Projected Income Statement: Sinotrans Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sinotrans Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -1,152 -3,154 -3,788 -8,589 -8,046 -8,643 -9,723 -16,100
Change - -173.78% -20.1% -126.74% 6.32% -7.42% -12.5% -65.59%
Announcement Date 29/03/22 27/03/23 22/03/24 25/03/25 30/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sinotrans Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,222 1,283 1,223 1,555 1,542 1,319 1,375 709.2
Change - 4.94% -4.67% 27.14% -0.82% -14.43% 4.2% -48.42%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,943 - - - 1,433 - - -
Change - - - - - -100% - -
Announcement Date 29/03/22 27/03/23 22/03/24 25/03/25 30/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sinotrans Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.66% 6.91% 6.98% 7.1% 7.16% 5.18% 5.2% 5.08%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.91% 4.78% 5.38% 4.68% 5.33% 2.98% 3.01% 3.04%
EBT Margin (%) 3.81% 4.78% 5.42% 4.75% 5.28% 3.64% 3.53% 3.43%
Net margin (%) 2.99% 3.74% 4.15% 3.71% 4.15% 3.27% 3.39% 2.7%
FCF margin (%) 2.37% - - - 1.48% - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) 79.24% - - - 35.63% - - -

Profitability

        
ROA 5.3% - 5.47% 5.12% 5.17% 4.2% 3.51% 3.53%
ROE 11.69% 11.93% 11.59% 10.13% 9.92% 7.37% 7.79% 6.89%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.98% 1.18% 1.2% 1.47% 1.59% 1.29% 1.29% 0.63%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.36% 17.07% 17.23% 20.72% 22.25% 24.92% 24.76% 12.31%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 41.54% - - - 107.6% - - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5628 - 0.526 0.5663 0.4295 0.821 0.8572 -
Change - - - 7.66% -24.16% 91.15% 4.41% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.18 - 0.29 0.29 0.3 0.2493 0.2649 0.25
Change - - - 0% 3.45% -16.91% 6.28% -5.64%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.472 - 5.182 5.424 5.747 5.913 6.14 6.29
Change - - - 4.67% 5.94% 2.89% 3.84% 2.45%
EPS 1 0.5 - 0.5822 0.5836 0.5598 0.4643 0.502 -
Change - - - 0.24% -4.08% -17.06% 8.11% -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,400,804 - 7,244,937 7,252,889 7,173,751 7,173,751 7,173,751 7,173,751
Announcement Date 29/03/22 - 22/03/24 25/03/25 30/03/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 9.54x 9.13x
PBR 0.68x 0.66x
EV / Sales 0.3x 0.28x
Yield 7.41% 7.41%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
4.046CNY
Average target price
4.447CNY
Spread / Average Target
+9.90%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 598 Stock
  4. Financials Sinotrans Limited