Projected Income Statement: Trainline plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Trainline plc

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 241 90.3 100 63.9 83.4 143 130 56
Change - -62.53% 10.74% -36.1% 30.52% 71.47% -9.09% -56.92%
Announcement Date 06/05/21 05/05/22 04/05/23 03/05/24 07/05/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Trainline plc

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 26.34 29.34 35.22 37.03 40.87 51.13 45.14 45.24
Change - 11.43% 20.02% 5.14% 10.37% 25.1% -11.71% 0.22%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -147.4 165.8 7.796 84.7 97.33 104.1 107.1 116.7
Change - 212.48% -95.3% 986.44% 14.91% 6.93% 2.88% 9%
Announcement Date 06/05/21 05/05/22 04/05/23 03/05/24 07/05/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Trainline plc

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -37.12% 20.71% 26.32% 30.79% 36% 39.39% 38.67% 38.11%
EBIT Margin (%) -98.54% -1.87% 13.73% 20.28% 26.23% 29.09% 27.87% 28.03%
EBT Margin (%) -159.15% -8.24% 6.75% 12.13% 18.3% 23.81% 22.75% 22.92%
Net margin (%) -136.1% -6.32% 6.49% 8.57% 13.2% 17.41% 16.36% 16.36%
FCF margin (%) -219.77% 87.96% 2.38% 21.35% 22.01% 23.17% 23.07% 24%
FCF / Net Income (%) 161.47% -1,392.89% 36.74% 249.22% 166.8% 133.12% 140.99% 146.68%

Profitability

        
ROA -7.99% -1.93% 3.27% - 12.72% 13.82% 13.45% 13.63%
ROE -15.75% -4.38% 7.71% 20.02% 28.69% 35.75% 38.27% 35.42%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -9.68x 2.31x 1.17x 0.52x 0.52x 0.81x 0.73x 0.3x
Debt / Free cash flow -1.63x 0.54x 12.88x 0.75x 0.86x 1.37x 1.22x 0.48x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 39.26% 15.57% 10.77% 9.33% 9.24% 11.38% 9.73% 9.3%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -105.75% 75.15% 40.91% 30.32% 25.68% 28.9% 25.15% 24.41%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -17.86% 17.7% 451.76% 43.72% 41.99% 49.13% 42.16% 38.77%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.2537 0.4087 0.0909 0.254 0.2999 0.3354 0.3657 0.4077
Change - 261.08% -77.76% 179.43% 18.07% 11.85% 9.04% 11.48%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 0.59 0.5434 0.6144 0.668 0.6136 0.5533 0.5869 0.7592
Change - -7.91% 13.08% 8.72% -8.14% -9.82% 6.07% 29.35%
EPS 1 -0.191 -0.0249 0.0448 0.0709 0.1266 0.1844 0.1936 0.2082
Change - 86.96% 279.92% 58.26% 78.56% 45.62% 5% 7.58%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 478,581 478,581 468,581 460,309 431,795 389,291 389,291 389,291
Announcement Date 06/05/21 05/05/22 04/05/23 03/05/24 07/05/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 11.3x 10.8x
PBR 3.77x 3.56x
EV / Sales 2.13x 2.03x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
2.088GBP
Average target price
3.816GBP
Spread / Average Target
+82.78%
Consensus

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
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  4. Financials Trainline plc