Projected Income Statement: Yum China Holdings, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Yum China Holdings, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -3,956 -3,110 -2,388 -1,668 -1,384 -1,546 -1,588 -1,565
Change - 21.39% 23.22% 30.15% 17.03% -11.71% -2.72% 1.45%
Announcement Date 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 06/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Yum China Holdings, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 689 679 710 705 626 654.7 665.2 676.4
Change - -1.45% 4.57% -0.7% -11.21% 4.58% 1.6% 1.69%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 442 734 763 714 840 1,099 1,089 1,193
Change - 66.06% 3.95% -6.42% 17.65% 30.8% -0.91% 9.59%
Announcement Date 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 06/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Yum China Holdings, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.5% 13.44% 14.67% 14.93% 15.09% 15.51% 15.65% 15.71%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.07% 6.57% 10.07% 10.28% 10.93% 11.24% 11.54% 11.72%
EBT Margin (%) 14.13% 7.18% 11.17% 11.78% 11.51% 11.76% 12.06% 12.34%
Net margin (%) 10.05% 4.62% 7.53% 8.06% 7.87% 8% 8.22% 8.41%
FCF margin (%) 4.49% 7.67% 6.95% 6.32% 7.12% 8.64% 8.1% 8.36%
FCF / Net Income (%) 44.65% 166.06% 92.26% 78.38% 90.42% 108.01% 98.5% 99.41%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.22% 3.53% 6.93% 7.87% 16.73% 9.73% 10.2% 10.5%
ROE 14.93% 6.53% 12.83% 15.02% 8.48% 19.18% 20.18% 20.64%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.99% 7.1% 6.47% 6.24% 5.31% 5.15% 4.95% 4.74%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 51.8% 52.8% 44.07% 41.79% 35.17% 33.19% 31.6% 30.18%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 155.88% 92.51% 93.05% 98.74% 74.52% 59.59% 61.1% 56.7%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.606 3.325 3.507 3.638 3.952 5.181 5.246 5.353
Change - 27.58% 5.49% 3.75% 8.6% 31.1% 1.26% 2.06%
Dividend per Share 1 0.48 0.48 0.52 0.64 - 1.182 1.349 1.473
Change - 0% 8.33% 23.08% - - 14.16% 9.19%
Book Value Per Share 1 16.49 15.47 15.74 14.69 14.58 14.75 15.72 16.86
Change - -6.16% 1.73% -6.67% -0.75% 1.19% 6.59% 7.21%
EPS 1 2.28 1.04 1.97 2.33 2.51 2.923 3.267 3.625
Change - -54.39% 89.42% 18.27% 7.73% 16.45% 11.77% 10.95%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 428,127 417,839 407,291 378,084 353,257 341,710 341,710 341,710
Announcement Date 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 06/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 16.3x 14.6x
PBR 3.23x 3.03x
EV / Sales 1.16x 1.09x
Yield 2.48% 2.83%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
24
Last Close Price
47.62USD
Average target price
61.69USD
Spread / Average Target
+29.55%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. YUMC Stock
  4. Financials Yum China Holdings, Inc.