Projected Income Statement: SAAB AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: SAAB AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,125 -2,432 -2,343 -2,211 -3,989 -5,206 -7,273 -11,942
Change - -214.45% 3.66% 5.63% -80.42% -30.51% -39.7% -64.2%
Announcement Date 11/02/22 10/02/23 09/02/24 07/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SAAB AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,520 2,310 3,538 3,942 6,077 7,328 7,397 7,793
Change - -8.33% 53.16% 11.42% 54.16% 20.59% 0.94% 5.34%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,193 2,344 2,924 1,893 462 2,010 2,564 4,548
Change - -26.59% 24.74% -35.26% -75.59% 335.17% 27.53% 77.38%
Announcement Date 11/02/22 10/02/23 09/02/24 07/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SAAB AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 12.33% 12.86% 12.71% 13.18% 14.34% 14.29% 14.58% 14.74%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.38% 7.79% 8.28% 8.88% 10.19% 10.49% 10.87% 11.17%
EBT Margin (%) 6.58% 6.71% 8.56% 8.3% 10.13% 10.23% 10.63% 11.01%
Net margin (%) 4.92% 5.23% 6.55% 6.54% 7.98% 7.98% 8.27% 8.58%
FCF margin (%) 8.15% 5.58% 5.67% 2.97% 0.58% 2.09% 2.22% 3.38%
FCF / Net Income (%) 165.78% 106.79% 86.48% 45.38% 7.32% 26.21% 26.87% 39.35%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.07% - - 4.52% 5.62% 5.55% 6.05% 6.3%
ROE 9% 8.6% 11.1% 12.4% 16% 16.6% 18.03% 18.87%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.44x - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.67x - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.44% 5.5% 6.86% 6.18% 7.68% 7.62% 6.41% 5.79%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 52.22% 42.77% 53.95% 46.92% 53.56% 53.31% 43.96% 39.24%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 78.92% 98.55% 121% 208.24% 1,315.37% 364.5% 288.51% 171.35%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 10.72 8.701 12.02 12.48 22.43 23.97 22.92 26.46
Change - -18.8% 38.17% 3.85% 79.62% 6.87% -4.38% 15.46%
Dividend per Share 1 1.225 1.325 1.6 2 2.4 3.145 4.28 5.214
Change - 8.16% 20.75% 25% 20% 31.05% 36.07% 21.83%
Book Value Per Share 1 43.58 55.64 60.1 66.33 80.58 92.35 107.1 124.6
Change - 27.68% 8.02% 10.36% 21.48% 14.6% 15.92% 16.41%
EPS 1 3.612 4.102 6.29 7.74 11.7 14.39 18.08 21.99
Change - 13.56% 53.32% 23.05% 51.16% 22.98% 25.69% 21.62%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 526,704 529,386 532,293 534,427 537,166 537,769 537,769 537,769
Announcement Date 11/02/22 10/02/23 09/02/24 07/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 36.3x 28.8x
PBR 5.65x 4.87x
EV / Sales 2.86x 2.37x
Yield 0.6% 0.82%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
521.60SEK
Average target price
574.17SEK
Spread / Average Target
+10.08%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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