Projected Income Statement: Lufthansa

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 9,922 9,023 6,871 5,682 5,744 5,659 5,537 5,201
Change - -9.06% -23.85% -17.3% 1.09% -1.48% -2.16% -6.07%
Announcement Date 04/03/21 03/03/22 03/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1,273 1,329 2,286 4,115 3,743 3,253 3,522 3,598
Change - 4.4% 72.01% 80.01% -9.04% -13.09% 8.27% 2.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -3,669 -855 2,882 2,134 840 1,818 1,251 1,585
Change - 76.7% 437.08% -25.95% -60.64% 116.37% -31.17% 26.71%
Announcement Date 04/03/21 03/03/22 03/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -18.67% 0.2% 11.55% 13.85% 10.6% 10.82% 11.5% 11.85%
EBIT Margin (%) -40.11% -13.97% 4.6% 7.57% 4.38% 4.87% 5.5% 5.98%
EBT Margin (%) -63.51% -15.5% 3.2% 6.54% 4.19% 4.63% 4.83% 5.36%
Net margin (%) -49.49% -13.03% 2.41% 4.72% 3.67% 3.56% 3.84% 4.23%
FCF margin (%) -27% -5.09% 8.79% 6.02% 2.24% 4.6% 3.01% 3.64%
FCF / Net Income (%) 54.56% 39.02% 364.35% 127.56% 60.87% 129.12% 78.48% 86.06%

Profitability

        
ROA -16.37% -5.34% 1.84% 3.77% 2.99% 2.51% 2.82% 3.21%
ROE -487.8% -75.59% 12.31% 18.62% 13.02% 11.51% 12.18% 12.94%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -3.91x 273.42x 1.81x 1.16x 1.44x 1.32x 1.16x 1.01x
Debt / Free cash flow -2.7x -10.55x 2.38x 2.66x 6.84x 3.11x 4.43x 3.28x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.37% 7.91% 6.98% 11.61% 9.96% 8.23% 8.48% 8.26%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -50.18% 4,027.27% 60.38% 83.81% 94% 76.06% 73.72% 69.69%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -34.7% -155.44% 79.32% 192.83% 445.6% 178.99% 281.53% 226.98%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -4.33 0.8367 4.325 4.138 3.228 3.149 3.388 3.561
Change - 119.32% 416.88% -4.32% -21.99% -2.44% 7.57% 5.12%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - 0.3 0.3 0.323 0.3571 0.4274
Change - - - - 0% 7.65% 10.56% 19.69%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.253 3.722 7.031 8.083 9.645 10.05 11.08 12.26
Change - 65.18% 88.88% 14.97% 19.33% 4.16% 10.24% 10.68%
EPS 1 -12.51 -2.99 0.66 1.4 1.15 1.158 1.308 1.518
Change - 76.1% 122.07% 112.12% -17.86% 0.73% 12.94% 16.02%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 597,743 1,195,486 1,195,486 1,195,486 1,198,299 1,198,293 1,198,293 1,198,293
Announcement Date 04/03/21 03/03/22 03/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 8x 7.08x
PBR 0.92x 0.84x
EV / Sales 0.42x 0.4x
Yield 3.48% 3.85%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
9.268EUR
Average target price
8.839EUR
Spread / Average Target
-4.63%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise