Projected Income Statement: Sage Group plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sage Group plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 247 733 561 738 1,189 1,340 1,047 670
Change - 196.76% -23.47% 31.55% 61.11% 12.7% -21.87% -36.01%
Announcement Date 17/11/21 16/11/22 22/11/23 20/11/24 19/11/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sage Group plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 39 12 5 19 41 43.85 45.39 47.96
Change - -69.23% -58.33% 280% 115.79% 6.96% 3.49% 5.68%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 337 295 404 524 517 538.7 605.4 676.9
Change - -12.46% 36.95% 29.7% -1.34% 4.2% 12.38% 11.8%
Announcement Date 17/11/21 16/11/22 22/11/23 20/11/24 19/11/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sage Group plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 24% 24.04% 25.32% 26.67% 27.62% 27.08% 27.51% 27.97%
EBIT Margin (%) 19.39% 19.36% 20.88% 22.68% 23.88% 24.36% 25.02% 25.58%
EBT Margin (%) 18.8% 17.31% 12.91% 18.27% 19.26% 20.62% 21.78% 22.66%
Net margin (%) 15.44% 13.35% 9.66% 13.85% 14.68% 15.49% 16.46% 17.14%
FCF margin (%) 18.26% 15.15% 18.5% 22.47% 20.57% 19.54% 20.17% 20.75%
FCF / Net Income (%) 118.25% 113.46% 191.47% 162.23% 140.11% 126.13% 122.55% 121.08%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.09% 7.28% 8.4% 10.09% 11.51% 12.29% 13.52% 14.13%
ROE 20.63% 20.97% 23.47% 30.56% 46.66% 80.69% 98.11% 81.9%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.56x 1.57x 1.01x 1.19x 1.71x 1.79x 1.27x 0.73x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.73x 2.48x 1.39x 1.41x 2.3x 2.49x 1.73x 0.99x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.11% 0.62% 0.23% 0.81% 1.63% 1.59% 1.51% 1.47%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.8% 2.56% 0.9% 3.05% 5.91% 5.87% 5.5% 5.26%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 11.57% 4.07% 1.24% 3.63% 7.93% 8.14% 7.5% 7.09%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.345 0.2762 0.3736 0.479 0.5317 0.6162 0.6998 0.8049
Change - -19.93% 35.26% 28.22% 11% 15.89% 13.56% 15.02%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1768 0.184 0.193 0.2045 0.2185 0.2335 0.2491 0.2679
Change - 4.07% 4.89% 5.96% 6.85% 6.88% 6.67% 7.56%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.067 1.37 1.379 1.085 0.7362 0.5327 0.8169 1.174
Change - 28.36% 0.72% -21.31% -32.17% -27.65% 53.36% 43.67%
EPS 1 0.2608 0.2517 0.2043 0.3155 0.3716 0.4455 0.5276 0.6042
Change - -3.49% -18.83% 54.43% 17.78% 19.89% 18.43% 14.52%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,043,006 1,015,010 1,022,463 997,654 948,161 902,102 902,102 902,102
Announcement Date 17/11/21 16/11/22 22/11/23 20/11/24 19/11/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 19.4x 16.3x
PBR 16.2x 10.6x
EV / Sales 3.27x 2.91x
Yield 2.71% 2.89%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
8.514GBP
Average target price
11.05GBP
Spread / Average Target
+29.84%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. SGE Stock
  4. Financials Sage Group plc
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