Projected Income Statement: MP Materials Corp.

Forecast Balance Sheet: MP Materials Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -450 -487 -504 -316 57.9 -914 -974 -855
Change - -8.22% -3.49% 37.3% 118.32% -1,679.65% -6.56% 12.22%
Announcement Date 18/03/21 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: MP Materials Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 22.37 123.9 326.6 261.9 186.4 151 289.8 421
Change - 453.73% 163.66% -19.81% -28.82% -19.01% 91.93% 45.28%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -19.09 -21.9 16.92 -199.2 -173.1 -231.1 -22.87 -32
Change - -14.7% 177.26% -1,277.36% 13.12% -33.52% 90.1% -39.94%
Announcement Date 18/03/21 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: MP Materials Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.72% 66% 73.67% 40.44% -24.61% 3.65% 49.07% 54.44%
EBIT Margin (%) -25.84% 49.81% 62.07% -6.99% -83.11% -68.26% 16.89% 36.25%
EBT Margin (%) - 48.26% 64.67% 13.05% -45.79% -63.31% 10.1% 34.97%
Net margin (%) - 40.68% 54.79% 9.59% -32.09% -49.68% 12.37% 28.15%
FCF margin (%) -14.22% -6.6% 3.21% -78.6% -84.9% -98.06% -4.3% -3.95%
FCF / Net Income (%) - -16.22% 5.85% -819.51% 264.53% 197.38% -34.77% -14.02%

Profitability

        
ROA - 9.11% 14% 3.12% -2.8% -3.22% 3.6% 6.34%
ROE 5.08% 18.08% 24.9% 5.33% -5.41% -3.69% 3.49% 10.28%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - -1.15x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - -0.33x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 16.66% 37.32% 61.91% 103.33% 91.45% 64.07% 54.49% 51.9%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 52.5% 56.54% 84.04% 255.5% -371.59% 1,753.49% 111.05% 95.34%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -117.16% -565.64% 1,930.34% -131.48% -107.71% -65.34% -1,267.25% -1,315.62%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0411 0.5371 1.776 0.3236 0.0786 -0.4666 0.9965 1.74
Change - 1,206.89% 230.59% -81.78% -75.71% -693.6% 313.59% 74.6%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 5.002 5.673 7.386 7.669 6.464 10.95 11.39 12.6
Change - 13.42% 30.21% 3.83% -15.72% 69.4% 4.02% 10.64%
EPS 1 - 0.73 1.52 0.14 -0.39 -0.6386 0.2758 1.013
Change - - 108.22% -90.79% -378.57% -63.75% 143.18% 267.43%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 155,921 177,877 177,543 177,815 163,207 177,230 177,230 177,230
Announcement Date 18/03/21 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio -90.9x 210x
PBR 5.3x 5.09x
EV / Sales 39.8x 17.5x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
58.03USD
Average target price
79.23USD
Spread / Average Target
+36.53%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. MP Stock
  4. Financials MP Materials Corp.