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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 0.4500 NZD | +7.14% |
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+5.88% | -29.69% |
| 05-05 | New Zealand Shares Fall; Fletcher Building Flags Ongoing Residential Review, Asset Sales Underway | MT |
| 05-05 | Synlait Milk provides banking facilities update | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Synlait Milk Limited
| Fiscal Period: July | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,367 | 1,661 | 1,604 | 1,637 | 1,827 | 1,647 | 1,551 | 1,532 |
| Change | - | 21.45% | -3.43% | 2.08% | 11.64% | -9.89% | -5.79% | -1.25% |
| EBITDA 1 | 37.3 | 129.1 | 90.7 | -4.1 | 107.2 | 40.95 | 78.21 | 81.3 |
| Change | - | 246.11% | -29.74% | -104.52% | 2,714.63% | -61.8% | 90.99% | 3.95% |
| EBIT 1 | -17.66 | 62.6 | 31 | -182.7 | 50.16 | -36.15 | 38.56 | 44.37 |
| Change | - | 454.36% | -50.48% | -689.46% | 127.45% | -172.07% | 206.66% | 15.08% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -21.49 | -20.99 | -38.28 | -55 | -48 | -29.17 | -25.13 | -24.07 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -39.15 | 41.61 | -20.27 | -237.8 | -54.36 | -120.9 | 20.03 | 20.6 |
| Change | - | 206.27% | -148.71% | -1,073.1% | 77.14% | -122.32% | 116.57% | 2.83% |
| Net income 1 | -28.45 | 38.52 | -4.292 | -182.1 | -39.82 | -81.6 | 15.01 | 17.37 |
| Change | - | 235.4% | -111.14% | -4,143.03% | 78.13% | -104.91% | 118.39% | 15.79% |
| Announcement Date | 27/09/21 | 26/09/22 | 24/09/23 | 30/09/24 | 28/09/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Synlait Milk Limited
| Fiscal Period: July | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 477 | 342 | 414 | 552 | 251 | 118 | 120 | 123 |
| Change | - | -28.3% | 21.05% | 33.33% | -54.53% | -52.93% | 1.69% | 2.5% |
| Announcement Date | 27/09/21 | 26/09/22 | 24/09/23 | 30/09/24 | 28/09/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Synlait Milk Limited
| Fiscal Period: July | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 116.2 | 53.86 | 48.82 | 28.54 | 22.94 | 30.16 | 31.27 | 32.14 |
| Change | - | -53.64% | -9.35% | -41.54% | -19.64% | 31.52% | 3.68% | 2.78% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -100.3 | 179.1 | -9.784 | -75.73 | - | -132 | 3 | 13 |
| Change | - | 278.54% | -105.46% | -674.02% | - | - | 102.27% | 333.33% |
| Announcement Date | 27/09/21 | 26/09/22 | 24/09/23 | 30/09/24 | 28/09/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Synlait Milk Limited
| Fiscal Period: July | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 2.73% | 7.77% | 5.66% | -0.25% | 5.87% | 2.49% | 5.04% | 5.31% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | -1.29% | 3.77% | 1.93% | -11.16% | 2.74% | -2.2% | 2.49% | 2.9% |
| EBT Margin (%) | -2.86% | 2.51% | -1.26% | -14.52% | -2.97% | -7.34% | 1.29% | 1.34% |
| Net margin (%) | -2.08% | 2.32% | -0.27% | -11.13% | -2.18% | -4.96% | 0.97% | 1.13% |
| FCF margin (%) | -7.33% | 10.78% | -0.61% | -4.63% | - | -8.02% | 0.19% | 0.85% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 352.52% | 464.83% | 227.96% | 41.58% | - | 161.76% | 19.99% | 74.82% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | -1.83% | 2.41% | 0.15% | -3.8% | 0.05% | -7.1% | 3.01% | 2.82% |
| ROE | -4.15% | 5.08% | 0.32% | -8.7% | 0.11% | -6.46% | 1.96% | 2.44% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 12.79x | 2.65x | 4.56x | -134.54x | 2.34x | 2.89x | 1.54x | 1.52x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | -4.75x | 1.91x | -42.26x | -7.28x | - | -0.9x | 40.04x | 9.48x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 8.5% | 3.24% | 3.04% | 1.74% | 1.26% | 1.83% | 2.02% | 2.1% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 311.43% | 41.72% | 53.83% | -696.07% | 21.39% | 73.66% | 39.99% | 39.54% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | -115.82% | 30.08% | -498.99% | -37.69% | - | -22.85% | 1,042.45% | 247.26% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.0768 | 0.5508 | 0.178 | -0.2159 | 0.3071 | -0.1139 | 0.0996 | 0.1017 |
| Change | - | 617.19% | -67.68% | -221.29% | 242.24% | -137.1% | 187.47% | 2.05% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.00486 | 0.0163 |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 234.57% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 3.51 | 3.424 | 3.616 | 2.767 | 1.464 | 1.061 | 1.075 | 1.101 |
| Change | - | -2.45% | 5.61% | -23.48% | -47.1% | -27.48% | 1.28% | 2.4% |
| EPS 1 | -0.1377 | 0.1758 | -0.0196 | -0.8331 | -0.0739 | -0.1149 | 0.0232 | 0.0301 |
| Change | - | 227.67% | -111.15% | -4,150.51% | 91.13% | -55.47% | 120.15% | 29.89% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 218,582 | 218,582 | 218,582 | 218,582 | 603,198 | 603,198 | 603,198 | 603,198 |
| Announcement Date | 27/09/21 | 26/09/22 | 24/09/23 | 30/09/24 | 28/09/25 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | -3.92x | 19.4x |
| PBR | 0.42x | 0.42x |
| EV / Sales | 0.24x | 0.25x |
| Yield | - | 1.08% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Annual profits - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Synlait Milk Limited
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