Company Valuation: PT Gudang Garam Tbk

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Capitalization 1 78,887,608 58,877,093 34,633,584 39,107,089 25,542,268 25,878,984 - -
Change - -25.37% -41.18% 12.92% -34.69% 1.32% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 80,299 64,810 40,363 48,247 31,212 23,188 21,492 18,126
Change - -19.29% -37.72% 19.53% -35.31% -25.71% -7.32% -15.66%
P/E ratio 10.3x 10.5x 12.5x 7.35x 26x 28.5x 11.5x 12.2x
PBR 1.35x 0.99x 0.6x 0.64x 0.41x 0.42x 0.4x 0.41x
PEG - -0.4x -0.2x 0.1x -0.3x -3.86x 0x -2.17x
Capitalization / Revenue 0.69x 0.47x 0.28x 0.33x 0.26x 0.29x 0.28x 0.28x
EV / Revenue 0.7x 0.52x 0.32x 0.41x 0.32x 0.26x 0.23x 0.2x
EV / EBITDA 6.29x 6.48x 5.99x 4.66x 6.66x 4.07x 2.96x 2.59x
EV / EBIT 7.99x 9.11x 10.7x 6.64x 18.5x 9.88x 6.06x 5.29x
EV / FCF 6.62x 166x 9.08x -37.4x 9.34x 4.15x 9.35x 8.13x
FCF Yield 15.1% 0.6% 11% -2.67% 10.7% 24.1% 10.7% 12.3%
Dividend per Share 3 - 2,250 2,250 1,200 - 400.5 930.9 968
Rate of return - 7.35% 12.5% 5.9% - 2.98% 6.92% 7.2%
EPS 3 3,975 2,913 1,445 2,767 510 472.3 1,171 1,105
Distribution rate - 77.2% 156% 43.4% - 84.8% 79.5% 87.6%
Net sales 1 114,477 124,881 124,683 118,953 98,655 89,115 91,480 92,795
EBITDA 1 12,771 10,009 6,743 10,362 4,684 5,704 7,249 7,007
EBIT 1 10,046 7,113 3,771 7,261 1,689 2,348 3,547 3,424
Net income 1 7,648 5,605 2,780 5,325 980.8 908.8 2,253 2,126
Net Debt 1 1,412 5,933 5,729 9,140 5,670 -2,691 -4,387 -7,753
Reference price 3 41,000.00 30,600.00 18,000.00 20,325.00 13,275.00 13,450.00 13,450.00 13,450.00
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,924,088 1,924,088 1,924,088 1,924,088 1,924,088 1,924,088 - -
Announcement Date 31/03/21 31/03/22 31/03/23 28/03/24 28/03/25 - - -
1IDR in Million2IDR in Billions3IDR
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
29.32x0.27x4.2x2.89% 1.6B
12.05x5.99x9.57x7.1% 98.52B
18.96x3.21x10.81x3.88% 66.06B
24.26x6.2x18.35x3.76% 56.19B
15.56x2.22x8.85x4.22% 9.97B
13.5x0.71x8.86x7.56% 5.2B
20.74x1.25x8.26x0.51% 2.89B
11.88x2.78x8.7x7.15% 2.65B
9.65x1.3x6.66x9.38% 1.13B
Average 17.33x 2.66x 9.36x 5.16% 27.13B
Weighted average by Cap. 17.11x 4.87x 11.81x 5.26%
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Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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