Company Valuation: Spotify Technology S.A.

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Capitalization 1 39,419 14,267 33,174 87,323 101,927 93,564 - -
Change - -63.81% 132.52% 163.23% 16.72% -8.21% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 37,700 12,600 30,656 81,876 94,351 85,308 81,903 77,755
Change - -66.58% 143.3% 167.08% 15.24% -9.58% -3.99% -5.06%
P/E ratio -1,143x -33.1x -62.3x 78.6x 47.1x 34.9x 27.5x 23.1x
PBR 18.7x 5.94x 13.1x 15.7x - 8.63x 6.72x 5.38x
PEG - -0x -2.8x -0x 0.5x 1.5x 1x 1.2x
Capitalization / Revenue 4.08x 1.22x 2.5x 5.57x 5.93x 4.8x 4.22x 3.75x
EV / Revenue 3.9x 1.07x 2.31x 5.22x 5.49x 4.38x 3.7x 3.12x
EV / EBITDA 171x -25.8x -106x 55.1x 41x 27.4x 20.7x 16.1x
EV / EBIT 401x -19.1x -68.7x 60x 42.9x 28.2x 21.2x 16.3x
EV / FCF 136x 600x 45.2x 35.8x 32.8x 24.4x 19x 15.3x
FCF Yield 0.73% 0.17% 2.21% 2.79% 3.05% 4.1% 5.27% 6.54%
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - -
Rate of return - - - - - - - -
EPS 2 -0.18 -2.23 -2.73 5.5 10.51 13.02 16.55 19.66
Distribution rate - - - - - - - -
Net sales 1 9,668 11,727 13,247 15,673 17,186 19,482 22,148 24,919
EBITDA 1 221 -488 -288 1,486 2,300 3,113 3,952 4,816
EBIT 1 94 -659 -446 1,365 2,198 3,029 3,865 4,758
Net income 1 -34 -430 -532 1,138 2,212 2,702 3,498 4,071
Net Debt 1 -1,719 -1,667 -2,518 -5,447 -7,576 -8,256 -11,661 -15,808
Reference price 2 205.78 73.87 170.00 432.12 494.59 454.56 454.56 454.56
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 191,554 193,130 195,139 202,079 206,084 205,833 - -
Announcement Date 02/02/22 31/01/23 06/02/24 04/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
34.92x4.38x27.4x-.--% 110B
16.85x4.66x10.77x1.2% 588B
27.28x7.97x23.9x-.--% 410B
22.88x2.66x14.05x-.--% 157B
11.24x13.95x136.24x0.37% 122B
28.72x5.29x15.05x-.--% 84.86B
72.4x4.14x20.31x-.--% 79.89B
4.16x41.95x3.29x0.25% 61.21B
9.82x4.6x48.52x0.45% 44.6B
9.72x1.02x4.87x0.75% 25.7B
Average 23.80x 9.06x 30.44x 0.3% 168.36B
Weighted average by Cap. 23.21x 7.24x 25.75x 0.48%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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  4. Valuation Spotify Technology S.A.