Projected Income Statement: Trainline plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Trainline plc

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 241 90.3 100 63.9 83.4 202 191 96.6
Change - -62.53% 10.74% -36.1% 30.52% 142.21% 22.44% -49.42%
Announcement Date 06/05/21 05/05/22 04/05/23 03/05/24 07/05/25 06/05/26 - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Trainline plc

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 26.34 29.34 35.22 37.03 40.87 36.63 42.89 44.64
Change - 11.43% 20.02% 5.14% 10.37% -10.38% -17.79% 4.07%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -147.4 165.8 7.796 84.7 97.33 96.39 96.9 125.8
Change - 212.48% -95.3% 986.44% 14.91% -0.96% -4.3% 29.87%
Announcement Date 06/05/21 05/05/22 04/05/23 03/05/24 07/05/25 06/05/26 - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Trainline plc

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -37.12% 20.71% 26.32% 30.79% 36% 39.02% 40.8% 40.28%
EBIT Margin (%) -98.54% -1.87% 13.73% 20.28% 26.23% 30.01% 30.34% 29.82%
EBT Margin (%) -159.15% -8.24% 6.75% 12.13% 18.3% 25.25% 24.36% 23.68%
Net margin (%) -136.1% -6.32% 6.49% 8.57% 13.2% 17.63% 17.06% 17.15%
FCF margin (%) -219.77% 87.96% 2.38% 21.35% 22.01% 21.29% 21.69% 27.14%
FCF / Net Income (%) 161.47% -1,392.89% 36.74% 249.22% 166.8% 120.77% 127.12% 158.24%

Profitability

        
ROA -7.99% -1.93% 3.27% - 12.72% 14.25% 13.05% 12.8%
ROE -15.75% -4.38% 7.71% 20.02% 28.69% 39.78% 48% 38.55%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -9.68x 2.31x 1.17x 0.52x 0.52x 1.14x 1.05x 0.52x
Debt / Free cash flow -1.63x 0.54x 12.88x 0.75x 0.86x 2.1x 1.97x 0.77x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 39.26% 15.57% 10.77% 9.33% 9.24% 8.09% 9.6% 9.63%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -105.75% 75.15% 40.91% 30.32% 25.68% 20.73% 23.53% 23.9%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -17.86% 17.7% 451.76% 43.72% 41.99% 38% 44.26% 35.47%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.2537 0.4087 0.0909 0.254 0.2999 0.3188 0.3943 0.451
Change - 261.08% -77.76% 179.43% 18.07% 6.3% 15.53% 14.37%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 0.59 0.5434 0.6144 0.668 0.6136 0.4898 0.5804 0.7541
Change - -7.91% 13.08% 8.72% -8.14% -20.18% 2.18% 29.92%
EPS 1 -0.191 -0.0249 0.0448 0.0709 0.1266 0.1913 0.2108 0.2295
Change - 86.96% 279.92% 58.26% 78.56% 51.11% 12.62% 8.88%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 478,581 478,581 468,581 460,309 431,795 364,109 364,109 364,109
Announcement Date 06/05/21 05/05/22 04/05/23 03/05/24 07/05/25 06/05/26 - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 2027 *
P/E ratio 10.2x 10x
PBR 3.99x 3.64x
EV / Sales 2.08x 2.15x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
2.112GBP
Average target price
3.515GBP
Spread / Average Target
+66.41%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. TRN Stock
  4. Financials Trainline plc