Company Valuation: Origin Energy Limited

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Capitalization 1 7,942 9,869 14,477 18,707 18,511 20,128 - -
Change - 24.26% 46.69% 29.22% -1.05% 8.74% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 12,581 12,707 17,354 21,540 23,165 24,943 25,407 25,343
Change - 1% 36.57% 24.13% 7.54% 7.68% 1.86% -0.25%
P/E ratio -3.46x -7.03x 13.7x 13.4x 12.6x 18.5x 18.6x 17.7x
PBR 0.81x 0.98x 1.63x 1.98x 1.87x 2.01x 1.99x 1.96x
PEG - 0.2x -0x 0.4x 2x -0.7x -20.97x 3.25x
Capitalization / Revenue 0.66x 0.68x 0.88x 1.16x 1.07x 1.2x 1.19x 1.16x
EV / Revenue 1.04x 0.88x 1.05x 1.33x 1.34x 1.49x 1.5x 1.47x
EV / EBITDA 6.14x 6.01x 5.59x 6.11x 6.79x 8.07x 8.1x 7.8x
EV / EBIT 23.3x 24.1x 12.2x 11.1x 12.2x 15.6x 16x 15.2x
EV / FCF 15x 34.4x -13.2x 16.6x 19.2x 19.5x 23.3x 20.5x
FCF Yield 6.68% 2.9% -7.57% 6.02% 5.21% 5.13% 4.29% 4.88%
Dividend per Share 2 0.2 0.29 0.365 0.55 0.6 0.6039 0.613 0.6205
Rate of return 4.43% 5.06% 4.34% 5.06% 5.56% 5.15% 5.23% 5.29%
EPS 2 -1.302 -0.815 0.613 0.808 0.859 0.6347 0.6291 0.6633
Distribution rate -15.4% -35.6% 59.5% 68.1% 69.8% 95.1% 97.4% 93.6%
Net sales 1 12,097 14,461 16,481 16,138 17,224 16,719 16,970 17,293
EBITDA 1 2,048 2,114 3,107 3,528 3,411 3,090 3,136 3,248
EBIT 1 540 527 1,417 1,941 1,895 1,596 1,592 1,667
Net income 1 -2,291 -1,429 1,055 1,397 1,481 1,186 1,105 1,149
Net Debt 1 4,639 2,838 2,877 2,833 4,654 4,815 5,279 5,215
Reference price 2 4.51 5.73 8.41 10.86 10.79 11.73 11.73 11.73
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,760,921 1,722,303 1,721,367 1,722,603 1,715,566 1,715,934 - -
Announcement Date 18/08/21 17/08/22 16/08/23 14/08/24 13/08/25 - - -
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
18.59x1.5x8.11x5.12% 13.84B
85.96x4.57x51.35x0.15% 180B
24.27x9.36x16.13x2.66% 177B
19.07x3.65x10.57x3.72% 143B
13.35x1.9x6.54x5.35% 107B
30.38x4.52x20.58x0.54% 104B
20.84x5.84x12.99x3.37% 96.36B
18.62x5.59x11.5x3.61% 91.54B
18.95x5.09x12.42x3.2% 62.59B
32.48x3.62x12.05x0.58% 54.33B
Average 28.25x 4.56x 16.22x 2.83% 102.9B
Weighted average by Cap. 33.01x 5.13x 19.70x 2.54%
See all sector valuations

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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