Projected Income Statement: Ultrapar Participacoes S.A.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ultrapar Participacoes S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 11,691 - 6,121 7,756 12,148 11,747 9,679 8,101
Change - - - 26.71% 56.63% -3.3% -17.6% -16.3%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 15/02/23 28/02/24 26/02/25 04/03/26 - - -
1BRL in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ultrapar Participacoes S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,266 1,207 1,287 1,787 2,005 2,306 2,355 2,341
Change - -4.67% 6.67% 38.82% 12.2% 15.01% 2.12% -0.59%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,320 797.9 2,563 1,949 3,448 2,972 4,430 4,778
Change - -39.56% 221.18% -23.94% 76.91% -13.82% 49.07% 7.86%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 15/02/23 28/02/24 26/02/25 04/03/26 - - -
1BRL in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ultrapar Participacoes S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 3.41% 2.71% 4.45% 4.03% 4.34% 5.38% 5.21% 5.49%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.25% 2.22% 3.06% 2.73% 2.9% 3.98% 3.82% 4.08%
EBT Margin (%) 0.81% 1.58% 2.84% 3.01% 2.54% 3.78% 3.12% 3.47%
Net margin (%) 0.72% 1.23% 1.94% 1.77% 1.72% 1.94% 1.96% 2.17%
FCF margin (%) 1.11% 0.54% 2.03% 1.46% 2.42% 1.91% 2.84% 3.04%
FCF / Net Income (%) 155.21% 44.3% 105.03% 82.48% 140.51% 98.26% 144.86% 139.62%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.26% - 6.53% 6.07% 5.52% 4.96% 5.38% 6.12%
ROE 8.68% - 19.35% 16.49% 15.92% 17.33% 15.46% 18.3%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.88x - 1.09x 1.44x 1.97x 1.4x 1.19x 0.94x
Debt / Free cash flow 8.86x - 2.39x 3.98x 3.52x 3.95x 2.19x 1.7x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.07% 0.82% 1.02% 1.34% 1.41% 1.48% 1.51% 1.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 31.22% 30.27% 22.93% 33.23% 32.45% 27.5% 28.96% 27.11%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 95.9% 151.26% 50.24% 91.69% 58.15% 77.6% 53.16% 48.99%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.357 1.825 3.484 3.343 4.979 2.403 4.379 4.424
Change - -22.6% 90.96% -4.06% 48.95% -51.74% 82.23% 1.01%
Dividend per Share 1 0.37 - 0.65 0.7 - 1.392 1.775 1.406
Change - - - 7.69% - - 27.54% -20.79%
Book Value Per Share 1 9.232 - 12.11 14.01 14.31 16.18 17.34 19.44
Change - - - 15.67% 2.12% 13.11% 7.2% 12.07%
EPS 1 0.78 1.639 2.23 1.38 1.6 2.775 2.888 3.181
Change - 110.14% 36.05% -38.12% 15.94% 73.43% 4.07% 10.15%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,090,368 1,089,010 1,089,478 1,090,253 1,068,455 1,068,767 1,068,767 1,068,767
Announcement Date 24/02/22 15/02/23 28/02/24 26/02/25 04/03/26 - - -
1BRL
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 9.11x 8.75x
PBR 1.56x 1.46x
EV / Sales 0.25x 0.24x
Yield 5.5% 7.02%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
24.99BRL
Average target price
32.18BRL
Spread / Average Target
+28.75%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. UGPA3 Stock
  4. Financials Ultrapar Participacoes S.A.
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