Projected Income Statement: Toyo Tire Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Toyo Tire Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 70,057 87,545 29,766 -50 -31,696 -58,164 -75,750 -93,947
Change - 24.96% -66% -100.17% -63,292% -83.51% -30.24% -24.02%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 14/02/23 14/02/24 14/02/25 13/02/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Toyo Tire Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 37,766 47,303 34,102 25,589 29,995 48,838 49,783 50,056
Change - 25.25% -27.91% -24.96% 17.22% 62.82% 1.93% 0.55%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -3,073 -32,131 52,401 41,470 63,065 54,012 55,865 61,377
Change - -945.59% 263.09% -20.86% 52.07% -14.36% 3.43% 9.87%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 14/02/23 14/02/24 14/02/25 13/02/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Toyo Tire Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.94% 14.24% 19.48% 22.83% 22.34% 21.96% 22.51% 22.9%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.48% 8.86% 13.91% 16.62% 16.36% 15.93% 16.37% 16.77%
EBT Margin (%) 14.57% 13.4% 17.38% 17.97% 15% 15.44% 16.09% 16.47%
Net margin (%) 10.5% 9.64% 13.07% 13.23% 10.69% 10.87% 11.33% 11.61%
FCF margin (%) -0.78% -6.46% 9.48% 7.34% 10.6% 8.64% 8.57% 9%
FCF / Net Income (%) -7.43% -67% 72.5% 55.43% 99.14% 79.47% 75.69% 77.48%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.45% 9.03% 13.83% 14.93% 13.73% 9.62% 9.73% 9.01%
ROE 16.5% 16% 20.2% 17.2% 12.8% 13.19% 13% 13.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.94x 1.24x 0.28x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -22.8x -2.72x 0.57x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.59% 9.51% 6.17% 4.53% 5.04% 7.81% 7.64% 7.34%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 50.66% 66.82% 31.67% 19.82% 22.57% 35.57% 33.94% 32.04%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -1,228.96% -147.22% 65.08% 61.7% 47.56% 90.42% 89.11% 81.56%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 408.1 485.2 669.3 713.9 644 712.5 762.3 820.4
Change - 18.91% 37.92% 6.66% -9.79% 10.63% 7% 7.62%
Dividend per Share 1 76 80 100 120 130 140.8 153.8 170.2
Change - 5.26% 25% 20% 8.33% 8.32% 9.23% 10.65%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,819 2,083 2,567 3,069 3,394 3,685 4,059 4,491
Change - 14.54% 23.22% 19.57% 10.59% 8.59% 10.15% 10.64%
EPS 1 268.6 311.5 469.4 485.9 413.1 445 494.6 558.5
Change - 15.97% 50.69% 3.5% -14.98% 7.72% 11.15% 12.91%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 153,940 153,939 153,969 153,976 153,996 153,996 153,996 153,996
Announcement Date 15/02/22 14/02/23 14/02/24 14/02/25 13/02/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 8.31x 7.48x
PBR 1x 0.91x
EV / Sales 0.82x 0.76x
Yield 3.81% 4.16%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
3,699.00JPY
Average target price
4,483.64JPY
Spread / Average Target
+21.21%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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