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Real-time Estimate
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 50.42 EUR | +0.33% |
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+4.21% | -16.40% |
| 09:01am | MERCEDES-BENZ GROUP : RBC is Neutral | ZD |
| 06:20am | RBC: Mercedes-Benz's Potential Daimler Truck Monetization a Near-term Catalyst | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Mercedes-Benz Group AG
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 167,971 | 150,017 | 153,218 | 145,594 | 132,214 | 132,325 | 136,896 | 140,030 |
| Change | - | -10.69% | 2.13% | -4.98% | -9.19% | 0.08% | 3.45% | 2.29% |
| EBITDA 1 | 36,049 | 26,979 | 26,323 | 20,371 | 13,043 | 14,194 | 16,380 | 17,594 |
| Change | - | -25.16% | -2.43% | -22.61% | -35.97% | 8.83% | 15.4% | 7.41% |
| EBIT 1 | 29,069 | 20,458 | 19,660 | 13,599 | 5,820 | 7,039 | 8,912 | 9,819 |
| Change | - | -29.62% | -3.9% | -30.83% | -57.2% | 20.95% | 26.61% | 10.18% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -294 | -154 | 424 | 548 | -159 | -225 | -225 | -225 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 28,775 | 20,304 | 20,084 | 14,147 | 6,284 | 7,828 | 9,588 | 10,818 |
| Change | - | -29.44% | -1.08% | -29.56% | -55.58% | 24.57% | 22.48% | 12.83% |
| Net income 1 | 23,006 | 14,501 | 14,261 | 10,207 | 5,141 | 5,728 | 6,975 | 7,772 |
| Change | - | -36.97% | -1.66% | -28.43% | -49.63% | 11.43% | 21.77% | 11.42% |
| Announcement Date | 24/02/22 | 17/02/23 | 22/02/24 | 20/02/25 | 12/02/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Mercedes-Benz Group AG
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -21,005 | -26,637 | -31,659 | -31,417 | -32,162 | -28,359 | -28,349 | -31,333 |
| Change | - | -26.81% | -18.85% | 0.76% | -2.37% | 11.82% | 0.04% | -10.53% |
| Announcement Date | 24/02/22 | 17/02/23 | 22/02/24 | 20/02/25 | 12/02/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Mercedes-Benz Group AG
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 7,320 | 7,763 | 8,213 | 8,665 | 9,742 | 8,757 | 8,165 | 7,999 |
| Change | - | 6.05% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 12.43% | -10.11% | -6.76% | -2.04% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 8,606 | 8,128 | 11,316 | 9,152 | 5,414 | 4,371 | 5,537 | 6,249 |
| Change | - | -5.55% | 39.22% | -19.12% | -40.84% | -19.27% | 26.69% | 12.86% |
| Announcement Date | 24/02/22 | 17/02/23 | 22/02/24 | 20/02/25 | 12/02/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Mercedes-Benz Group AG
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 21.46% | 17.98% | 17.18% | 13.99% | 9.87% | 10.73% | 11.96% | 12.56% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 17.31% | 13.64% | 12.83% | 9.34% | 4.4% | 5.32% | 6.51% | 7.01% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 17.13% | 13.53% | 13.11% | 9.72% | 4.75% | 5.92% | 7% | 7.73% |
| Net margin (%) | 13.7% | 9.67% | 9.31% | 7.01% | 3.89% | 4.33% | 5.1% | 5.55% |
| FCF margin (%) | 5.12% | 5.42% | 7.39% | 6.29% | 4.09% | 3.3% | 4.04% | 4.46% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 37.41% | 56.05% | 79.35% | 89.66% | 105.31% | 76.3% | 79.38% | 80.41% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 4.83% | 5.58% | 5.45% | 3.87% | 1.98% | 2.93% | 3.81% | 5.15% |
| ROE | 22.3% | 18.43% | 16.1% | 11.07% | 5.53% | 5.79% | 7.14% | 8.04% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.36% | 5.17% | 5.36% | 5.95% | 7.37% | 6.62% | 5.96% | 5.71% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 20.31% | 28.77% | 31.2% | 42.54% | 74.69% | 61.7% | 49.85% | 45.46% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 85.06% | 95.51% | 72.58% | 94.68% | 179.94% | 200.36% | 147.46% | 127.99% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 22.95 | 15.79 | 13.66 | 17.7 | 18.71 | 15.65 | 16.32 | 18.24 |
| Change | - | -31.18% | -13.52% | 29.61% | 5.71% | -16.36% | 4.3% | 11.75% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 5 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 3.444 | 3.541 | 4.009 |
| Change | - | 4% | 1.92% | -18.87% | -18.6% | -1.61% | 2.84% | 13.22% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 67.26 | 79.84 | 86.61 | 92.44 | 96.9 | 99.29 | 103.9 | 110.1 |
| Change | - | 18.71% | 8.48% | 6.73% | 4.83% | 2.47% | 4.65% | 5.95% |
| EPS 1 | 21.5 | 13.55 | 13.46 | 10.19 | 5.34 | 5.986 | 7.571 | 8.8 |
| Change | - | -36.98% | -0.66% | -24.29% | -47.6% | 12.1% | 26.47% | 16.23% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,069,837 | 1,069,837 | 1,040,937 | 944,530 | 956,669 | 940,250 | 940,250 | 940,250 |
| Announcement Date | 24/02/22 | 17/02/23 | 22/02/24 | 20/02/25 | 12/02/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 8.4x | 6.64x |
| PBR | 0.51x | 0.48x |
| EV / Sales | 0.14x | 0.14x |
| Yield | 6.85% | 7.05% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Mercedes-Benz Group AG
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