Projected Income Statement: Ocado Group plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ocado Group plc

Fiscal Period: November 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 360 577 1,075 1,200 - 729 756 971
Change - 60.28% 86.31% 11.63% - - 3.7% 28.44%
Announcement Date 08/02/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 27/02/25 26/02/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ocado Group plc

Fiscal Period: November 2021 2022 2023 2024 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 680.4 785.9 536.4 399.4 259.6 226.4 219.2
Change - 15.51% -31.75% -25.54% - -12.79% -3.21%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -696.4 -778 -454.2 -130.5 -13.85 69.1 31
Change - -11.72% 41.62% 71.27% - 598.92% -55.14%
Announcement Date 08/02/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 27/02/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ocado Group plc

Fiscal Period: November 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 2.44% -2.95% 1.92% 4.86% 10.57% 14.46% 19.6% 21.64%
EBIT Margin (%) -7.1% -16.82% -12.42% -9.89% -19.63% -13.14% -7.15% -4.92%
EBT Margin (%) -7.08% -19.92% -14.27% -11.87% -27.33% -14.08% -8.98% -2.88%
Net margin (%) -8.93% -18.12% -11.12% -10.65% 29.33% -12.97% -9.26% -2.8%
FCF margin (%) -27.87% -30.95% -16.08% -4.14% - -0.96% 4.66% 1.95%
FCF / Net Income (%) 312.01% 170.8% 144.65% 38.82% - 7.38% -50.31% -69.8%

Profitability

        
ROA -5.44% -9.89% -6.79% -7.83% - -5.9% -3.9% -2.71%
ROE -13.61% -26.56% -18.89% -25.15% - -16.41% -11.57% -8.05%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.9x -7.79x 19.84x 7.83x - 3.48x 2.6x 2.83x
Debt / Free cash flow -0.52x -0.74x -2.37x -9.2x - -52.63x 10.94x 31.33x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 27.23% 31.26% 18.99% 12.66% - 17.93% 15.26% 13.8%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 1,115.41% -1,060.59% 989.67% 260.53% - 123.98% 77.89% 63.76%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -97.7% -101.02% -118.1% -306.05% - -1,874.72% 327.68% 706.95%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.0216 0.0102 0.1007 0.3279 - 0.4588 0.3269 0.3209
Change - 147.13% 887.25% 225.62% - - -28.75% -1.84%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 2.114 2.225 1.818 1.441 - 1.553 1.384 1.096
Change - 5.28% -18.28% -20.75% - - -10.9% -20.8%
EPS 1 -0.3018 -0.5893 -0.3844 -0.41 0.487 -0.2256 -0.1544 -0.0478
Change - -95.26% 34.77% -6.66% 218.78% -146.33% 31.56% 69.02%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 740,888 815,053 817,655 821,879 827,883 831,224 831,224 831,224
Announcement Date 08/02/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 27/02/25 26/02/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio -8.79x -12.8x
PBR 1.28x 1.43x
EV / Sales 1.64x 1.62x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
1.984GBP
Average target price
2.676GBP
Spread / Average Target
+34.93%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. OCDO Stock
  4. Financials Ocado Group plc
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