Projected Income Statement: Sage Group plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sage Group plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 247 733 561 738 1,189 1,134 756 599
Change - 196.76% -23.47% 31.55% 61.11% -4.63% -33.33% -20.77%
Announcement Date 17/11/21 16/11/22 22/11/23 20/11/24 19/11/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sage Group plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 39 12 5 19 41 41.67 45.73 51.12
Change - -69.23% -58.33% 280% 115.79% 1.64% 9.74% 11.78%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 337 295 404 524 517 545.4 613.6 689.8
Change - -12.46% 36.95% 29.7% -1.34% 5.49% 12.51% 12.43%
Announcement Date 17/11/21 16/11/22 22/11/23 20/11/24 19/11/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sage Group plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 24% 24.04% 25.32% 26.67% 27.62% 27.09% 27.5% 28.05%
EBIT Margin (%) 19.39% 19.36% 20.88% 22.68% 23.88% 24.36% 24.95% 25.49%
EBT Margin (%) 18.8% 17.31% 12.91% 18.27% 19.26% 21.21% 22.11% 22.87%
Net margin (%) 15.44% 13.35% 9.66% 13.85% 14.68% 16.03% 16.76% 17.44%
FCF margin (%) 18.26% 15.15% 18.5% 22.47% 20.57% 19.82% 20.52% 21.28%
FCF / Net Income (%) 118.25% 113.46% 191.47% 162.23% 140.11% 123.64% 122.48% 122.02%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.09% 7.28% 8.4% 10.09% 11.51% 12.91% 14.26% 15.26%
ROE 20.63% 20.97% 23.47% 30.56% 46.66% 67.57% 71.02% 86.64%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.56x 1.57x 1.01x 1.19x 1.71x 1.52x 0.92x 0.66x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.73x 2.48x 1.39x 1.41x 2.3x 2.08x 1.23x 0.87x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.11% 0.62% 0.23% 0.81% 1.63% 1.51% 1.53% 1.58%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.8% 2.56% 0.9% 3.05% 5.91% 5.59% 5.56% 5.62%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 11.57% 4.07% 1.24% 3.63% 7.93% 7.64% 7.45% 7.41%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.345 0.2762 0.3736 0.479 0.5317 0.6213 0.6879 0.7949
Change - -19.93% 35.26% 28.22% 11% 16.84% 10.72% 15.56%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1768 0.184 0.193 0.2045 0.2185 0.2332 0.2489 0.2686
Change - 4.07% 4.89% 5.96% 6.85% 6.72% 6.75% 7.91%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.067 1.37 1.379 1.085 0.7362 0.7801 1.077 1.379
Change - 28.36% 0.72% -21.31% -32.17% 5.96% 38% 28.07%
EPS 1 0.2608 0.2517 0.2043 0.3155 0.3716 0.4505 0.519 0.5916
Change - -3.49% -18.83% 54.43% 17.78% 21.22% 15.21% 14.01%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,043,006 1,015,010 1,022,463 997,654 948,161 944,777 944,777 944,777
Announcement Date 17/11/21 16/11/22 22/11/23 20/11/24 19/11/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 23.1x 20x
PBR 13.3x 9.66x
EV / Sales 3.98x 3.54x
Yield 2.24% 2.39%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
10.40GBP
Average target price
12.91GBP
Spread / Average Target
+24.16%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. SGE Stock
  4. Financials Sage Group plc