Real-time Estimate
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
300.20 GBX | +0.27% | -1.32% | -6.90% |
07-22 | HSBC cuts Beazley, Berenberg raises Gym Group | AN |
05-20 | Deutsche Bank Starts Trainline Coverage at Buy | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Trainline Plc
Fiscal Period: February | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net sales 1 | 260.8 | 67.08 | 188.5 | 327.1 | 396.7 | 430.2 | 450.3 | 486.2 |
Change | - | -74.27% | 181.01% | 73.54% | 21.27% | 8.44% | 4.67% | 7.98% |
EBITDA 1 | 85.2 | -24.9 | 39.05 | 86.1 | 122.1 | 139.3 | 149.6 | 169.4 |
Change | - | - | - | 120.5% | 41.85% | 14.02% | 7.47% | 13.23% |
EBIT 1 | 34.29 | -66.1 | -3.53 | 44.93 | 80.47 | 92.3 | 102.2 | 119.4 |
Change | - | - | -94.66% | - | 79.1% | 14.7% | 10.73% | 16.83% |
Interest Paid 1 | -82.49 | -7.058 | -5.229 | -10.27 | -10.21 | -6.66 | -6.42 | -5.82 |
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | - | -106.8 | -15.54 | 22.09 | 48.12 | 64.36 | 74.84 | 89.89 |
Change | - | - | -85.44% | - | 117.81% | 33.77% | 16.28% | 20.11% |
Net income 1 | -80.94 | -91.3 | -11.9 | 21.22 | 33.99 | 47.83 | 56.87 | 68.84 |
Change | - | 12.81% | -86.96% | - | 60.18% | 40.75% | 18.89% | 21.06% |
Announcement Date | 07/05/20 | 06/05/21 | 05/05/22 | 04/05/23 | 03/05/24 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Trainline Plc
Fiscal Period: February | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Debt 1 | 70.8 | 241 | 90.3 | 100 | 63.9 | 46 | -47 | -84.8 |
Change | - | 240.4% | -62.53% | 10.74% | -36.1% | -28.06% | -202.17% | -280.43% |
Announcement Date | 07/05/20 | 06/05/21 | 05/05/22 | 04/05/23 | 03/05/24 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Trainline Plc
Fiscal Period: February | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CAPEX 1 | 28.36 | 26.34 | 29.34 | 35.22 | 37.03 | 45.99 | 47.43 | 49.76 |
Change | - | -7.13% | 11.43% | 20.02% | 5.14% | 24.19% | 3.13% | 4.92% |
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 37.01 | -147.4 | 165.8 | 7.796 | 84.7 | 89.6 | 86.15 | 107.9 |
Change | - | -498.38% | -212.48% | -95.3% | 986.44% | 5.79% | -3.85% | 25.21% |
Announcement Date | 07/05/20 | 06/05/21 | 05/05/22 | 04/05/23 | 03/05/24 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Trainline Plc
Fiscal Period: February | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
EBITDA Margin (%) | 32.67% | -37.12% | 20.71% | 26.32% | 30.79% | 32.37% | 33.23% | 34.85% |
EBIT Margin (%) | 13.15% | -98.54% | -1.87% | 13.73% | 20.28% | 21.45% | 22.7% | 24.56% |
EBT Margin (%) | - | -159.15% | -8.24% | 6.75% | 12.13% | 14.96% | 16.62% | 18.49% |
Net margin (%) | -31.04% | -136.1% | -6.32% | 6.49% | 8.57% | 11.12% | 12.63% | 14.16% |
FCF margin (%) | 14.19% | -219.77% | 87.96% | 2.38% | 21.35% | 20.83% | 19.13% | 22.18% |
FCF / Net Income (%) | -45.72% | 161.47% | -1,392.89% | 36.74% | 249.22% | 187.32% | 151.49% | 156.68% |
Profitability | ||||||||
ROA | 5.24% | -7.99% | -1.93% | 3.27% | - | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.43% |
ROE | 12.1% | -15.75% | -4.38% | 7.71% | 20.02% | 21.25% | 21.85% | 22.01% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.83x | -9.68x | 2.31x | 1.17x | 0.52x | 0.33x | - | - |
Debt / Free cash flow | 1.91x | -1.63x | 0.54x | 12.88x | 0.75x | 0.51x | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 10.88% | 39.26% | 15.57% | 10.77% | 9.33% | 10.69% | 10.53% | 10.23% |
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 33.28% | -105.75% | 75.15% | 40.91% | 30.32% | 33.02% | 31.69% | 29.37% |
CAPEX / FCF (%) | 76.63% | -17.86% | 17.7% | 451.76% | 43.72% | 51.32% | 55.05% | 46.13% |
Items per share | ||||||||
Cash flow per share 1 | 0.1314 | -0.2537 | 0.4087 | 0.0909 | 0.254 | 0.2589 | 0.2579 | 0.2929 |
Change | - | -293.12% | -261.08% | -77.76% | 179.43% | 1.94% | -0.39% | 13.56% |
Dividend per Share 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Change | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Book Value Per Share 1 | 0.8142 | 0.59 | 0.5434 | 0.6144 | 0.668 | 0.6808 | 0.7709 | 0.9224 |
Change | - | -27.54% | -7.91% | 13.08% | 8.72% | 1.92% | 13.23% | 19.65% |
EPS 1 | -0.1767 | -0.191 | -0.0249 | 0.0448 | 0.0709 | 0.105 | 0.1263 | 0.1515 |
Change | - | 8.09% | -86.96% | -279.92% | 58.26% | 48.1% | 20.25% | 19.97% |
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 477,581 | 478,581 | 478,581 | 468,581 | 460,309 | 445,205 | 445,205 | 445,205 |
Announcement Date | 07/05/20 | 06/05/21 | 05/05/22 | 04/05/23 | 03/05/24 | - | - | - |
2025 * | 2026 * | |
---|---|---|
P/E ratio | 28.5x | 23.7x |
PBR | 4.4x | 3.88x |
EV / Sales | 3.21x | 2.86x |
Yield | - | - |
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Annual profits - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
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- Financials Trainline Plc
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