Projected Income Statement: Nippon Express Holdings, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nippon Express Holdings, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 244,823 103,752 -106,166 419,306 544,588 569,183 597,100 608,608
Change - -57.62% -202.33% 494.95% 29.88% 4.52% 4.9% 1.93%
Announcement Date 28/04/20 14/02/22 14/02/23 14/02/24 14/02/25 13/02/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nippon Express Holdings, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 103,372 55,877 84,408 72,984 72,995 100,600 100,000 107,500
Change - -45.95% 51.06% -13.53% 0.02% 37.82% -0.6% 7.5%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -5,166 145,471 226,171 126,410 87,123 118,145 163,390 145,060
Change - 2,915.93% 55.47% -44.11% -31.08% 35.61% 38.3% -11.22%
Announcement Date 28/04/20 14/02/22 14/02/23 14/02/24 14/02/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nippon Express Holdings, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.71% 7.14% 8.16% 9.5% 9.02% 9.45% 10.53% 10.69%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.85% 3.9% 4.91% 3.63% 1.9% 2% 3.49% 3.69%
EBT Margin (%) 1.85% 4.5% 6.26% 2.73% 2.01% 1.62% 3.18% 3.43%
Net margin (%) 0.84% 3.07% 4.19% 1.65% 1.23% 0.1% 2.11% 2.28%
FCF margin (%) -0.25% 8.25% 8.63% 5.65% 3.38% 4.53% 6.12% 5.33%
FCF / Net Income (%) -29.67% 269.15% 205.97% 341.19% 274.55% 1,101.13% 290.56% 233.95%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.76% 4.23% 7.66% 1.77% 1.44% 1.77% 2.5% 2.71%
ROE 3.2% 8.87% 15.9% 4.8% 3.8% 0.3% 6.9% 7.5%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.06x 0.82x - 1.97x 2.34x 2.41x 2.12x 2.09x
Debt / Free cash flow -47.39x 0.71x - 3.32x 6.25x 4.82x 3.65x 4.2x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.97% 3.17% 3.22% 3.26% 2.83% 3.86% 3.75% 3.95%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 86.96% 44.36% 39.5% 34.32% 31.39% 42.66% 35.57% 36.98%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -2,001.01% 38.41% 37.32% 57.74% 83.78% 85.15% 61.2% 74.11%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 273 161.6 720.7 714 823.6 779.1 1,053 1,076
Change - -40.81% 345.96% -0.92% 15.35% -5.4% 28.09% 2.16%
Dividend per Share 1 51.67 80 133.3 100 100 100 101.1 105.6
Change - 54.84% 66.67% -25% 0% 0% 1.11% 4.4%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,935 2,345 2,797 3,033 3,287 3,421 3,469 3,580
Change - 21.19% 19.28% 8.41% 8.39% 4.07% 7.67% 3.21%
EPS 1 61.69 198.4 406.3 139.5 121.5 10.79 232.7 262.7
Change - 221.62% 104.79% -65.66% -12.94% -91.12% 437.46% 12.9%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 278,783 271,450 267,820 263,822 259,800 242,487 242,487 242,487
Announcement Date 28/04/20 14/02/22 14/02/23 14/02/24 14/02/25 13/02/26 - -
1JPY
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 311x 15.7x
PBR 0.98x 1.06x
EV / Sales 0.32x 0.56x
Yield 2.98% 2.76%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
3,661.00JPY
Average target price
3,834.44JPY
Spread / Average Target
+4.74%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 9147 Stock
  4. Financials Nippon Express Holdings, Inc.
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