Projected Income Statement: Toyota Tsusho Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Toyota Tsusho Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 1,135,039 1,347,728 1,109,363 901,930 764,972 1,241,686 1,190,461 1,042,508
Change - 18.74% -17.69% -18.7% -15.18% 62.32% -4.13% -12.43%
Announcement Date 28/04/22 27/04/23 26/04/24 28/04/25 30/04/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Toyota Tsusho Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 186,455 222,416 253,388 240,334 245,584 241,594 251,750 242,500
Change - 19.29% 13.93% -5.15% 2.18% -1.62% 4.2% -3.67%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -107,196 304,372 288,737 271,540 433,060 429,400 337,600 386,800
Change - 383.94% -5.14% -5.96% 59.48% -0.85% -21.38% 14.57%
Announcement Date 28/04/22 27/04/23 26/04/24 28/04/25 30/04/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Toyota Tsusho Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.05% 5.26% 5.71% 6.3% 6.25% 6.5% 6.67% 6.53%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.66% 3.95% 4.33% 4.82% 4.72% 5% 5.21% 5.33%
EBT Margin (%) 4.11% 4.34% 4.61% 5.21% 4.89% 5.23% 5.47% 5.56%
Net margin (%) 2.77% 2.89% 3.25% 3.52% 3.2% 3.49% 3.62% 3.67%
FCF margin (%) -1.34% 3.09% 2.83% 2.63% 3.75% 3.53% 2.67% 2.88%
FCF / Net Income (%) -48.24% 107.11% 87.11% 74.91% 116.88% 101.23% 73.76% 78.44%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.81% 6.82% 5% 7.61% 7.25% 5.95% 6.38% 6.12%
ROE 13.9% 15.6% 15.1% 14.2% 12.8% 14.27% 15.65% 15.19%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.8x 2.6x 1.91x 1.39x 1.06x 1.57x 1.41x 1.19x
Debt / Free cash flow -10.59x 4.43x 3.84x 3.32x 1.77x 2.89x 3.53x 2.7x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.32% 2.26% 2.49% 2.33% 2.12% 1.99% 1.99% 1.8%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 46.04% 42.96% 43.56% 36.99% 34% 30.57% 29.84% 27.6%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -173.94% 73.07% 87.76% 88.51% 56.71% 56.26% 74.57% 62.69%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 315.6 391.4 446.8 487.9 518.7 677.8 750.6 742.1
Change - 24.02% 14.15% 9.22% 6.31% 30.67% 10.74% -1.13%
Dividend per Share 1 53.33 67.33 93.33 105 120 129.8 143.6 154.8
Change - 26.25% 38.61% 12.5% 14.29% 8.12% 10.69% 7.8%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,644 1,814 2,337 2,486 2,991 2,968 3,301 3,683
Change - 10.33% 28.87% 6.37% 20.31% -0.77% 11.23% 11.59%
EPS 1 210.5 269.2 314 343.4 351 441.9 490 530.6
Change - 27.86% 16.64% 9.37% 2.2% 25.9% 10.91% 8.28%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,055,541 1,055,594 1,055,630 1,055,665 1,055,777 937,681 937,681 937,681
Announcement Date 28/04/22 27/04/23 26/04/24 28/04/25 30/04/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 14.1x 12.7x
PBR 2.09x 1.88x
EV / Sales 0.58x 0.55x
Yield 2.09% 2.31%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
6,209.00JPY
Average target price
7,887.78JPY
Spread / Average Target
+27.04%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials Toyota Tsusho Corporation