Projected Income Statement: Subaru Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Subaru Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -573,443 -792,233 -549,029 -648,500 -541,960 -620,834 -547,521 -577,061
Change - -38.15% 30.7% -18.12% 16.43% -14.55% -22.19% -5.4%
Announcement Date 11/05/21 12/05/22 11/05/23 13/05/24 14/05/25 15/05/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Subaru Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 124,725 101,251 134,997 188,147 170,861 234,366 184,171 246,508
Change - -18.82% 33.33% 39.37% -9.19% 37.17% -28.24% 33.85%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 164,651 94,400 368,762 579,518 321,275 123,861 167,397 181,584
Change - -42.67% 290.64% 57.15% -44.56% -61.45% -23.92% 8.48%
Announcement Date 11/05/21 12/05/22 11/05/23 13/05/24 14/05/25 15/05/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Subaru Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.91% 11.46% 13.44% 14.59% 13.61% -4.83% 6.08% 7.19%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.62% 3.3% 7.09% 9.96% 8.65% 0.84% 3.62% 4.9%
EBT Margin (%) 4.03% 3.9% 7.37% 11.32% 9.57% 2.25% 5.19% 5.88%
Net margin (%) 2.7% 2.55% 5.31% 8.19% 7.21% 1.9% 3.63% 4.08%
FCF margin (%) 5.82% 3.44% 9.77% 12.32% 6.86% 2.59% 3.32% 3.47%
FCF / Net Income (%) 215.2% 134.84% 183.98% 150.49% 95.03% 136.35% 91.36% 85.18%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.4% 3.08% 7.44% 12.16% 9.06% 2.03% 3.65% 4.87%
ROE 4.4% 3.8% 10% 16.5% 12.8% 3.3% 6.55% 7.45%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.41% 3.69% 3.58% 4% 3.65% 4.9% 3.65% 4.71%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 40.39% 32.19% 26.61% 27.43% 26.79% -101.46% 60.07% 65.59%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 75.75% 107.26% 36.61% 32.47% 53.18% 189.22% 110.02% 135.75%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 368.8 383.4 574 797.2 773.1 500 320.6 614.2
Change - 3.97% 49.7% 38.88% -3.02% -35.32% -40.55% 91.57%
Dividend per Share 1 56 56 76 106 115 115.5 125 127.1
Change - 0% 35.71% 39.47% 8.49% 0.43% 7.11% 1.7%
Book Value Per Share 1 2,318 2,465 2,739 3,409 3,713 3,886 3,990 4,175
Change - 6.35% 11.11% 24.47% 8.91% 4.66% 3.98% 4.63%
EPS 1 99.77 91.28 261.3 509.2 458 125.5 249.7 289.9
Change - -8.51% 186.29% 94.85% -10.05% -72.6% 40.89% 16.12%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 766,876 766,929 766,982 751,795 731,034 715,828 715,828 715,828
Announcement Date 11/05/21 12/05/22 11/05/23 13/05/24 14/05/25 15/05/26 - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 2027 *
P/E ratio 19.8x 9.83x
PBR 0.64x 0.62x
EV / Sales 0.23x 0.24x
Yield 4.65% 5.09%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
2,454.50JPY
Average target price
3,017.33JPY
Spread / Average Target
+22.93%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 7270 Stock
  4. Financials Subaru Corporation