Projected Income Statement: Packaging Corporation of America

Forecast Balance Sheet: Packaging Corporation of America

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 1,399 2,028 2,388 1,739 1,694 3,294 3,105 2,980
Change - 44.96% 17.75% -27.18% -2.59% 94.46% -5.74% -4.03%
Announcement Date 27/01/21 26/01/22 25/01/23 24/01/24 28/01/25 27/01/26 - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Packaging Corporation of America

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 421.2 605.1 824.2 469.7 669.7 828.9 818.2 735.3
Change - 43.66% 36.21% -43.01% 42.58% 23.77% 1.15% -10.13%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 611.6 489 670.8 845.4 521.5 816.3 738.7 1,102
Change - -20.05% 37.18% 26.03% -38.31% 56.53% -9.51% 49.24%
Announcement Date 27/01/21 26/01/22 25/01/23 24/01/24 28/01/25 27/01/26 - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Packaging Corporation of America

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.4% 21.54% 22.24% 20.56% 19.53% 20.71% 21.35% 22.18%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.38% 16.21% 16.92% 14.11% 13.28% 13.99% 14.46% 15.47%
EBT Margin (%) 9.5% 14.34% 16.1% 13% 12.7% 11.43% 13.11% 14.45%
Net margin (%) 6.92% 10.88% 12.15% 9.73% 9.54% 8.55% 9.68% 10.92%
FCF margin (%) 9.19% 6.33% 7.91% 10.84% 6.22% 8.98% 7.32% 10.43%
FCF / Net Income (%) 132.67% 58.14% 65.14% 111.38% 65.23% 95% 75.58% 95.53%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.5% 11.02% 13% 9.1% 9.13% 9.22% 9.74% 10.16%
ROE 17.41% 24.55% 28.31% 20.47% 21.54% 19.14% 20.01% 20.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.14x 1.22x 1.27x 1.08x 1.03x 1.73x 1.44x 1.27x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.29x 4.15x 3.56x 2.06x 3.25x 4.04x 4.2x 2.7x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.33% 7.83% 9.72% 6.02% 7.99% 9.22% 8.11% 6.96%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.38% 36.33% 43.71% 29.29% 40.91% 44.53% 37.98% 31.37%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 68.87% 123.74% 122.87% 55.56% 128.42% 99.09% 110.76% 66.69%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 10.94 11.58 16.13 14.7 13.31 18.37 18.6 21.84
Change - 5.82% 39.3% -8.85% -9.46% 38.02% 1.23% 17.45%
Dividend per Share 1 3.37 4 4.75 5 5 5.025 5.037 5.099
Change - 18.69% 18.75% 5.26% 0% 0.49% 0.25% 1.23%
Book Value Per Share 1 34.24 38.56 39.56 44.66 49.21 53.83 57.52 63.31
Change - 12.62% 2.58% 12.9% 10.17% 9.4% 6.85% 10.05%
EPS 1 4.84 8.83 11.03 8.48 8.93 8.58 10.91 12.98
Change - 82.44% 24.92% -23.12% 5.31% -3.92% 14.12% 18.95%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 94,160 94,319 91,873 88,953 89,169 89,371 89,371 89,371
Announcement Date 27/01/21 26/01/22 25/01/23 24/01/24 28/01/25 27/01/26 - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 24x 21.2x
PBR 4.31x 4.03x
EV / Sales 2.05x 2.36x
Yield 2.17% 2.17%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
231.91USD
Average target price
230.40USD
Spread / Average Target
-0.65%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. PKG Stock
  4. Financials Packaging Corporation of America