Projected Income Statement: Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -839,128 -1,405,679 -1,570,838 -1,695,410 -1,691,597 -1,365,332 -1,296,503 -1,276,391
Change - -67.52% -11.75% -7.93% 0.22% 19.29% 5.04% 1.55%
Announcement Date 28/04/21 27/04/22 27/04/23 25/04/24 25/04/25 28/04/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 228,801 213,918 318,046 406,886 439,473 339,706 343,123 369,270
Change - -6.5% 48.68% 27.93% 8.01% -22.7% -7.46% 7.62%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 172,375 299,805 601,525 348,297 442,461 372,945 401,443 445,549
Change - 73.93% 100.64% -42.1% 27.04% -15.71% 8.38% 10.99%
Announcement Date 28/04/21 27/04/22 27/04/23 25/04/24 25/04/25 28/04/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.81% 40.74% 43.14% 38.45% 38.28% 34.12% 36.61% 37.92%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.2% 32.6% 35.54% 29.03% 28.97% 24.68% 27.08% 28.47%
EBT Margin (%) 26.87% 33.56% 36.32% 32.95% 32.26% 27.53% 29.63% 30.77%
Net margin (%) 19.62% 24.11% 25.21% 21.54% 20.85% 18.43% 20.05% 20.8%
FCF margin (%) 11.52% 14.45% 21.42% 14.42% 17.28% 14.49% 14.34% 15.05%
FCF / Net Income (%) 58.68% 59.95% 84.93% 66.96% 82.85% 78.6% 71.55% 72.35%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.26% 18.68% 23.23% 15.94% 15.22% 12.54% 10.04% 10.71%
ROE 10.7% 16.3% 19.7% 12.8% 12% 10.4% 12.48% 13.4%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 15.28% 10.31% 11.32% 16.85% 17.16% 13.2% 12.26% 12.47%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 42.69% 25.31% 26.25% 43.81% 44.82% 38.68% 33.49% 32.89%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 132.73% 71.35% 52.87% 116.82% 99.32% 91.09% 85.47% 82.88%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 210.6 322 452.8 372.9 389.8 382.1 430.3 473.2
Change - 52.94% 40.6% -17.63% 4.53% -1.98% 6.48% 9.98%
Dividend per Share 1 50 80 100 100 106 106 120.8 134.2
Change - 60% 25% 0% 6% 0% 13.98% 11.14%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,354 1,601 1,918 2,133 2,375 2,400 2,473 2,588
Change - 18.28% 19.79% 11.2% 11.36% 1.05% 5.4% 4.64%
EPS 1 141.4 240.8 347.8 259.4 269.5 252.7 305.3 340.3
Change - 70.33% 44.48% -25.42% 3.9% -6.24% 17.7% 11.48%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,077,201 2,077,010 2,016,620 1,995,336 1,979,703 1,856,712 1,856,712 1,856,712
Announcement Date 28/04/21 27/04/22 27/04/23 25/04/24 25/04/25 28/04/26 - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 2027 *
P/E ratio 24.8x 24.5x
PBR 2.61x 3.02x
EV / Sales 4.51x 4.5x
Yield 1.69% 1.61%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
7,480.00JPY
Average target price
7,230.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
-3.34%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.