Financials Origin Energy Limited

Equities

ORG

AU000000ORG5

Electric Utilities

Market Closed - Australian S.E. 07:10:20 24/06/2024 BST 5-day change 1st Jan Change
10.66 AUD -0.93% Intraday chart for Origin Energy Limited +5.96% +25.86%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 12,870 10,285 7,942 9,869 14,477 18,363 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 18,920 15,897 12,581 12,707 17,354 21,422 20,973 20,553
P/E ratio 10.6 x 124 x -3.46 x -7.03 x 13.7 x 13.2 x 11.9 x 14.4 x
Yield 3.42% 4.28% 4.43% 5.06% 4.34% 5.14% 5.44% 4.93%
Capitalization / Revenue 0.87 x 0.78 x 0.66 x 0.68 x 0.88 x 1.14 x 1.12 x 1.13 x
EV / Revenue 1.28 x 1.21 x 1.04 x 0.88 x 1.05 x 1.33 x 1.27 x 1.26 x
EV / EBITDA 5.85 x 5.06 x 6.14 x 6.01 x 5.59 x 5.81 x 5.65 x 6.2 x
EV / FCF 16.7 x 24 x 15 x 34.4 x -13.2 x 21.1 x 10.2 x 11.5 x
FCF Yield 6% 4.16% 6.68% 2.9% -7.57% 4.74% 9.78% 8.72%
Price to Book 0.98 x 0.81 x 0.81 x 0.98 x 1.63 x 1.96 x 1.84 x 1.77 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,760,668 1,761,128 1,760,921 1,722,303 1,721,367 1,722,603 - -
Reference price 2 7.310 5.840 4.510 5.730 8.410 10.76 10.76 10.76
Announcement Date 21/08/19 19/08/20 18/08/21 17/08/22 16/08/23 - - -
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 14,727 13,157 12,097 14,461 16,481 16,134 16,450 16,299
EBITDA 1 3,232 3,141 2,048 2,114 3,107 3,685 3,715 3,315
EBIT 1 1,308 1,329 540 527 1,417 2,081 2,080 1,738
Operating Margin 8.88% 10.1% 4.46% 3.64% 8.6% 12.9% 12.64% 10.66%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 1,278 179 -1,846 -874 1,478 1,902 1,854 1,417
Net income 1 1,211 83 -2,291 -1,429 1,055 1,498 1,611 1,364
Net margin 8.22% 0.63% -18.94% -9.88% 6.4% 9.28% 9.79% 8.37%
EPS 2 0.6870 0.0470 -1.302 -0.8150 0.6130 0.8170 0.9072 0.7476
Free Cash Flow 1 1,135 661 840 369 -1,313 1,015 2,050 1,793
FCF margin 7.71% 5.02% 6.94% 2.55% -7.97% 6.29% 12.47% 11%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 35.12% 21.04% 41.02% 17.46% - 27.53% 55.2% 54.08%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 93.72% 796.39% - - - 67.75% 127.26% 131.4%
Dividend per Share 2 0.2500 0.2500 0.2000 0.2900 0.3650 0.5530 0.5850 0.5300
Announcement Date 21/08/19 19/08/20 18/08/21 17/08/22 16/08/23 - - -
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: June 2020 S1 2021 S1 2021 S2 2022 S1 2022 S2 2023 S1 2023 S2 2024 S1
Net sales 6,728 6,068 6,029 - 7,950 - 7,721 -
EBITDA 1 1,590 1,154 - 1,099 1,015 1,059 2,048 1,995
EBIT 1 665 - 142 - 239 243 1,174 1,231
Operating Margin 9.88% - 2.36% - 3.01% - 15.21% -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 697 - - - - - - -
Net income 1 599 13 - -131 -1,298 399 - 995
Net margin 8.9% 0.21% - - -16.33% - - -
EPS 2 0.3400 0.007000 - - - - - 0.5750
Dividend per Share 2 0.1500 0.1250 - 0.1250 - 0.1650 0.2000 0.2750
Announcement Date 19/02/20 17/02/21 18/08/21 16/02/22 17/08/22 15/02/23 16/08/23 14/02/24
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 6,050 5,612 4,639 2,838 2,877 3,059 2,610 2,190
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.872 x 1.787 x 2.265 x 1.342 x 0.926 x 0.8301 x 0.7027 x 0.6608 x
Free Cash Flow 1 1,135 661 840 369 -1,313 1,015 2,050 1,793
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 8.25% 7.93% 2.83% 4.18% 7.91% 13.9% 15.8% 12.4%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 4.11% 4.02% 1.38% 1.8% 3.48% 7.84% 8.99% 7.34%
Assets 1 29,450 2,062 -166,135 -79,575 30,342 19,104 17,915 18,597
Book Value Per Share 2 7.460 7.210 5.550 5.820 5.170 5.480 5.860 6.080
Cash Flow per Share 2 0.7500 0.5400 0.5500 0.3000 -0.3700 0.6200 0.9300 0.9100
Capex 1 405 665 500 728 680 657 676 481
Capex / Sales 2.75% 5.05% 4.13% 5.03% 4.13% 4.07% 4.11% 2.95%
Announcement Date 21/08/19 19/08/20 18/08/21 17/08/22 16/08/23 - - -
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
10.76 AUD
Average target price
10.12 AUD
Spread / Average Target
-5.90%
Consensus
  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. ORG Stock
  4. Financials Origin Energy Limited