Company Valuation: Origin Energy Limited

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Capitalization 1 10,285 7,942 9,869 14,477 18,707 20,158 - -
Change - -22.78% 24.26% 46.69% 29.22% 7.75% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 15,897 12,581 12,707 17,354 21,540 25,089 25,154 25,204
Change - -20.86% 1% 36.57% 24.13% 16.48% 0.26% 0.2%
P/E ratio 124x -3.46x -7.03x 13.7x 13.4x 12.9x 17.7x 18.4x
PBR 0.81x 0.81x 0.98x 1.63x 1.98x 1.98x 1.94x 1.9x
PEG - 0x 0.2x -0x 0.4x 1x -0.6x -5.17x
Capitalization / Revenue 0.78x 0.66x 0.68x 0.88x 1.16x 1.2x 1.23x 1.2x
EV / Revenue 1.21x 1.04x 0.88x 1.05x 1.33x 1.49x 1.53x 1.5x
EV / EBITDA 5.06x 6.14x 6.01x 5.59x 6.11x 7.26x 8.17x 8.11x
EV / EBIT 12x 23.3x 24.1x 12.2x 11.1x 12.9x 15.4x 15.3x
EV / FCF 24x 15x 34.4x -13.2x 16.6x 67x 23.4x 24.5x
FCF Yield 4.16% 6.68% 2.9% -7.57% 6.02% 1.49% 4.27% 4.09%
Dividend per Share 2 0.25 0.2 0.29 0.365 0.55 0.5922 0.6011 0.6107
Rate of return 4.28% 4.43% 5.06% 4.34% 5.06% 5.04% 5.12% 5.2%
EPS 2 0.047 -1.302 -0.815 0.613 0.808 0.9114 0.6629 0.6393
Distribution rate 532% -15.4% -35.6% 59.5% 68.1% 65% 90.7% 95.5%
Net sales 1 13,157 12,097 14,461 16,481 16,138 16,862 16,455 16,769
EBITDA 1 3,141 2,048 2,114 3,107 3,528 3,454 3,080 3,106
EBIT 1 1,329 540 527 1,417 1,941 1,943 1,630 1,649
Net income 1 83 -2,291 -1,429 1,055 1,397 1,536 1,117 1,125
Net Debt 1 5,612 4,639 2,838 2,877 2,833 4,932 4,996 5,046
Reference price 2 5.84 4.51 5.73 8.41 10.86 11.75 11.75 11.75
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,761,128 1,760,921 1,722,303 1,721,367 1,722,603 1,715,566 - -
Announcement Date 19/08/20 18/08/21 17/08/22 16/08/23 14/08/24 - - -
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
12.82x1.48x7.23x5.07% 13.15B
21.38x8.58x14.22x3.04% 154B
71.58x3.74x42.9x0.19% 147B
16.38x3.11x9.18x4.32% 110B
21.81x6.15x13.72x3.17% 102B
38.73x4.56x21.74x0.49% 98.29B
11.83x1.63x6.08x5.99% 95.11B
18.85x5.37x11.29x3.63% 91.85B
34.1x4.08x14.03x0.47% 66.43B
18.11x4.97x11.97x3.58% 56.65B
Average 26.56x 4.37x 15.23x 3% 93.5B
Weighted average by Cap. 29.93x 4.82x 17.51x 2.72%
See all sector valuations

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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