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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 11.54 AUD | +0.44% |
|
-1.03% | +5.87% |
| 06:12am | Wärtsilä to deliver fourth stage of Eraring battery facility in New South Wales, Australia | RE |
| 06:09am | Wärtsilä Expands Australia's Largest Battery Project with New Phase | FW |
Projected Income Statement: Origin Energy Limited
Annual
Quarterly
Halfyear
Annual
Quarterly
Halfyear
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 12,097 | 14,461 | 16,481 | 16,138 | 17,224 | 16,774 | 17,014 | 17,338 |
| Change | - | 19.54% | 13.97% | -2.08% | 6.73% | -2.62% | 1.43% | 1.9% |
| EBITDA 1 | 2,048 | 2,114 | 3,107 | 3,528 | 3,411 | 3,101 | 3,188 | 3,292 |
| Change | - | 3.22% | 46.97% | 13.55% | -3.32% | -9.08% | 2.79% | 3.27% |
| EBIT 1 | 540 | 527 | 1,417 | 1,941 | 1,895 | 1,588 | 1,609 | 1,692 |
| Change | - | -2.41% | 168.88% | 36.98% | -2.37% | -16.2% | 1.33% | 5.13% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -133 | -129 | -143 | -123 | -130 | -205.8 | -236.8 | -248.8 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -1,846 | -874 | 1,478 | 2,003 | 1,596 | 1,372 | 1,345 | 1,338 |
| Change | - | 52.65% | 269.11% | 35.52% | -20.32% | -14.07% | -1.95% | -0.5% |
| Net income 1 | -2,291 | -1,429 | 1,055 | 1,397 | 1,481 | 1,185 | 1,116 | 1,154 |
| Change | - | 37.63% | 173.83% | 32.42% | 6.01% | -19.97% | -5.85% | 3.44% |
| Announcement Date | 18/08/21 | 17/08/22 | 16/08/23 | 14/08/24 | 13/08/25 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million
Estimates
Forecast Balance Sheet: Origin Energy Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 4,639 | 2,838 | 2,877 | 2,833 | 4,654 | 4,777 | 5,184 | 5,139 |
| Change | - | -38.82% | 1.37% | -1.53% | 64.28% | 2.64% | 8.52% | -0.87% |
| Announcement Date | 18/08/21 | 17/08/22 | 16/08/23 | 14/08/24 | 13/08/25 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million
Estimates
Cash Flow Forecast: Origin Energy Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 500 | 728 | 680 | 1,062 | 1,699 | 1,023 | 668.5 | 510.7 |
| Change | - | 45.6% | -6.59% | 56.18% | 59.98% | -39.79% | -34.65% | -23.6% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 840 | 369 | -1,313 | 1,296 | 1,207 | 1,300 | 1,126 | 1,278 |
| Change | - | -56.07% | -455.83% | 198.71% | -6.87% | 7.66% | -13.31% | 13.45% |
| Announcement Date | 18/08/21 | 17/08/22 | 16/08/23 | 14/08/24 | 13/08/25 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million
Estimates
Forecast Financial Ratios: Origin Energy Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 16.93% | 14.62% | 18.85% | 21.86% | 19.8% | 18.49% | 18.73% | 18.99% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 4.46% | 3.64% | 8.6% | 12.03% | 11% | 9.47% | 9.46% | 9.76% |
| EBT Margin (%) | -15.26% | -6.04% | 8.97% | 12.41% | 9.27% | 8.18% | 7.9% | 7.72% |
| Net margin (%) | -18.94% | -9.88% | 6.4% | 8.66% | 8.6% | 7.07% | 6.56% | 6.66% |
| FCF margin (%) | 6.94% | 2.55% | -7.97% | 8.03% | 7.01% | 7.75% | 6.62% | 7.37% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -36.67% | -25.82% | -124.45% | 92.77% | 81.5% | 109.64% | 100.95% | 110.72% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 1.38% | 1.8% | 3.48% | 6% | 7.19% | 6.03% | 5.9% | 5.84% |
| ROE | 2.83% | 4.18% | 7.91% | 12.87% | 15.35% | 11.35% | 11.3% | 12.32% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.27x | 1.34x | 0.93x | 0.8x | 1.36x | 1.54x | 1.63x | 1.56x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 5.52x | 7.69x | -2.19x | 2.19x | 3.86x | 3.68x | 4.6x | 4.02x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.13% | 5.03% | 4.13% | 6.58% | 9.86% | 6.1% | 3.93% | 2.95% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 24.41% | 34.44% | 21.89% | 30.1% | 49.81% | 32.98% | 20.97% | 15.51% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 59.52% | 197.29% | -51.79% | 81.94% | 140.76% | 78.72% | 59.34% | 39.96% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.5463 | 0.3028 | -0.3678 | 0.6442 | 0.2465 | 0.8816 | 0.7691 | 0.8408 |
| Change | - | -44.57% | -221.47% | 275.15% | -61.74% | 257.65% | -12.76% | 9.33% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.2 | 0.29 | 0.365 | 0.55 | 0.6 | 0.6048 | 0.617 | 0.6278 |
| Change | - | 45% | 25.86% | 50.68% | 9.09% | 0.8% | 2.03% | 1.74% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 5.551 | 5.823 | 5.166 | 5.487 | 5.781 | 5.792 | 5.869 | 5.997 |
| Change | - | 4.9% | -11.28% | 6.22% | 5.35% | 0.19% | 1.33% | 2.18% |
| EPS 1 | -1.302 | -0.815 | 0.613 | 0.808 | 0.859 | 0.6327 | 0.6371 | 0.6656 |
| Change | - | 37.4% | 175.21% | 31.81% | 6.31% | -26.34% | 0.7% | 4.48% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,760,921 | 1,722,303 | 1,721,367 | 1,722,603 | 1,715,566 | 1,715,934 | 1,715,934 | 1,715,934 |
| Announcement Date | 18/08/21 | 17/08/22 | 16/08/23 | 14/08/24 | 13/08/25 | - | - | - |
1AUD
Estimates
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 18.2x | 18x |
| PBR | 1.98x | 1.96x |
| EV / Sales | 1.46x | 1.46x |
| Yield | 5.26% | 5.37% |
More valuation ratios
* Estimated data
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Sell
Buy

Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
11.49AUD
Average target price
12.15AUD
Spread / Average Target
+5.78%
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
- Equities
- ORG Stock
- Financials Origin Energy Limited
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