Projected Income Statement: Saia, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Saia, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 45.7 53.8 -32.9 -158 181 278 201 220
Change - 17.72% -161.15% -380.24% 214.56% 53.74% -27.7% 9.45%
Announcement Date 08/02/21 02/02/22 03/02/23 02/02/24 03/02/25 10/02/26 - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Saia, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 231.1 285.7 367.4 439.9 1,044 597.9 391.6 441
Change - 23.62% 28.59% 19.72% 137.24% -42.71% -34.51% 12.63%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 78 96.85 105.6 129.2 -457.2 30.51 187.9 212.8
Change - 24.16% 9.04% 22.4% -453.71% 106.67% 515.96% 13.21%
Announcement Date 08/02/21 02/02/22 03/02/23 02/02/24 03/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Saia, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.28% 20.83% 22.48% 22.19% 21.57% 18.13% 19.23% 20.91%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.89% 14.64% 16.85% 15.98% 15.02% 10.44% 11.48% 13.32%
EBT Margin (%) 9.67% 14.54% 16.76% 16.18% 14.83% 10.43% 11.11% 13.1%
Net margin (%) 7.59% 11.06% 12.8% 12.32% 11.28% 7.89% 8.43% 9.98%
FCF margin (%) 4.28% 4.23% 3.78% 4.49% -14.25% 0.95% 5.58% 5.78%
FCF / Net Income (%) 56.38% 38.24% 29.54% 36.42% -126.26% 12% 66.18% 57.91%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.33% 14.92% 17.78% 14.92% 12.59% 7.79% 7.74% 9.32%
ROE 15.57% 23.22% 25.53% 20.16% 17.03% 10.44% 11.97% 14.04%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.14x 0.11x - - 0.26x 0.47x 0.31x 0.29x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.59x 0.56x - - -0.4x 9.11x 1.07x 1.03x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 12.68% 12.49% 13.16% 15.27% 32.52% 18.57% 11.62% 11.98%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 73.38% 59.92% 58.54% 68.8% 150.75% 100.4% 60.42% 57.28%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 296.32% 295.05% 347.95% 340.33% -228.27% 1,959.57% 208.35% 207.28%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.63 14.33 17.73 21.59 21.78 21.22 21.77 25.52
Change - 23.22% 23.79% 21.77% 0.85% -2.58% 2.59% 17.24%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 36.69 46.36 59.55 72.54 86.21 97.59 105.7 117.8
Change - 26.37% 28.45% 21.81% 18.83% 13.21% 8.3% 11.49%
EPS 1 5.2 9.48 13.4 13.26 13.51 9.52 10.58 13.61
Change - 82.31% 41.35% -1.04% 1.89% -29.53% 11.13% 28.61%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 25,888 26,241 26,392 26,477 26,525 26,573 26,573 26,573
Announcement Date 08/02/21 02/02/22 03/02/23 02/02/24 03/02/25 10/02/26 - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 34.3x 35.8x
PBR 3.88x 3.59x
EV / Sales 2.68x 3.05x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
379.08USD
Average target price
389.00USD
Spread / Average Target
+2.62%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise