Projected Income Statement: Shell plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Shell plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 75,386 52,555 44,837 43,541 38,809 45,328 47,935 50,438
Change - -30.29% -14.69% -2.89% -10.87% 16.8% 5.75% 5.22%
Announcement Date 04/02/21 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 30/01/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Shell plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 16,585 19,000 22,600 22,993 19,601 19,956 20,175 20,356
Change - 14.56% 18.95% 1.74% -14.75% 1.81% 1.1% 0.9%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 20,828 40,345 45,814 36,460 39,530 25,209 23,690 26,712
Change - 93.71% 13.56% -20.42% 8.42% -36.23% -6.02% 12.75%
Announcement Date 04/02/21 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 30/01/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Shell plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.91% 21.03% 22.1% 21.65% 23.14% 20.8% 19.87% 19.47%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.96% 12.52% 16.42% 11.76% 15.16% 11.78% 10.66% 10.72%
EBT Margin (%) -14.94% 11.41% 17% 10.31% 10.52% 10.58% 9.29% 9.62%
Net margin (%) -12.01% 7.69% 11.1% 6.11% 5.66% 6.51% 6.35% 6.56%
FCF margin (%) 11.54% 15.43% 12.01% 11.52% 13.9% 9.36% 8.93% 9.34%
FCF / Net Income (%) -96.07% 200.71% 108.28% 188.33% 245.63% 143.71% 140.5% 142.29%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.24% 4.92% 9.41% 6.7% 5.97% 4.61% 4.66% 4.99%
ROE 2.84% 11.79% 23.35% 15% 13% 10.63% 9.92% 11.1%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.8x 0.96x 0.53x 0.64x 0.59x 0.81x 0.91x 0.91x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.62x 1.3x 0.98x 1.19x 0.98x 1.8x 2.02x 1.89x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.19% 7.27% 5.93% 7.26% 6.89% 7.41% 7.6% 7.12%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 61.62% 34.54% 26.81% 33.55% 29.79% 35.61% 38.26% 36.56%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 79.63% 47.09% 49.33% 63.06% 49.59% 79.16% 85.16% 76.21%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.375 5.778 9.232 7.97 8.593 7.112 7.209 8.296
Change - 32.06% 59.79% -13.67% 7.82% -17.24% 1.36% 15.07%
Dividend per Share 1 0.653 0.8935 0.99 1.294 1.39 1.44 1.501 1.574
Change - 36.83% 10.8% 30.66% 7.46% 3.6% 4.25% 4.85%
Book Value Per Share 1 19.92 22.38 27.2 28.6 29.16 29.98 31.22 33.02
Change - 12.33% 21.53% 5.16% 1.95% 2.83% 4.13% 5.75%
EPS 1 -2.78 2.57 5.71 2.85 2.53 2.988 3.168 3.755
Change - 192.45% 122.18% -50.09% -11.23% 18.11% 6.02% 18.54%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,772,923 7,640,301 7,003,503 6,524,109 6,115,031 5,696,458 5,696,458 5,696,458
Announcement Date 04/02/21 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 30/01/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 12.1x 11.4x
PBR 1.2x 1.16x
EV / Sales 0.93x 0.96x
Yield 3.99% 4.16%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
36.08USD
Average target price
41.70USD
Spread / Average Target
+15.58%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise