Projected Income Statement: Wynn Macau, Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Wynn Macau, Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 34,869 40,805 37,704 33,644 33,368 35,817 36,947 38,018
Change - 17.02% -7.6% -10.77% -0.82% 7.34% 3.15% 2.9%
Announcement Date 16/02/22 30/03/23 21/03/24 27/03/25 20/03/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Wynn Macau, Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 487.9 348.7 714.3 1,306 1,939 3,767 4,397 4,118
Change - -28.54% 104.86% 82.83% 48.47% 94.27% 16.73% -6.35%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -1,688 -2,469 6,098 6,388 5,430 4,514 5,165 3,927
Change - -46.25% 347.02% 4.75% -14.99% -16.87% 14.41% -23.96%
Announcement Date 16/02/22 30/03/23 21/03/24 27/03/25 20/03/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Wynn Macau, Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.35% -34.52% 27.28% 28.57% 25.8% 25.62% 26.22% 26.81%
EBIT Margin (%) -22.57% -86.61% 15.26% 18.54% 15.52% 16.79% 17.17% 17.41%
EBT Margin (%) -44.02% -129.82% 5% 11.31% 5.81% 8.31% 9.18% 9.44%
Net margin (%) -44.12% -130.04% 4.83% 11.13% 5.62% 7.96% 8.43% 9.75%
FCF margin (%) -14.34% -43.74% 25.13% 22.23% 18.73% 14.43% 15.78% 11.57%
FCF / Net Income (%) 32.5% 33.64% 520.47% 199.74% 333.24% 181.24% 187.3% 118.66%

Profitability

        
ROA -11.07% -18.82% 2.9% 7.61% 4.08% 9.46% 9.39% 9.01%
ROE - - - - - - - -

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 46.63x -20.94x 5.69x 4.1x 4.46x 4.47x 4.31x 4.18x
Debt / Free cash flow -20.66x -16.53x 6.18x 5.27x 6.14x 7.93x 7.15x 9.68x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.15% 6.18% 2.94% 4.54% 6.69% 12.04% 13.44% 12.13%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 65.25% -17.89% 10.79% 15.91% 25.92% 46.98% 51.25% 45.25%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -28.91% -14.12% 11.71% 20.44% 35.7% 83.44% 85.13% 104.85%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.2333 -0.4079 1.215 1.474 1.409 1.317 1.305 1.239
Change - -74.85% 397.94% 21.25% -4.38% -6.55% -0.87% -5.07%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 0.075 0.185 0.223 0.426 0.4345 0.4492
Change - - - 146.67% 20.54% 91.01% 2% 3.39%
Book Value Per Share 1 -1.931 -3.3 -3.017 -2.545 -2.581 -2.42 -2.251 -2.097
Change - -70.93% 8.58% 15.63% -1.41% 6.24% 6.97% 6.88%
EPS 1 -1 -1.41 0.19 0.57 0.31 0.4995 0.5483 0.6382
Change - -41% 113.48% 200% -45.61% 61.14% 9.77% 16.39%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,206,132 5,235,432 5,218,822 5,225,962 5,231,380 5,237,787 5,237,787 5,237,787
Announcement Date 16/02/22 30/03/23 21/03/24 27/03/25 20/03/26 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 10.4x 9.48x
PBR -2.15x -2.31x
EV / Sales 2.02x 1.96x
Yield 8.19% 8.36%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
5.200HKD
Average target price
7.018HKD
Spread / Average Target
+34.96%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
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  4. Financials Wynn Macau, Limited
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