.96 25.65 30.67 32.33 35.58 41.36 45.31
Change - -27.81% -8.24% 19.56% 5.41% 10.05% 16.25% 9.54%
EPS 1 10.9 3.34 -0.42 4.28 7.51 9.402 11.66 13.82
Change - -69.36% -112.57% 1,119.05% 75.47% 25.19% 23.99% 18.55%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 191,595 193,215 178,549 178,549 178,549 173,979 173,979 173,979
Announcement Date 09/03/22 08/03/23 31/01/24 04/03/25 03/03/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 17.4x 14.1x
PBR 4.61x 3.97x
EV / Sales 1.1x 1.01x
Yield 2.24% 2.71%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
30
Last Close Price
164.05EUR
Average target price
202.27EUR
Spread / Average Target
+23.30%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise