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End-of-day quote
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 14,375.00 IDR | -3.04% |
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-5.74% | +2.68% |
| 01-30 | Nomura Starts Gudang Garam at Reduce With IDR12,600 Price Target | MT |
| 31/10/25 | PT Gudang Garam Tbk Reports Earnings Results for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2025 | CI |
Projected Income Statement: PT Gudang Garam Tbk
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 114,477 | 124,881 | 124,683 | 118,953 | 98,655 | 89,023 | 91,322 | 92,931 |
| Change | - | 9.09% | -0.16% | -4.6% | -17.06% | -9.76% | 2.58% | 1.76% |
| EBITDA 1 | 12,771 | 10,009 | 6,743 | 10,362 | 4,684 | 5,265 | 6,702 | 6,427 |
| Change | - | -21.63% | -32.63% | 53.67% | -54.8% | 12.4% | 27.3% | -4.1% |
| EBIT 1 | 10,046 | 7,113 | 3,771 | 7,261 | 1,689 | 2,279 | 3,375 | 3,267 |
| Change | - | -29.2% | -46.99% | 92.57% | -76.74% | 34.9% | 48.09% | -3.19% |
| Interest Paid 2 | -382,722 | -74,919 | -262,405 | -578,782 | -502,906 | -474,925 | -416,660 | -400,675 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 9,663 | 7,287 | 3,647 | 6,861 | 1,401 | 1,548 | 2,879 | 2,410 |
| Change | - | -24.59% | -49.96% | 88.15% | -79.59% | 10.53% | 86% | -16.31% |
| Net income 1 | 7,648 | 5,605 | 2,780 | 5,325 | 980.8 | 1,001 | 2,147 | 2,046 |
| Change | - | -26.71% | -50.41% | 91.55% | -81.58% | 2.04% | 114.51% | -4.7% |
| Announcement Date | 31/03/21 | 31/03/22 | 31/03/23 | 28/03/24 | 28/03/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: PT Gudang Garam Tbk
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 1,412 | 5,933 | 5,729 | 9,140 | 5,670 | 1,388 | 197 | -1,306 |
| Change | - | 320.18% | -3.44% | 59.54% | -37.96% | -75.52% | -85.81% | -762.94% |
| Announcement Date | 31/03/21 | 31/03/22 | 31/03/23 | 28/03/24 | 28/03/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: PT Gudang Garam Tbk
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 5,351 | 4,935 | 5,424 | 5,698 | 3,185 | 3,060 | 2,956 | 2,885 |
| Change | - | -7.79% | 9.92% | 5.06% | -44.1% | -3.94% | -3.37% | -2.42% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 12,126,298 | 390,595 | 4,444,108 | -1,288,858 | 3,342,061 | 5,592,150 | 2,298,500 | 2,228,400 |
| Change | - | -96.78% | 1,037.78% | -129% | 359.3% | 67.33% | -58.9% | -3.05% |
| Announcement Date | 31/03/21 | 31/03/22 | 31/03/23 | 28/03/24 | 28/03/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: PT Gudang Garam Tbk
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 11.16% | 8.01% | 5.41% | 8.71% | 4.75% | 5.91% | 7.34% | 6.92% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 8.78% | 5.7% | 3.02% | 6.1% | 1.71% | 2.56% | 3.7% | 3.52% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 8.44% | 5.84% | 2.92% | 5.77% | 1.42% | 1.74% | 3.15% | 2.59% |
| Net margin (%) | 6.68% | 4.49% | 2.23% | 4.48% | 0.99% | 1.12% | 2.35% | 2.2% |
| FCF margin (%) | 10,592.75% | 312.77% | 3,564.33% | -1,083.5% | 3,387.61% | 6,281.72% | 2,516.92% | 2,397.91% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 158,560.85% | 6,968.3% | 159,875.01% | -24,206.12% | 340,746.73% | 558,767.99% | 107,064.67% | 108,918.15% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 9.75% | 6.67% | 3.11% | 3.07% | 1.11% | 1.28% | 2.78% | 2.23% |
| ROE | 13.97% | 9.52% | 4.75% | 8.97% | 1.6% | 2.65% | 3.17% | 3.41% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.11x | 0.59x | 0.85x | 0.88x | 1.21x | 0.26x | 0.03x | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0x | 0.02x | 0x | -0.01x | 0x | 0x | 0x | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.67% | 3.95% | 4.35% | 4.79% | 3.23% | 3.44% | 3.24% | 3.1% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 41.9% | 49.3% | 80.43% | 54.99% | 68% | 58.11% | 44.11% | 44.88% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 0.04% | 1.26% | 0.12% | -0.44% | 0.1% | 0.05% | 0.13% | 0.13% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 9,084 | 2,768 | 5,129 | 2,292 | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | -69.53% | 85.31% | -55.32% | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | 2,250 | 2,250 | 1,200 | - | 476.4 | 900.1 | 778.7 |
| Change | - | - | 0% | -46.67% | - | - | 88.94% | -13.49% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 30,416 | 30,814 | 30,069 | 31,632 | 32,180 | 32,259 | 33,303 | 32,986 |
| Change | - | 1.31% | -2.42% | 5.2% | 1.73% | 0.25% | 3.24% | -0.95% |
| EPS 1 | 3,975 | 2,913 | 1,445 | 2,767 | 510 | 520.1 | 1,116 | 1,063 |
| Change | - | -26.72% | -50.39% | 91.49% | -81.57% | 1.99% | 114.51% | -4.71% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,924,088 | 1,924,088 | 1,924,088 | 1,924,088 | 1,924,088 | 1,924,088 | 1,924,088 | 1,924,088 |
| Announcement Date | 31/03/21 | 31/03/22 | 31/03/23 | 28/03/24 | 28/03/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 27.6x | 12.9x |
| PBR | 0.45x | 0.43x |
| EV / Sales | 0.33x | 0.31x |
| Yield | 3.31% | 6.26% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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