Projected Income Statement: Reece Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Reece Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 507 870 725 518 590 2,091 1,525 1,343
Change - 71.6% -16.67% -28.55% 13.9% 254.41% -27.07% -11.93%
Announcement Date 24/08/21 23/08/22 22/08/23 18/08/24 24/08/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Reece Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 69.61 184.2 177 258 258.4 220.8 244.3 260.5
Change - 164.67% -3.93% 45.75% 0.16% -14.55% 10.63% 6.63%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 302 37.55 690 492.9 341.4 405 419.1 471.3
Change - -87.57% 1,737.35% -28.56% -30.74% 18.63% 3.48% 12.46%
Announcement Date 24/08/21 23/08/22 22/08/23 18/08/24 24/08/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Reece Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.48% 10.95% 11.03% 11.06% 10.03% 9.72% 10.06% 10.4%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.86% 7.55% 7.4% 7.48% 6.11% 5.72% 6.09% 6.5%
EBT Margin (%) 6.06% 6.66% 6.42% 6.48% 5.02% 4.43% 4.82% 5.35%
Net margin (%) 4.56% 5.13% 4.39% 4.6% 3.53% 3.12% 3.4% 3.73%
FCF margin (%) 4.82% 0.49% 7.81% 5.41% 3.8% 4.36% 4.3% 4.54%
FCF / Net Income (%) 105.6% 9.57% 177.84% 117.6% 107.72% 139.86% 126.24% 121.91%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.58% 6.17% 5.73% 5.98% 4.37% 5.03% 5.48% 6.27%
ROE 10.13% 12.64% 11.16% 11.16% 7.99% 7.51% 8.47% 9.26%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.7x 1.04x 0.74x 0.51x 0.66x 2.31x 1.55x 1.24x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.68x 23.16x 1.05x 1.05x 1.73x 5.16x 3.64x 2.85x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.11% 2.41% 2% 2.83% 2.88% 2.38% 2.5% 2.51%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 9.67% 21.98% 18.15% 25.62% 28.69% 24.44% 24.88% 24.12%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 23.05% 490.58% 25.65% 52.34% 75.68% 54.51% 58.28% 55.26%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5726 1.007 1.187 1.163 0.9311 0.989 1.068 1.173
Change - 75.93% 17.83% -2.02% -19.93% 6.22% 8.01% 9.79%
Dividend per Share 1 0.18 0.225 0.25 0.2575 0.1836 0.1766 0.2124 0.2686
Change - 25% 11.11% 3% -28.7% -3.8% 20.26% 26.45%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.471 5.141 5.612 6.013 6.262 6.046 6.344 6.844
Change - 14.98% 9.17% 7.14% 4.15% -3.45% 4.93% 7.88%
EPS 1 0.44 0.61 0.6 0.65 0.49 0.4646 0.5426 0.6344
Change - 38.64% -1.64% 8.33% -24.62% -5.18% 16.77% 16.93%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 645,984 645,984 645,984 645,984 645,984 615,092 615,092 615,092
Announcement Date 24/08/21 23/08/22 22/08/23 18/08/24 24/08/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 32.5x 27.8x
PBR 2.5x 2.38x
EV / Sales 1.22x 1.11x
Yield 1.17% 1.41%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
15.10AUD
Average target price
15.61AUD
Spread / Average Target
+3.36%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. REH Stock
  4. Financials Reece Limited
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