Projected Income Statement: Sinotrans Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sinotrans Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 1,641 -1,152 -3,154 -3,788 -8,589 -4,325 -5,979 -8,184
Change - -170.2% -173.78% -20.1% -126.74% 49.64% -38.24% -36.88%
Announcement Date 30/03/21 29/03/22 27/03/23 22/03/24 25/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sinotrans Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1,679 1,222 1,283 1,223 1,555 1,769 1,786 1,723
Change - -27.21% 4.94% -4.67% 27.14% 13.79% 0.96% -3.52%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,277 2,943 - - - 2,337 2,985 3,291
Change - 29.22% - - - - 27.73% 10.25%
Announcement Date 30/03/21 29/03/22 27/03/23 22/03/24 25/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sinotrans Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.46% 5.66% 6.91% 6.98% 7.1% 4.98% 4.89% 4.77%
EBIT Margin (%) 4% 3.91% 4.78% 5.38% 4.68% 5.6% 4.57% 4.7%
EBT Margin (%) 4.18% 3.81% 4.78% 5.42% 4.75% 5.66% 4.63% 4.76%
Net margin (%) 3.26% 2.99% 3.74% 4.15% 3.71% 4.45% 3.37% 3.54%
FCF margin (%) 2.69% 2.37% - - - 2.29% 2.82% 2.95%
FCF / Net Income (%) 82.68% 79.24% - - - 51.52% 83.8% 83.24%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.31% 5.3% - 5.47% 5.12% 5.6% 4.6% 5%
ROE 9.35% 11.69% 11.93% 11.59% 10.13% 9.51% 8.41% 8.67%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.3x - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.72x - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.99% 0.98% 1.18% 1.2% 1.47% 1.74% 1.69% 1.54%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 30.73% 17.36% 17.07% 17.23% 20.72% 26.66% 31.11% 28.63%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 73.74% 41.54% - - - 75.7% 59.84% 52.36%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5346 0.5628 - 0.526 0.5663 0.4626 0.5955 0.7536
Change - 5.27% - - 7.66% -18.32% 28.73% 26.55%
Dividend per Share 1 0.12 0.18 - 0.29 0.29 0.296 0.265 0.2808
Change - 50% - - 0% 2.05% -10.44% 5.95%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.114 4.472 - 5.182 5.424 5.73 5.97 6.225
Change - 8.71% - - 4.67% 5.64% 4.19% 4.26%
EPS 1 0.37 0.5 - 0.5822 0.5836 0.6415 0.4806 0.5203
Change - 35.14% - - 0.24% 9.92% -25.08% 8.26%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,400,804 7,400,804 - 7,244,937 7,252,889 7,173,751 7,173,751 7,173,751
Announcement Date 30/03/21 29/03/22 - 22/03/24 25/03/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 7.38x 9.85x
PBR 0.83x 0.79x
EV / Sales 0.35x 0.32x
Yield 6.25% 5.6%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
4.733CNY
Average target price
4.456CNY
Spread / Average Target
-5.86%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 598 Stock
  4. Financials Sinotrans Limited