Projected Income Statement: Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -839,128 -1,405,679 -1,570,838 -1,695,410 -1,691,597 -1,338,950 -1,349,593 -1,327,486
Change - -67.52% -11.75% -7.93% 0.22% 20.85% -0.79% 1.64%
Announcement Date 28/04/21 27/04/22 27/04/23 25/04/24 25/04/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 228,801 213,918 318,046 406,886 439,473 370,900 340,627 368,067
Change - -6.5% 48.68% 27.93% 8.01% -15.6% -8.16% 8.06%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 172,375 299,805 601,525 348,297 442,461 386,980 413,185 447,798
Change - 73.93% 100.64% -42.1% 27.04% -12.54% 6.77% 8.38%
Announcement Date 28/04/21 27/04/22 27/04/23 25/04/24 25/04/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.81% 40.74% 43.14% 38.45% 38.28% 35.75% 37.08% 38.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.2% 32.6% 35.54% 29.03% 28.97% 26.06% 26.99% 28.24%
EBT Margin (%) 26.87% 33.56% 36.32% 32.95% 32.26% 29.18% 29.78% 30.63%
Net margin (%) 19.62% 24.11% 25.21% 21.54% 20.85% 19.5% 19.9% 20.72%
FCF margin (%) 11.52% 14.45% 21.42% 14.42% 17.28% 15.11% 15.29% 15.71%
FCF / Net Income (%) 58.68% 59.95% 84.93% 66.96% 82.85% 77.48% 76.82% 75.82%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.26% 18.68% 23.23% 15.94% 15.22% 9.48% 10% 10.64%
ROE 10.7% 16.3% 19.7% 12.8% 12% 10.89% 12.09% 12.88%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 15.28% 10.31% 11.32% 16.85% 17.16% 14.48% 12.61% 12.91%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 42.69% 25.31% 26.25% 43.81% 44.82% 40.52% 34% 33.59%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 132.73% 71.35% 52.87% 116.82% 99.32% 95.84% 82.44% 82.19%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 210.6 322 452.8 372.9 389.8 404.5 425.4 509.6
Change - 52.94% 40.6% -17.63% 4.53% 3.76% 5.18% 19.78%
Dividend per Share 1 50 80 100 100 106 107.5 120.2 135.6
Change - 60% 25% 0% 6% 1.44% 11.81% 12.75%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,354 1,601 1,918 2,133 2,375 2,388 2,513 2,642
Change - 18.28% 19.79% 11.2% 11.36% 0.54% 5.21% 5.16%
EPS 1 141.4 240.8 347.8 259.4 269.5 264.8 293 331.4
Change - 70.33% 44.48% -25.42% 3.9% -1.74% 10.63% 13.12%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,077,201 2,077,010 2,016,620 1,995,336 1,979,703 1,873,120 1,873,120 1,873,120
Announcement Date 28/04/21 27/04/22 27/04/23 25/04/24 25/04/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 21x 19x
PBR 2.32x 2.21x
EV / Sales 3.54x 3.35x
Yield 1.94% 2.17%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
5,552.00JPY
Average target price
5,470.59JPY
Spread / Average Target
-1.47%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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