Projected Income Statement: Thai Union Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Thai Union Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 61,318 47,328 51,538 60,178 66,670 58,634 56,738 57,177
Change - -22.82% 8.9% 16.76% 10.79% -12.05% -3.23% 0.77%
Announcement Date 23/02/22 20/02/23 19/02/24 17/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Thai Union Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,174 5,340 4,925 3,557 3,781 5,853 4,799 4,706
Change - 27.95% -7.78% -27.77% 6.3% 54.8% -18% -1.94%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,118 530.6 6,317 10,968 811.3 7,230 4,764 5,473
Change - -74.95% 1,090.44% 73.64% -92.6% 791.24% -34.11% 14.88%
Announcement Date 23/02/22 20/02/23 19/02/24 17/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Thai Union Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.82% 7.95% 8.15% 8.37% 7.82% 8.75% 9.05% 9.16%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.85% 5.17% 5.08% 5.22% 4.65% 5.27% 5.53% 5.7%
EBT Margin (%) 6.39% 4.88% 4.27% 4.7% 4.24% 4.43% 4.81% 5.01%
Net margin (%) 5.68% 4.59% -10.23% 3.6% 3.47% 3.39% 3.67% 3.88%
FCF margin (%) 1.5% 0.34% 4.64% 7.92% 0.61% 5.28% 3.39% 3.81%
FCF / Net Income (%) 26.44% 7.43% -45.34% 220.03% 17.6% 155.94% 92.51% 98.06%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.15% 4.09% 3.28% 3.11% 2.94% 3.08% 3.37% 3.52%
ROE 14.37% 10.2% 8.18% 9.29% 9.88% 9.79% 10.45% 10.67%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.93x 3.82x 4.64x 5.19x 6.42x 4.89x 4.47x 4.35x
Debt / Free cash flow 28.95x 89.19x 8.16x 5.49x 82.18x 8.11x 11.91x 10.45x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.96% 3.43% 3.62% 2.57% 2.85% 4.28% 3.42% 3.28%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 33.55% 43.16% 44.35% 30.7% 36.42% 48.86% 37.78% 35.76%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 197.03% 1,006.36% 77.96% 32.43% 466.04% 80.95% 100.73% 85.98%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.304 1.261 2.486 3.362 1.157 2.64 2.425 2.51
Change - -3.25% 97.15% 35.22% -65.58% 128.12% -8.14% 3.51%
Dividend per Share 1 0.95 0.84 0.54 0.66 0.7 0.6823 0.7619 0.8372
Change - -11.58% -35.71% 22.22% 6.06% -2.53% 11.66% 9.89%
Book Value Per Share 1 12.74 17.32 12.97 11.43 11.55 10.98 11.84 12.17
Change - 35.94% -25.14% -11.86% 1.05% -4.91% 7.83% 2.75%
EPS 1 1.66 1.47 -3.15 1.08 1.16 1.103 1.223 1.324
Change - -11.45% -314.29% 134.29% 7.41% -4.89% 10.89% 8.25%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,654,815 4,655,133 4,455,133 4,255,133 3,855,094 3,855,094 3,855,094 3,855,094
Announcement Date 23/02/22 20/02/23 19/02/24 17/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 10.3x 9.32x
PBR 1.04x 0.96x
EV / Sales 0.75x 0.72x
Yield 5.99% 6.68%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
11.40THB
Average target price
13.18THB
Spread / Average Target
+15.65%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. TU Stock
  4. Financials Thai Union Group