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Projected Income Statement: Netflix, Inc.
Fiscal Period: Diciembre | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net sales 1 | 20,156 | 24,996 | 29,698 | 31,616 | 33,723 | 38,885 | 43,731 | 48,330 |
Change | - | 24.01% | 18.81% | 6.46% | 6.67% | 15.31% | 12.46% | 10.52% |
EBITDA 1 | 3,113 | 5,116 | 6,806 | 6,545 | 7,650 | 10,933 | 13,038 | 15,274 |
Change | - | 64.34% | 33.03% | -3.84% | 16.89% | 42.91% | 19.25% | 17.15% |
EBIT 1 | 2,604 | 4,585 | 6,195 | 5,633 | 6,954 | 10,357 | 12,383 | 14,601 |
Change | - | 76.07% | 35.1% | -9.07% | 23.45% | 48.94% | 19.56% | 17.91% |
Interest Paid 1 | -626 | -767.5 | -765.6 | -706.2 | -699.8 | -707.5 | -698.4 | -662.2 |
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 2,062 | 3,199 | 5,840 | 5,264 | 6,205 | 9,938 | 11,940 | 14,207 |
Change | - | 55.14% | 82.54% | -9.87% | 17.89% | 60.16% | 20.14% | 18.99% |
Net income 1 | 1,867 | 2,761 | 5,116 | 4,492 | 5,408 | 8,665 | 10,261 | 12,039 |
Change | - | 47.91% | 85.28% | -12.2% | 20.39% | 60.23% | 18.41% | 17.33% |
Announcement Date | 21/01/20 | 19/01/21 | 20/01/22 | 19/01/23 | 23/01/24 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Netflix, Inc.
Fiscal Period: Diciembre | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Debt 1 | 9,741 | 8,103 | 9,365 | 8,295 | 7,405 | 7,857 | 7,374 | 5,401 |
Change | - | -16.82% | 15.57% | -11.43% | -10.73% | 6.1% | -6.15% | -26.76% |
Announcement Date | 21/01/20 | 19/01/21 | 20/01/22 | 19/01/23 | 23/01/24 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Netflix, Inc.
Fiscal Period: Diciembre | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CAPEX 1 | 253 | 497.9 | 524.6 | 407.7 | 348.6 | 387.2 | 447.9 | 475.7 |
Change | - | 96.78% | 5.35% | -22.28% | -14.51% | 11.1% | 15.66% | 6.2% |
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -3,274 | 1,922 | -158.9 | 1,619 | 6,926 | 6,585 | 8,992 | 10,751 |
Change | - | -158.69% | -108.27% | -1,118.62% | 327.9% | -4.91% | 36.54% | 19.56% |
Announcement Date | 21/01/20 | 19/01/21 | 20/01/22 | 19/01/23 | 23/01/24 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Netflix, Inc.
Fiscal Period: Diciembre | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
EBITDA Margin (%) | 15.45% | 20.47% | 22.92% | 20.7% | 22.69% | 28.12% | 29.81% | 31.6% |
EBIT Margin (%) | 12.92% | 18.34% | 20.86% | 17.82% | 20.62% | 26.64% | 28.32% | 30.21% |
EBT Margin (%) | 10.23% | 12.8% | 19.67% | 16.65% | 18.4% | 25.56% | 27.3% | 29.39% |
Net margin (%) | 9.26% | 11.05% | 17.23% | 14.21% | 16.04% | 22.28% | 23.46% | 24.91% |
FCF margin (%) | -16.24% | 7.69% | -0.54% | 5.12% | 20.54% | 16.94% | 20.56% | 22.24% |
FCF / Net Income (%) | -175.39% | 69.59% | -3.11% | 36.03% | 128.07% | 76% | 87.63% | 89.3% |
Profitability | ||||||||
ROA | 6.23% | 7.54% | 12.2% | 9.64% | 11.11% | 16.8% | 18.62% | 19.68% |
ROE | 29.12% | 29.62% | 38.02% | 24.53% | 26.15% | 37.74% | 38.28% | 37.12% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 3.13x | 1.58x | 1.38x | 1.27x | 0.97x | 0.72x | 0.57x | 0.35x |
Debt / Free cash flow | -2.97x | 4.22x | -58.94x | 5.12x | 1.07x | 1.19x | 0.82x | 0.5x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 1.26% | 1.99% | 1.77% | 1.29% | 1.03% | 1% | 1.02% | 0.98% |
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 8.13% | 9.73% | 7.71% | 6.23% | 4.56% | 3.54% | 3.44% | 3.11% |
CAPEX / FCF (%) | -7.73% | 25.91% | -330.15% | 25.19% | 5.03% | 5.88% | 4.98% | 4.42% |
Items per share | ||||||||
Cash flow per share 1 | -6.391 | 5.344 | 0.8622 | 4.49 | 16.18 | 15.79 | 20.57 | 24.98 |
Change | - | -183.61% | -83.86% | 420.75% | 260.43% | -2.44% | 30.26% | 21.47% |
Dividend per Share 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Change | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Book Value Per Share 1 | 16.78 | 24.36 | 34.81 | 46.04 | 46.63 | 54.11 | 66.45 | 82.37 |
Change | - | 45.15% | 42.87% | 32.28% | 1.27% | 16.05% | 22.8% | 23.97% |
EPS 1 | 4.13 | 6.08 | 11.24 | 9.95 | 12.03 | 19.76 | 23.77 | 28.21 |
Change | - | 47.22% | 84.87% | -11.48% | 20.9% | 64.27% | 20.26% | 18.71% |
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 438,251 | 441,795 | 442,952 | 445,020 | 437,680 | 427,458 | 427,458 | 427,458 |
Announcement Date | 21/01/20 | 19/01/21 | 20/01/22 | 19/01/23 | 23/01/24 | - | - | - |
2024 * | 2025 * | |
---|---|---|
P/E ratio | 45.4x | 37.8x |
PBR | 16.6x | 13.5x |
EV / Sales | 10.1x | 8.94x |
Yield | - | - |
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
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- Financials Netflix, Inc.
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