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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 293.00 USD | -0.40% |
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+1.09% | +24.84% |
| 12-05 | Baird Adjusts Norfolk Southern Price Target to $293 From $300, Maintains Neutral Rating | MT |
| 12-01 | BNSF Railway petitions STB to review Union Pacific/Southern Pacific merger conditions | RE |
Company Valuation: Norfolk Southern Corporation
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 60,349 | 72,446 | 59,965 | 53,361 | 53,098 | 65,745 | - | - |
| Change | - | 20.04% | -17.23% | -11.01% | -0.49% | 23.82% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 71,915 | 85,447 | 74,591 | 68,972 | 68,663 | 80,993 | 80,210 | 79,201 |
| Change | - | 18.82% | -12.71% | -7.53% | -0.45% | 17.96% | -0.97% | -1.26% |
| P/E ratio | 30.3x | 24.6x | 17.8x | 29.5x | 20.3x | 23x | 22.2x | 20.2x |
| PBR | 4.12x | 5.24x | 4.41x | 4.21x | 3.71x | 4.18x | 3.75x | 3.39x |
| PEG | - | 0.5x | 1.2x | -0.7x | 0.5x | 2.2x | 6.28x | 2x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 6.17x | 6.5x | 4.7x | 4.39x | 4.38x | 5.37x | 5.2x | 4.97x |
| EV / Revenue | 7.35x | 7.67x | 5.85x | 5.67x | 5.66x | 6.61x | 6.34x | 5.98x |
| EV / EBITDA | 15.5x | 15.2x | 12.4x | 13.1x | 12.5x | 14.3x | 13.5x | 12.4x |
| EV / EBIT | 20.6x | 19.2x | 15.5x | 17.4x | 16.6x | 19.1x | 17.8x | 16.2x |
| EV / FCF | 33.6x | 30.7x | 32.8x | 83.1x | 2,452x | 33.7x | 32.5x | 30.7x |
| FCF Yield | 2.98% | 3.26% | 3.05% | 1.2% | 0.04% | 2.97% | 3.08% | 3.25% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 3.76 | 4.16 | 4.96 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.406 | 5.55 | 5.81 |
| Rate of return | 1.58% | 1.4% | 2.01% | 2.28% | 2.3% | 1.85% | 1.89% | 1.98% |
| EPS 2 | 7.84 | 12.11 | 13.88 | 8.02 | 11.57 | 12.75 | 13.2 | 14.54 |
| Distribution rate | 48% | 34.4% | 35.7% | 67.3% | 46.7% | 42.4% | 42% | 40% |
| Net sales 1 | 9,789 | 11,142 | 12,745 | 12,156 | 12,123 | 12,250 | 12,654 | 13,233 |
| EBITDA 1 | 4,640 | 5,628 | 6,030 | 5,265 | 5,499 | 5,651 | 5,958 | 6,380 |
| EBIT 1 | 3,486 | 4,447 | 4,809 | 3,967 | 4,146 | 4,245 | 4,508 | 4,896 |
| Net income 1 | 2,013 | 3,005 | 3,270 | 1,827 | 2,622 | 2,855 | 2,986 | 3,288 |
| Net Debt 1 | 11,566 | 13,001 | 14,626 | 15,611 | 15,565 | 15,248 | 14,464 | 13,455 |
| Reference price 2 | 237.61 | 297.71 | 246.42 | 236.38 | 234.70 | 293.00 | 293.00 | 293.00 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 253,985 | 243,345 | 243,345 | 225,742 | 226,240 | 224,387 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 27/01/21 | 26/01/22 | 25/01/23 | 26/01/24 | 29/01/25 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
P/E ratio, Detailed evolution
| P/E (N) | EV / Sales (N) | EV / EBITDA (N) | Dividend Yield (N) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23.07x | 6.63x | 14.38x | 1.84% | 66.01B | |
| 19.94x | 6.91x | 13.47x | 2.3% | 140B | |
| 22.65x | 6.06x | 13.19x | 1.44% | 67.59B | |
| 16.01x | 1.09x | 5.79x | 3.8% | 15.84B | |
| 14.27x | 2.61x | 6.03x | 5.1% | 7.88B | |
| 28.63x | 3.7x | 16.8x | 2.11% | 4.32B | |
| 14.84x | 2.8x | 6.72x | 5.41% | 4.14B | |
| -3.95x | - | - | 2.55% | 547M | |
| Average | 16.93x | 4.26x | 10.91x | 3.07% | 38.24B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 20.87x | 6.15x | 12.97x | 2.2% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
- Stock Market
- Equities
- NSC Stock
- Valuation Norfolk Southern Corporation
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