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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 118.04 CHF | -2.45% |
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-2.88% | +7.70% |
| 07:11am | Swiss trade surplus at CHF 6.11 bln in May | RE |
| 06-17 | Medpace: At the Heart of the Small-Cap Biopharma Crisis |
Company Valuation: Novartis AG
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap 1 | 196,458 | 194,448 | 207,167 | 195,514 | 266,003 | 279,262 | - | - |
| Change | - | -1.02% | 6.54% | -5.62% | 36.05% | 4.98% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 204,649 | 203,482 | 219,178 | 213,458 | 289,870 | 311,522 | 307,560 | 301,400 |
| Change | - | -0.57% | 7.71% | -2.61% | 35.8% | 7.47% | -1.27% | -2% |
| P/E | 8.2x | 28.3x | 14.1x | 16.5x | 19.2x | 21.1x | 18.1x | 15.7x |
| PBR | 2.9x | 3.23x | 4.41x | 4.52x | 5.73x | 6.33x | 5.87x | 5.23x |
| PEG | - | -0.4x | 0x | -1x | 0.9x | 120.07x | 1.1x | 1.1x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 3.81x | 3.85x | 4.44x | 3.78x | 4.69x | 4.9x | 4.62x | 4.35x |
| EV / Revenue | 3.96x | 4.03x | 4.7x | 4.13x | 5.11x | 5.46x | 5.09x | 4.7x |
| EV / EBITDA | 11.2x | 10.9x | 12.2x | 10.2x | 12.4x | 13.3x | 12.1x | 10.9x |
| EV / EBIT | 12.3x | 12.2x | 13.4x | 10.9x | 13.2x | 14.5x | 13.2x | 11.9x |
| EV / FCF | 15.4x | 17x | 16.6x | 13.1x | 16.5x | 23x | 18.9x | 16.2x |
| FCF Yield | 6.49% | 5.87% | 6.01% | 7.61% | 6.07% | 4.34% | 5.28% | 6.19% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 3.36 | 3.5 | 3.823 | 3.856 | - | 4.476 | 4.601 | 4.77 |
| Rate of return | 3.83% | 3.87% | 3.79% | 3.94% | - | 2.93% | 3.02% | 3.13% |
| EPS 2 | 10.71 | 3.19 | 7.15 | 5.92 | 7.21 | 7.223 | 8.434 | 9.689 |
| Distribution rate | 31.4% | 110% | 53.5% | 65.1% | - | 62% | 54.6% | 49.2% |
| Net sales 1 | 51,626 | 50,545 | 46,660 | 51,722 | 56,674 | 57,018 | 60,425 | 64,153 |
| EBITDA 1 | 18,246 | 18,613 | 17,937 | 21,006 | 23,415 | 23,510 | 25,343 | 27,542 |
| EBIT 1 | 16,588 | 16,665 | 16,372 | 19,494 | 21,889 | 21,525 | 23,297 | 25,275 |
| Net income 1 | 24,021 | 6,955 | 14,854 | 11,939 | 13,967 | 14,148 | 15,672 | 17,555 |
| Net Debt 1 | 8,191 | 9,034 | 12,011 | 17,944 | 23,867 | 32,260 | 28,298 | 22,138 |
| Reference price 2 | 87.82 | 90.40 | 100.79 | 97.79 | 138.63 | 152.56 | 152.56 | 152.56 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 2,237,092 | 2,150,980 | 2,055,460 | 1,999,270 | 1,918,792 | 1,830,549 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 02/02/22 | 01/02/23 | 31/01/24 | 31/01/25 | 04/02/26 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
P/E, Detailed evolution
| P/E (N) | EV / Sales (N) | EV / EBITDA (N) | Dividend Yield (N) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.12x | 5.46x | 13.25x | 2.94% | 279B | ||
| 32.54x | 11.83x | 24.36x | 0.61% | 992B | ||
| 25.03x | 5.77x | 15.69x | 2.28% | 564B | ||
| 27.45x | 6.62x | 13.53x | 3.1% | 391B | ||
| 17.47x | 4.34x | 10.68x | 3.06% | 330B | ||
| 22.62x | 4.72x | 13.39x | 1.85% | 280B | ||
| 12.67x | 4.72x | 9.72x | 3.98% | 196B | ||
| 22.21x | 5.97x | 10.43x | 2.95% | 184B | ||
| -44.95x | 5.42x | 29.92x | 2.59% | 156B | ||
| 12.12x | 3.18x | 7.73x | 6.76% | 148B | ||
| Average | 14.83x | 5.80x | 14.87x | 3.01% | 351.9B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 21.73x | 7.16x | 16.74x | 2.32% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
- Stock Market
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- NOVN Stock
- Valuation Novartis AG
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