Company Valuation: Novartis AG

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Capitalization 1 196,458 194,448 207,167 195,514 266,003 310,705 - -
Change - -1.02% 6.54% -5.62% 36.05% 16.8% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 204,649 203,482 219,178 213,458 289,870 343,514 336,070 337,064
Change - -0.57% 7.71% -2.61% 35.8% 18.51% -2.17% 0.3%
P/E ratio 8.2x 28.3x 14.1x 16.5x 19.2x 21.5x 19.3x 16.7x
PBR 2.9x 3.23x 4.41x 4.52x 5.73x 6.58x 6.02x 5.45x
PEG - -0.4x 0x -1x 0.9x 4.15x 1.8x 1x
Capitalization / Revenue 3.81x 3.85x 4.44x 3.78x 4.69x 5.43x 5.2x 4.93x
EV / Revenue 3.96x 4.03x 4.7x 4.13x 5.11x 6x 5.63x 5.35x
EV / EBITDA 11.2x 10.9x 12.2x 10.2x 12.4x 14.7x 13.4x 12.6x
EV / EBIT 12.3x 12.2x 13.4x 10.9x 13.2x 15.7x 14.6x 13.5x
EV / FCF 15.4x 17x 16.6x 13.1x 16.5x 28.2x 21.4x 18.3x
FCF Yield 6.49% 5.87% 6.01% 7.61% 6.07% 3.55% 4.67% 5.47%
Dividend per Share 2 3.36 3.5 3.823 3.856 - 4.39 4.52 4.881
Rate of return 3.83% 3.87% 3.79% 3.94% - 2.7% 2.78% 3%
EPS 2 10.71 3.19 7.15 5.92 7.21 7.584 8.419 9.77
Distribution rate 31.4% 110% 53.5% 65.1% - 57.9% 53.7% 50%
Net sales 1 51,626 50,545 46,660 51,722 56,674 57,260 59,737 62,983
EBITDA 1 18,246 18,613 17,937 21,006 23,415 23,379 25,019 26,647
EBIT 1 16,588 16,665 16,372 19,494 21,889 21,942 23,053 24,916
Net income 1 24,021 6,955 14,854 11,939 13,967 14,505 15,897 17,576
Net Debt 1 8,191 9,034 12,011 17,944 23,867 32,809 25,365 26,359
Reference price 2 87.82 90.40 100.79 97.79 138.63 162.83 162.83 162.83
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,237,092 2,150,980 2,055,460 1,999,270 1,918,792 1,908,152 - -
Announcement Date 02/02/22 01/02/23 31/01/24 31/01/25 04/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
21.47x6x14.69x2.7% 311B
31.13x11.79x23.7x0.63% 929B
22.11x6.52x18.11x2.12% 587B
64.64x7.64x18.92x2.82% 409B
18.87x4.7x11.65x2.79% 374B
32.49x5.82x17.36x1.58% 320B
15.68x5.03x10.97x2.66% 301B
14.81x5.11x10.76x3.49% 219B
28.69x6.7x11.46x2.59% 199B
22.73x7.03x12.85x2.14% 192B
Average 27.26x 6.63x 15.05x 2.35% 384.09B
Weighted average by Cap. 28.77x 7.47x 16.99x 2.05%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield