Projected Income Statement: Wynn Macau, Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Wynn Macau, Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 30,368 34,869 40,805 37,704 33,644 32,343 32,236 30,147
Change - 14.82% 17.02% -7.6% -10.77% -3.87% -0.33% -6.48%
Announcement Date 05/02/21 16/02/22 30/03/23 21/03/24 27/03/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Wynn Macau, Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 749.1 487.9 348.7 714.3 1,306 2,185 3,695 2,816
Change - -34.87% -28.54% 104.86% 82.83% 67.34% 69.08% -23.78%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -4,457 -1,688 -2,469 6,098 6,388 5,405 5,118 5,868
Change - 62.13% -46.25% 347.02% 4.75% -15.39% -5.31% 14.66%
Announcement Date 05/02/21 16/02/22 30/03/23 21/03/24 27/03/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Wynn Macau, Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -24.17% 6.35% -34.52% 27.28% 28.57% 26.44% 26.55% 26.77%
EBIT Margin (%) -71.1% -22.57% -86.61% 15.26% 18.54% 16.83% 17.37% 17.77%
EBT Margin (%) -94.85% -44.02% -129.82% 5% 11.31% 9.72% 10.5% 10.52%
Net margin (%) -95.02% -44.12% -130.04% 4.83% 11.13% 7.98% 9.83% 10.51%
FCF margin (%) -58.66% -14.34% -43.74% 25.13% 22.23% 18.54% 16.49% 18.03%
FCF / Net Income (%) 61.74% 32.5% 33.64% 520.47% 199.74% 232.37% 167.79% 171.55%

Profitability

        
ROA -14.16% -11.07% -18.82% 2.9% 7.61% 8.59% 9.63% 12.07%
ROE - - - - - - - -

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -16.54x 46.63x -20.94x 5.69x 4.1x 4.2x 3.91x 3.46x
Debt / Free cash flow -6.81x -20.66x -16.53x 6.18x 5.27x 5.98x 6.3x 5.14x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.86% 4.15% 6.18% 2.94% 4.54% 7.5% 11.91% 8.65%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -40.8% 65.25% -17.89% 10.79% 15.91% 28.36% 44.84% 32.32%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -16.81% -28.91% -14.12% 11.71% 20.44% 40.43% 72.19% 47.99%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.715 -0.2333 -0.4079 1.215 1.474 1.157 1.344 1.315
Change - 67.38% -74.85% 397.94% 21.25% -21.51% 16.24% -2.15%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - 0.075 0.185 0.3589 0.3841 0.408
Change - - - - 146.67% 93.99% 7.02% 6.24%
Book Value Per Share 1 -1.026 -1.931 -3.3 -3.017 -2.545 -2.501 -2.22 -1.876
Change - -88.23% -70.93% 8.58% 15.63% 1.76% 11.21% 15.53%
EPS 1 -1.39 -1 -1.41 0.19 0.57 0.4358 0.5836 0.6478
Change - 28.06% -41% 113.48% 200% -23.54% 33.91% 11%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,197,189 5,206,132 5,235,432 5,218,822 5,225,962 5,231,620 5,231,620 5,231,620
Announcement Date 05/02/21 16/02/22 30/03/23 21/03/24 27/03/25 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 14x 10.4x
PBR -2.43x -2.74x
EV / Sales 2.2x 2.06x
Yield 5.9% 6.32%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
6.080HKD
Average target price
7.764HKD
Spread / Average Target
+27.70%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 1128 Stock
  4. Financials Wynn Macau, Limited