Projected Income Statement: Sekisui House, Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sekisui House, Ltd.

Fiscal Period: January 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -45,080 26,726 251,636 457,647 1,456,524 1,411,293 1,351,856 1,280,165
Change - 159.29% 841.54% 81.87% 218.26% -3.11% -4.21% -5.3%
Announcement Date 04/03/21 10/03/22 09/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sekisui House, Ltd.

Fiscal Period: January 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 96,609 89,512 95,330 86,709 99,891 94,499 96,999 98,249
Change - -7.35% 6.5% -9.04% 15.2% -5.4% 2.65% 1.29%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 96,400 4,328 30,134 -71,026 -634,802 170,557 228,367 136,900
Change - -95.51% 596.26% -335.7% -793.76% 126.87% 33.89% -40.05%
Announcement Date 04/03/21 10/03/22 09/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sekisui House, Ltd.

Fiscal Period: January 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.51% 9.82% 9.84% 9.61% 9.03% 8.95% 9.27% 9.65%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.62% 8.89% 8.93% 8.72% 8.16% 7.94% 8.29% 8.66%
EBT Margin (%) 7.58% 9.05% 9.14% 9.3% 7.53% 7.74% 7.73% 7.83%
Net margin (%) 5.05% 5.94% 6.3% 6.51% 5.36% 5.4% 5.44% 5.63%
FCF margin (%) 3.94% 0.17% 1.03% -2.29% -15.64% 3.98% 5.22% 2.99%
FCF / Net Income (%) 78.03% 2.81% 16.33% -35.1% -291.59% 73.81% 95.9% 53.15%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.02% 8.48% 8.86% 8.44% 7.39% 6.7% 6.8% 7.12%
ROE 9.5% 11% 11.9% 11.9% 11.7% 11.51% 11.22% 11.31%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.11x 0.87x 1.53x 3.97x 3.68x 3.33x 2.9x
Debt / Free cash flow - 6.18x 8.35x -6.44x -2.29x 8.27x 5.92x 9.35x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.95% 3.46% 3.25% 2.79% 2.46% 2.21% 2.22% 2.15%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 46.4% 35.21% 33.08% 29.03% 27.25% 24.66% 23.91% 22.23%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.22% 2,068.21% 316.35% -122.08% -15.74% 55.41% 42.48% 71.77%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 213 262.9 316.6 351.7 390.3 440.7 436.4 467.2
Change - 23.42% 20.42% 11.09% 10.98% 12.91% -0.98% 7.06%
Dividend per Share 1 84 90 110 123 135 144.4 149 159.6
Change - 7.14% 22.22% 11.82% 9.76% 7% 3.15% 7.13%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,948 2,184 2,466 2,708 3,028 3,150 3,369 3,608
Change - 12.13% 12.9% 9.81% 11.81% 4.05% 6.93% 7.1%
EPS 1 181.2 227.4 276.6 309.3 336 356.5 367.7 399.1
Change - 25.49% 21.64% 11.83% 8.62% 6.12% 3.15% 8.53%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 680,894 674,756 662,102 647,942 648,087 648,236 648,236 648,236
Announcement Date 04/03/21 10/03/22 09/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 10.4x 10.1x
PBR 1.18x 1.1x
EV / Sales 0.89x 0.86x
Yield 3.88% 4.01%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
3,792.00JPY
Average target price
3,812.22JPY
Spread / Average Target
+0.53%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 1928 Stock
  4. Financials Sekisui House, Ltd.