Projected Income Statement: Shell plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Shell plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 52,555 44,837 43,541 38,809 45,687 42,563 39,697 36,261
Change - -14.69% -2.89% -10.87% 17.72% -6.84% -6.73% -8.66%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 30/01/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Shell plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 19,000 22,600 22,993 19,601 18,947 19,727 20,364 20,839
Change - 18.95% 1.74% -14.75% -3.34% 4.12% 3.23% 2.34%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 40,345 45,814 36,460 39,530 26,052 30,986 29,005 28,620
Change - 13.56% -20.42% 8.42% -34.1% 18.94% -6.39% -1.33%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 30/01/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Shell plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.03% 22.1% 21.65% 23.14% 21.03% 20.84% 21.66% 21.21%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.52% 16.42% 11.76% 15.16% 12.73% 13.91% 13.19% 12.65%
EBT Margin (%) 11.41% 17% 10.31% 10.52% 11.15% 11.67% 11.93% 12.17%
Net margin (%) 7.69% 11.1% 6.11% 5.66% 6.68% 8.39% 8.38% 8.56%
FCF margin (%) 15.43% 12.01% 11.52% 13.9% 9.76% 9.32% 9.77% 9.68%
FCF / Net Income (%) 200.71% 108.28% 188.33% 245.63% 146.05% 111.04% 116.64% 113.09%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.92% 9.41% 6.7% 5.97% 4.89% 8.17% 6.98% 6.04%
ROE 11.79% 23.35% 15% 13% 10.51% 16.45% 13.34% 12.95%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.96x 0.53x 0.64x 0.59x 0.81x 0.61x 0.62x 0.58x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.3x 0.98x 1.19x 0.98x 1.75x 1.37x 1.37x 1.27x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.27% 5.93% 7.26% 6.89% 7.1% 5.93% 6.86% 7.05%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.54% 26.81% 33.55% 29.79% 33.75% 28.47% 31.67% 33.22%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 47.09% 49.33% 63.06% 49.59% 72.73% 63.66% 70.21% 72.81%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.778 9.232 7.97 8.593 7.206 8.771 8.913 9.679
Change - 59.79% -13.67% 7.82% -16.15% 21.72% 1.63% 8.59%
Dividend per Share 1 0.8935 0.99 1.294 1.39 1.446 1.534 1.603 1.658
Change - 10.8% 30.66% 7.46% 4.03% 6.12% 4.49% 3.42%
Book Value Per Share 1 22.38 27.2 28.6 29.16 30.5 32.25 34.61 38.71
Change - 21.53% 5.16% 1.95% 4.59% 5.76% 7.3% 11.86%
EPS 1 2.57 5.71 2.85 2.53 3 5.325 4.679 4.967
Change - 122.18% -50.09% -11.23% 18.58% 77.5% -12.14% 6.16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,640,301 7,003,503 6,524,109 6,115,031 5,720,615 5,602,585 5,602,585 5,602,585
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 30/01/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 7.99x 9.09x
PBR 1.32x 1.23x
EV / Sales 0.84x 0.94x
Yield 3.61% 3.77%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
42.52USD
Average target price
50.31USD
Spread / Average Target
+18.31%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise