Projected Income Statement: Kaspi Bank

Forecast Balance Sheet: Kaspi Bank

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 - - - - -538,837 -859,933 -2,371,340 -3,845,147
Change - - - - - -59.59% -95.73% -62.15%
Announcement Date 01/03/21 28/02/22 27/02/23 26/02/24 24/02/25 02/03/26 - -
1KZT in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Kaspi Bank

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
CAPEX 1 16,932 18,189 24,901 59,468 50,257 95,726
Change - 7.42% 36.9% 138.82% -15.49% 90.47%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 18,392 263,305 -514,636 -58,482 -268,371 -722,752
Change - 1,331.67% -295.45% 88.64% -358.9% -169.31%
Announcement Date 20/02/20 01/03/21 25/02/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 25/02/25
1KZT in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Kaspi Bank

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 49.55% - - - 80.64% 38.47% 25.66% 27.39%
EBIT Margin (%) 49.55% 56.45% 54.77% 53.41% 50.64% 32.92% 28.11% 29.5%
EBT Margin (%) 49.55% 56.45% 54.77% 53.41% - - - -
Net margin (%) 40.68% 46.46% 44.76% 44.36% 41.74% 26.39% 19.69% 25.22%
FCF margin (%) - - - - 19.2% - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) - - - - 46% - - -

Profitability

        
ROA - 13.57% 13.49% 14.21% 6.95% 10.97% 10.44% 10.99%
ROE 76.01% 97.71% 89.29% 89.47% 40.72% 53.26% 42.7% 40.54%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - - - - 3.78% - - -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - - - 4.69% - - -
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - - - 19.69% - - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - 3,200 3,400 - 2,537 2,921
Change - - - - 6.25% - - 15.14%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - 4,319 7,985 12,487 14,797 18,080
Change - - - - 84.89% 56.39% 18.5% 22.19%
EPS 1 - - - 4,381 5,431 5,812 5,245 7,065
Change - - - - 23.97% 7.02% -9.76% 34.7%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - - - 189,685 190,016 190,785 190,785 190,785
Announcement Date - - - 26/02/24 24/02/25 - - -
1KZT
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 6.3x 6.99x
PBR 2.93x 2.48x
EV / Sales 1.65x 0.9x
Yield - 6.92%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
36,644.41KZT
Average target price
48,908.24KZT
Spread / Average Target
+33.47%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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