Projected Income Statement: Valero Energy Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Valero Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,748 6,773 6,100 5,806 5,931 5,549 5,481 5,179
Change - -30.52% -9.94% -4.82% 2.15% -6.44% -1.23% -5.51%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 30/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Valero Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,458 2,737 1,916 2,057 1,888 1,790 1,730 1,666
Change - 11.35% -30% 7.36% -8.22% -5.19% -3.34% -3.73%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,401 9,837 7,313 4,626 3,938 8,554 6,485 5,792
Change - 189.24% -25.66% -36.74% -14.87% 117.22% -24.19% -10.69%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 30/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Valero Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 3.98% 10.3% 10.06% 5.03% 6.16% 10.14% 7.96% 7.87%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.05% 8.9% 8.19% 2.89% 2.59% 8.39% 6.27% 5.82%
EBT Margin (%) 1.35% 8.68% 8.13% 2.85% 2.45% 8.27% 6.73% 6.95%
Net margin (%) 0.82% 6.54% 6.1% 2.13% 1.91% 6.18% 4.62% 4.85%
FCF margin (%) 2.98% 5.58% 5.05% 3.56% 3.21% 6.37% 5.22% 5.08%
FCF / Net Income (%) 365.7% 85.33% 82.77% 167% 167.72% 103.06% 113.03% 104.75%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.7% 19.4% 14.25% 4.45% - 13.32% 9.22% -
ROE 5% 54.91% 35.41% 10.89% 9.74% 29.96% 21.57% 18.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.15x 0.37x 0.42x 0.89x 0.78x 0.41x 0.55x 0.58x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.87x 0.69x 0.83x 1.26x 1.51x 0.65x 0.85x 0.89x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.16% 1.55% 1.32% 1.58% 1.54% 1.33% 1.39% 1.46%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 54.2% 15.07% 13.16% 31.51% 24.98% 13.15% 17.5% 18.55%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 72.27% 27.82% 26.2% 44.47% 47.94% 20.93% 26.68% 28.76%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.929 35.86 26.14 18.29 19.48 35.53 29.26 30.7
Change - 301.61% -27.09% -30.06% 6.51% 82.45% -17.66% 4.94%
Dividend per Share 1 3.92 3.92 4.08 4.28 4.52 4.794 5.048 5.238
Change - 0% 4.08% 4.9% 5.61% 6.07% 5.29% 3.77%
Book Value Per Share 1 45.28 63.31 79.24 77.82 - 84.48 88.31 94.49
Change - 39.82% 25.15% -1.79% - - 4.54% 7%
EPS 1 2.27 29.04 24.92 8.58 7.57 29.03 21.54 22.22
Change - 1,179.3% -14.19% -65.57% -11.77% 283.54% -25.81% 3.13%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 408,836 385,523 340,453 316,585 305,010 296,933 296,933 296,933
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 30/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 8.51x 11.5x
PBR 2.93x 2.8x
EV / Sales 0.59x 0.63x
Yield 1.94% 2.04%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
247.12USD
Average target price
255.21USD
Spread / Average Target
+3.27%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. VLO Stock
  4. Financials Valero Energy Corporation