Projected Income Statement: Lumentum Holdings Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lumentum Holdings Inc.

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -766 -673 798 1,616 1,696 2,170 1,463 372
Change - 12.14% 218.57% 102.51% 4.95% 27.94% -32.58% -74.57%
Announcement Date 18/08/21 16/08/22 17/08/23 14/08/24 12/08/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lumentum Holdings Inc.

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 94.8 91.2 128.5 133 231 288.2 308.4 361.5
Change - -3.8% 40.9% 3.5% 73.68% 24.77% 7.02% 17.19%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 643.9 368.1 51.3 -108.3 -104.7 257 881.1 1,508
Change - -42.83% -86.06% -311.11% 3.32% 345.51% 242.76% 71.13%
Announcement Date 18/08/21 16/08/22 17/08/23 14/08/24 12/08/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lumentum Holdings Inc.

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.63% 35.54% 24.43% 10.34% 16.06% 31.95% 36.04% 37.79%
EBIT Margin (%) 30.76% 30.77% 19.2% 2.78% 9.73% 26.54% 34.29% 32.42%
EBT Margin (%) 26.57% 13.73% -5.8% -29.85% -10.46% 14.16% 24.4% 30.37%
Net margin (%) 22.8% 11.61% -7.45% -40.21% 1.57% 12.71% 21.12% 23.4%
FCF margin (%) 36.95% 21.49% 2.9% -7.97% -6.36% 8.84% 18.76% 24.97%
FCF / Net Income (%) 162.07% 185.07% -38.98% 19.82% -404.25% 69.55% 88.83% 106.71%

Profitability

        
ROA 14.46% 11.65% 7.17% 1.6% 3.59% 14.54% 19.53% 21.5%
ROE 26.6% 23.35% 19.5% 5.94% 14% 52.07% 60.75% 39.58%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 1.85x 11.5x 6.42x 2.34x 0.86x 0.16x
Debt / Free cash flow - - 15.56x -14.92x -16.2x 8.44x 1.66x 0.25x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.44% 5.33% 7.27% 9.79% 14.04% 9.91% 6.57% 5.99%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 15.27% 14.99% 29.77% 94.66% 87.43% 31.03% 18.22% 15.84%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 14.72% 24.78% 250.49% -122.81% -220.63% 112.13% 35.01% 23.97%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - 2.632 0.367 1.815 3.737 12.88 -
Change - - - -86.06% 394.47% 105.94% 244.54% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 27.02 27.57 20.4 14.1 16.44 18.22 34.49 54.14
Change - 2.03% -26.02% -30.89% 16.64% 10.81% 89.27% 56.97%
EPS 1 5.07 2.68 -1.93 -8.12 0.37 4.173 11.04 14.39
Change - -47.14% -172.01% -320.73% 104.56% 1,027.9% 164.45% 30.37%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 75,900 69,000 68,700 67,600 69,400 71,400 71,400 71,400
Announcement Date 18/08/21 16/08/22 17/08/23 14/08/24 12/08/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 150x 56.6x
PBR 34.3x 18.1x
EV / Sales 16.1x 9.81x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
624.84USD
Average target price
660.96USD
Spread / Average Target
+5.78%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. LITE Stock
  4. Financials Lumentum Holdings Inc.
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