Financials Origin Energy Limited

Equities

Market Closed - Australian S.E. Other stock markets 07:10:18 18/07/2025 BST			5-day change	1st Jan Change
12.00 ^AUD	+1.10%		+2.13%	+10.09%

07-15	Jarden Forecasts Brent Crude Oil to Rise to $70 Per Barrel From H2	MT
07-07	Australian Shares Flat as Tariff Pause Deadline Looms; Origin Energy Soars 6% Amid Report of Octopus Energy's Potential Demerger	MT

Fiscal Period: June	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
Net sales ¹	13,157	12,097	14,461	16,481	16,138	16,865	16,464	16,783
Change	-	-8.06%	19.54%	13.97%	-2.08%	4.5%	-2.37%	1.93%
EBITDA ¹	3,141	2,048	2,114	3,107	3,528	3,453	3,088	3,125
Change	-	-34.8%	3.22%	46.97%	13.55%	-2.13%	-10.55%	1.2%
EBIT ¹	1,329	540	527	1,417	1,941	1,943	1,640	1,667
Change	-	-59.37%	-2.41%	168.88%	36.98%	0.08%	-15.57%	1.62%
Interest Paid ¹	-126	-133	-129	-143	-123	-161.2	-247	-253
Earnings before Tax (EBT) ¹	179	-1,846	-874	1,478	2,003	870	1,085	1,112
Change	-	-1,131.28%	52.65%	269.11%	35.52%	-56.57%	24.67%	2.55%
Net income ¹	83	-2,291	-1,429	1,055	1,397	1,535	1,127	1,145
Change	-	-2,860.24%	37.63%	173.83%	32.42%	9.89%	-26.61%	1.63%
Announcement Date	19/08/20	18/08/21	17/08/22	16/08/23	14/08/24	-	-	-

¹AUD in Million

Estimates

Fiscal Period: June	2021 S1	2021 S2	2022 S1	2022 S2	2023 S1	2023 S2	2024 S1	2024 S2	2025 S1	2025 S2	2026 S1	2026 S2	2027 S1
Net sales ¹	6,068	6,029	-	7,950	-	7,721	-	8,142	8,771	8,526	8,519	8,284	8,699
Change	-	-0.64%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7.73%	-2.8%	-0.08%	-2.75%	5.01%
EBITDA	1,154	-	1,099	1,015	1,059	2,048	1,995	1,533	1,926	-	-	-	-
Change	-	-	-	-7.64%	4.33%	93.39%	-2.59%	-23.16%	25.64%	-	-	-	-
EBIT ¹	-	142	-	239	243	1,174	1,231	710	1,137	760.4	777.5	797	803.5
Change	-	-	-	-	1.67%	383.13%	4.86%	-42.32%	60.14%	-33.12%	2.25%	2.5%	0.82%
Charge d'intérêts ¹	-	-	-	-62	-	-	-62	-	-56	-125	-	-	-
Earnings before Tax (EBT) ¹	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	602	-	-	-
Change	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Net income	13	-	-131	-1,298	399	-	995	402	1,017	-	457	380	-
Change	-	-	-	-890.84%	130.74%	-	-	-59.6%	152.99%	-	-	-16.85%	-
Announcement Date	17/02/21	18/08/21	16/02/22	17/08/22	15/02/23	16/08/23	14/02/24	14/08/24	12/02/25	-	-	-	-

¹AUD in Million

Estimates

Fiscal Period: June	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
Net Debt ¹	5,612	4,639	2,838	2,877	2,833	4,931	4,995	5,041
Change	-	-17.34%	-38.82%	1.37%	-1.53%	74.06%	1.3%	0.92%
Announcement Date	19/08/20	18/08/21	17/08/22	16/08/23	14/08/24	-	-	-

¹AUD in Million

Estimates

Fiscal Period: June	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
CAPEX ¹	665	500	728	680	1,062	1,650	867.1	576.7
Change	-	-24.81%	45.6%	-6.59%	56.18%	55.35%	-47.44%	-33.49%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ¹	661	840	369	-1,313	1,296	376.2	1,073	1,048
Change	-	27.08%	-56.07%	-455.83%	198.71%	-70.97%	185.3%	-2.32%
Announcement Date	19/08/20	18/08/21	17/08/22	16/08/23	14/08/24	-	-	-

¹AUD in Million

Estimates

Fiscal Period: June	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
Profitability
EBITDA Margin (%)	23.87%	16.93%	14.62%	18.85%	21.86%	20.47%	18.76%	18.62%
EBIT Margin (%)	10.1%	4.46%	3.64%	8.6%	12.03%	11.52%	9.96%	9.93%
EBT Margin (%)	1.36%	-15.26%	-6.04%	8.97%	12.41%	5.16%	6.59%	6.63%
Net margin (%)	0.63%	-18.94%	-9.88%	6.4%	8.66%	9.1%	6.84%	6.82%
FCF margin (%)	5.02%	6.94%	2.55%	-7.97%	8.03%	2.23%	6.52%	6.25%
FCF / Net Income (%)	796.39%	-36.67%	-25.82%	-124.45%	92.77%	24.51%	95.27%	91.57%
Profitability
ROA	4.02%	1.38%	1.8%	3.48%	6%	7.77%	6.03%	6.2%
ROE	7.93%	2.83%	4.18%	7.91%	12.87%	15.23%	11.49%	11.52%
Financial Health
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA)	1.79x	2.27x	1.34x	0.93x	0.8x	1.43x	1.62x	1.61x
Debt / Free cash flow	8.49x	5.52x	7.69x	-2.19x	2.19x	13.11x	4.65x	4.81x
Capital Intensity
CAPEX / Current Assets (%)	5.05%	4.13%	5.03%	4.13%	6.58%	9.78%	5.27%	3.44%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%)	21.17%	24.41%	34.44%	21.89%	30.1%	47.78%	28.08%	18.45%
CAPEX / FCF (%)	100.61%	59.52%	197.29%	-51.79%	81.94%	438.5%	80.78%	55.01%
Items per share
Cash flow per share ¹	0.5389	0.5463	0.3028	-0.3678	0.6442	0.17	0.8419	0.6702
Change	-	1.38%	-44.57%	-221.47%	275.15%	-73.61%	395.24%	-20.4%
Dividend per Share ¹	0.25	0.2	0.29	0.365	0.55	0.5922	0.6011	0.6107
Change	-	-20%	45%	25.86%	50.68%	7.67%	1.51%	1.59%
Book Value Per Share ¹	7.213	5.551	5.823	5.166	5.487	5.932	6.057	6.222
Change	-	-23.04%	4.9%	-11.28%	6.22%	8.11%	2.09%	2.73%
EPS ¹	0.047	-1.302	-0.815	0.613	0.808	0.9114	0.6629	0.6393
Change	-	-2,870.21%	37.4%	175.21%	31.81%	12.79%	-27.26%	-3.56%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands)	1,761,128	1,760,921	1,722,303	1,721,367	1,722,603	1,715,566	1,715,566	1,715,566
Announcement Date	19/08/20	18/08/21	17/08/22	16/08/23	14/08/24	-	-	-