Projected Income Statement: Rio Tinto plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Rio Tinto plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 664 -1,576 4,188 4,231 5,491 13,885 13,422 12,063
Change - -337.35% 365.74% 1.03% 29.78% 152.87% -3.33% -10.13%
Announcement Date 17/02/21 23/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Rio Tinto plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 6,189 7,384 6,750 7,086 9,621 10,656 10,569 9,679
Change - 19.31% -8.59% 4.98% 35.77% 10.76% -0.81% -8.42%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 9,686 17,961 9,010 7,657 5,978 5,568 9,392 10,998
Change - 85.43% -49.84% -15.02% -21.93% -6.86% 68.69% 17.1%
Announcement Date 17/02/21 23/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Rio Tinto plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 53.58% 59.41% 47.29% 44.21% 43.45% 44.01% 46.29% 45.47%
EBIT Margin (%) 43.99% 52.01% 36.92% 28.68% 30.73% 30.99% 34.23% 33.46%
EBT Margin (%) 34.5% 48.56% 33.59% 25.51% 29.1% 28.03% 32.66% 32.27%
Net margin (%) 21.9% 33.22% 22.36% 18.61% 21.53% 19.33% 22.57% 22.29%
FCF margin (%) 21.71% 28.29% 16.22% 14.17% 11.14% 9.9% 15.73% 17.92%
FCF / Net Income (%) 99.15% 85.15% 72.54% 76.13% 51.75% 51.22% 69.67% 80.42%

Profitability

        
ROA 13.44% 21.06% 12.44% 10.04% 11.2% 9.7% 11.06% 10.62%
ROE 28.42% 42.84% 24.45% 19.12% 21.04% 18.39% 20.23% 18.76%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.03x - 0.16x 0.18x 0.24x 0.56x 0.49x 0.43x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.07x - 0.46x 0.55x 0.92x 2.49x 1.43x 1.1x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 13.87% 11.63% 12.15% 13.11% 17.93% 18.95% 17.7% 15.77%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.89% 19.58% 25.69% 29.66% 41.27% 43.06% 38.23% 34.69%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 63.9% 41.11% 74.92% 92.54% 160.94% 191.39% 112.53% 88.01%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 9.747 15.56 9.901 9.292 9.55 9.768 11.28 11.42
Change - 59.63% -36.37% -6.15% 2.77% 2.29% 15.52% 1.22%
Dividend per Share 1 4.64 10.4 4.92 4.35 4.02 3.917 4.451 4.439
Change - 124.14% -52.69% -11.59% -7.59% -2.55% 13.63% -0.27%
Book Value Per Share 1 29.09 31.78 30.98 33.67 42.79 37.92 40.92 43.76
Change - 9.24% -2.53% 8.68% 27.11% -11.4% 7.93% 6.93%
EPS 1 5.998 12.95 7.621 6.165 7.072 6.39 7.733 7.718
Change - 115.91% -41.15% -19.11% 14.71% -9.65% 21.02% -0.2%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,616,304 1,618,208 1,619,647 1,621,558 1,623,047 1,625,109 1,625,109 1,625,109
Announcement Date 17/02/21 23/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 14.6x 12x
PBR 2.46x 2.28x
EV / Sales 3.05x 2.86x
Yield 4.21% 4.78%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
93.13USD
Average target price
88.42USD
Spread / Average Target
-5.06%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. RIO Stock
  4. Financials Rio Tinto plc