Projected Income Statement: Ocado Group plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ocado Group plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -689 360 577 1,075 1,200 1,103 1,062 1,140
Change - 152.25% 60.28% 86.31% 11.63% -8.1% -3.72% 7.34%
Announcement Date 09/02/21 08/02/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 27/02/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ocado Group plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 525.6 680.4 785.9 536.4 399.4 310.2 279.2 310.7
Change - 29.45% 15.51% -31.75% -25.54% -22.33% -9.99% 11.28%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -300.2 -696.4 -778 -454.2 -130.5 -210.5 -73.33 -24
Change - -131.98% -11.72% 41.62% 71.27% -61.3% 65.16% 67.27%
Announcement Date 09/02/21 08/02/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 27/02/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ocado Group plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 3.13% 2.44% -2.95% 1.92% 4.86% 12.66% 14.01% 17.46%
EBIT Margin (%) -4.11% -7.1% -16.82% -12.42% -9.89% -15.89% -12% -7.37%
EBT Margin (%) -1.89% -7.08% -19.92% -14.27% -11.87% - - -
Net margin (%) -5.4% -8.93% -18.12% -11.12% -10.65% 41.97% -11.65% -9.27%
FCF margin (%) -12.87% -27.87% -30.95% -16.08% -4.14% -15.83% -5.1% -1.6%
FCF / Net Income (%) 238.25% 312.01% 170.8% 144.65% 38.82% -37.71% 43.78% 17.26%

Profitability

        
ROA -7.3% -5.44% -9.89% -6.79% -7.83% 3.39% -5.08% -3.08%
ROE -16.39% -13.61% -26.56% -18.89% -25.15% -6.14% -14.08% -9.38%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 5.9x -7.79x 19.84x 7.83x 6.55x 5.28x 4.35x
Debt / Free cash flow - -0.52x -0.74x -2.37x -9.2x -5.24x -14.49x -47.48x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 22.54% 27.23% 31.26% 18.99% 12.66% 23.33% 19.42% 20.72%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 719.02% 1,115.41% -1,060.59% 989.67% 260.53% 184.19% 138.67% 118.67%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -175.08% -97.7% -101.02% -118.1% -306.05% -147.37% -380.75% -1,294.62%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3139 -0.0216 0.0102 0.1007 0.3279 0.1346 0.3748 0.2521
Change - -106.89% 147.13% 887.25% 225.62% -58.94% 178.31% -32.72%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 2.36 2.114 2.225 1.818 1.441 2.029 2.088 1.93
Change - -10.45% 5.28% -18.28% -20.75% 40.8% 2.92% -7.57%
EPS 1 -0.1755 -0.3018 -0.5893 -0.3844 -0.41 0.6413 -0.241 -0.1631
Change - -71.97% -95.26% 34.77% -6.66% 256.41% -137.59% 32.34%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 737,627 741,032 815,450 817,943 821,879 828,431 828,431 828,431
Announcement Date 09/02/21 08/02/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 27/02/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 3.61x -9.61x
PBR 1.14x 1.11x
EV / Sales 2.27x 2.07x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
2.317GBP
Average target price
2.573GBP
Spread / Average Target
+11.05%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. OCDO Stock
  4. Financials Ocado Group plc