Company Valuation: National Grid plc

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Capitalization 1 30,665 42,733 40,312 39,652 49,387 66,243 - -
Change - 39.36% -5.67% -1.64% 24.55% 34.13% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 59,211 85,542 81,285 83,259 90,758 111,205 117,318 123,771
Change - 44.47% -4.98% 2.43% 9.01% 22.53% 5.5% 5.5%
P/E ratio 18.7x 18x 5.17x 17.3x 16.4x 17.7x 15.3x 14.3x
PBR 1.53x 1.77x 1.36x 1.32x 1.26x 1.65x 1.56x 1.5x
PEG - 0.4x 0x -0.2x -33.73x 0.8x 1x 2.01x
Capitalization / Revenue 2.07x 2.32x 1.86x 2x 2.69x 3.41x 3.23x 2.92x
EV / Revenue 4.01x 4.64x 3.75x 4.19x 4.94x 5.73x 5.73x 5.46x
EV / EBITDA 12.9x 15.2x 12.9x 11.1x 12x 13.7x 12.7x 12x
EV / EBIT 20.2x 22.4x 18.9x 15.2x 19x 19.1x 17.5x 16.6x
EV / FCF -181x 72.9x 13,547x -162x -46x -36.9x -31x -27x
FCF Yield -0.55% 1.37% 0.01% -0.62% -2.17% -2.71% -3.23% -3.71%
Dividend per Share 2 0.4916 0.5097 0.5544 0.5852 0.4672 0.482 0.4932 0.5037
Rate of return 5.69% 4.35% 5.06% 5.49% 4.63% 3.62% 3.7% 3.78%
EPS 2 0.463 0.65 2.121 0.617 0.614 0.7509 0.8691 0.931
Distribution rate 106% 78.4% 26.1% 94.8% 76.1% 64.2% 56.7% 54.1%
Net sales 1 14,779 18,449 21,659 19,850 18,378 19,399 20,478 22,689
EBITDA 1 4,598 5,643 6,278 7,523 7,532 8,142 9,274 10,306
EBIT 1 2,926 3,813 4,294 5,462 4,765 5,809 6,697 7,456
Net income 1 1,640 2,353 7,797 2,290 2,902 3,804 4,326 4,717
Net Debt 1 28,546 42,809 40,973 43,607 41,371 44,962 51,076 57,528
Reference price 2 8.64 11.72 10.96 10.66 10.10 13.32 13.32 13.32
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,549,181 3,644,928 3,676,413 3,719,722 4,892,261 4,971,309 - -
Announcement Date 20/05/21 19/05/22 18/05/23 23/05/24 15/05/25 - - -
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (N) EV / Sales (N) EV / EBITDA (N) Dividend Yield (N) Capi.($)
17.69x5.77x13.76x3.62% 88.74B
14.34x1.61x8.03x5.29% 74.12B
18.41x6.89x15.6x2.83% 61.09B
17.49x1.09x9.53x3.19% 55.87B
23.17x2.18x10.39x2.24% 43.88B
19.37x5.33x13.57x3.16% 41.91B
16.32x5.05x9.59x4.37% 39.07B
42.77x16.98x27.14x0.76% 33.52B
Average 21.19x 5.61x 13.45x 3.18% 54.77B
Weighted average by Cap. 19.70x 5.02x 12.80x 3.4%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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  4. Valuation National Grid plc
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