Projected Income Statement: Trainline Plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Trainline Plc

Fiscal Period: February 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 70.8 241 90.3 100 63.9 46 -47 -84.8
Change - 240.4% -62.53% 10.74% -36.1% -28.06% -202.17% -280.43%
Announcement Date 07/05/20 06/05/21 05/05/22 04/05/23 03/05/24 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Trainline Plc

Fiscal Period: February 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 28.36 26.34 29.34 35.22 37.03 45.99 47.43 49.76
Change - -7.13% 11.43% 20.02% 5.14% 24.19% 3.13% 4.92%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 37.01 -147.4 165.8 7.796 84.7 89.6 86.15 107.9
Change - -498.38% -212.48% -95.3% 986.44% 5.79% -3.85% 25.21%
Announcement Date 07/05/20 06/05/21 05/05/22 04/05/23 03/05/24 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Trainline Plc

Fiscal Period: February 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 32.67% -37.12% 20.71% 26.32% 30.79% 32.37% 33.23% 34.85%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.15% -98.54% -1.87% 13.73% 20.28% 21.45% 22.7% 24.56%
EBT Margin (%) - -159.15% -8.24% 6.75% 12.13% 14.96% 16.62% 18.49%
Net margin (%) -31.04% -136.1% -6.32% 6.49% 8.57% 11.12% 12.63% 14.16%
FCF margin (%) 14.19% -219.77% 87.96% 2.38% 21.35% 20.83% 19.13% 22.18%
FCF / Net Income (%) -45.72% 161.47% -1,392.89% 36.74% 249.22% 187.32% 151.49% 156.68%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.24% -7.99% -1.93% 3.27% - 7.4% 8.3% 9.43%
ROE 12.1% -15.75% -4.38% 7.71% 20.02% 21.25% 21.85% 22.01%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.83x -9.68x 2.31x 1.17x 0.52x 0.33x - -
Debt / Free cash flow 1.91x -1.63x 0.54x 12.88x 0.75x 0.51x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.88% 39.26% 15.57% 10.77% 9.33% 10.69% 10.53% 10.23%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 33.28% -105.75% 75.15% 40.91% 30.32% 33.02% 31.69% 29.37%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 76.63% -17.86% 17.7% 451.76% 43.72% 51.32% 55.05% 46.13%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.1314 -0.2537 0.4087 0.0909 0.254 0.2589 0.2579 0.2929
Change - -293.12% -261.08% -77.76% 179.43% 1.94% -0.39% 13.56%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 0.8142 0.59 0.5434 0.6144 0.668 0.6808 0.7709 0.9224
Change - -27.54% -7.91% 13.08% 8.72% 1.92% 13.23% 19.65%
EPS 1 -0.1767 -0.191 -0.0249 0.0448 0.0709 0.105 0.1263 0.1515
Change - 8.09% -86.96% -279.92% 58.26% 48.1% 20.25% 19.97%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 477,581 478,581 478,581 468,581 460,309 445,205 445,205 445,205
Announcement Date 07/05/20 06/05/21 05/05/22 04/05/23 03/05/24 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 28.5x 23.7x
PBR 4.4x 3.88x
EV / Sales 3.21x 2.86x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
2.994GBP
Average target price
4.098GBP
Spread / Average Target
+36.88%
Consensus

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. TRN Stock
  4. Financials Trainline Plc
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