Projected Income Statement: Yum China Holdings, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Yum China Holdings, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -4,235 -3,956 -3,110 -2,388 -1,668 -1,815 -1,659 -2,134
Change - 6.59% 21.39% 23.22% 30.15% -8.81% 8.6% -28.63%
Announcement Date 03/02/21 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 06/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Yum China Holdings, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 419 689 679 710 705 654.9 640.7 638.9
Change - 64.44% -1.45% 4.57% -0.7% -7.1% -2.17% -0.28%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 695 442 734 763 714 860.6 931.6 1,055
Change - -36.4% 66.06% 3.95% -6.42% 20.54% 8.25% 13.26%
Announcement Date 03/02/21 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 06/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Yum China Holdings, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.1% 13.5% 13.44% 14.67% 14.93% 15.26% 15.64% 15.86%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.86% 14.07% 6.57% 10.07% 10.28% 10.93% 11.33% 11.66%
EBT Margin (%) 13.41% 14.13% 7.18% 11.17% 11.78% 11.51% 11.96% 12.27%
Net margin (%) 9.49% 10.05% 4.62% 7.53% 8.06% 7.9% 8.17% 8.39%
FCF margin (%) 8.41% 4.49% 7.67% 6.95% 6.32% 7.36% 7.54% 8.09%
FCF / Net Income (%) 88.65% 44.65% 166.06% 92.26% 78.38% 93.18% 92.28% 96.44%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.8% 8.22% 3.53% 6.93% 7.87% 8.52% 9.61% 10.34%
ROE 16.89% 14.93% 6.53% 12.83% 15.02% 16.2% 18.64% 19.92%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.07% 6.99% 7.1% 6.47% 6.24% 5.6% 5.19% 4.9%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 33.57% 51.8% 52.8% 44.07% 41.79% 36.71% 33.17% 30.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 60.29% 155.88% 92.51% 93.05% 98.74% 76.1% 68.78% 60.55%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.771 2.606 3.325 3.507 3.638 4.136 4.779 5.382
Change - -5.96% 27.58% 5.49% 3.75% 13.68% 15.55% 12.61%
Dividend per Share 1 0.24 0.48 0.48 0.52 0.64 0.9059 0.9942 1.148
Change - 100% 0% 8.33% 23.08% 41.55% 9.75% 15.46%
Book Value Per Share 1 15.91 16.49 15.47 15.74 14.69 14.37 14.6 16.2
Change - 3.6% -6.16% 1.73% -6.67% -2.16% 1.62% 10.92%
EPS 1 1.95 2.28 1.04 1.97 2.33 2.476 2.84 3.183
Change - 16.92% -54.39% 89.42% 18.27% 6.25% 14.71% 12.08%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 419,344 428,127 417,839 407,291 378,084 355,537 355,537 355,537
Announcement Date 03/02/21 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 06/02/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 19x 16.5x
PBR 3.27x 3.21x
EV / Sales 1.27x 1.22x
Yield 1.93% 2.12%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
46.94USD
Average target price
58.06USD
Spread / Average Target
+23.69%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. YUMC Stock
  4. Financials Yum China Holdings, Inc.