Projected Income Statement: Jiangxi Copper Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Jiangxi Copper Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 33,464 28,893 20,654 37,198 37,295 36,594 36,664 38,549
Change - -13.66% -28.52% 80.1% 0.26% -1.88% 0.19% 5.14%
Announcement Date 29/03/21 25/03/22 24/03/23 27/03/24 27/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Jiangxi Copper Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 3,473 2,761 5,105 6,811 6,551 5,500 6,000 5,000
Change - -20.49% 84.89% 33.43% -3.82% -16.05% 9.09% -16.67%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,091 6,160 5,326 4,120 -4,043 878 5,999 -
Change - 394.61% -13.54% -22.65% -198.14% 121.71% 583.26% -100%
Announcement Date 29/03/21 25/03/22 24/03/23 27/03/24 27/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Jiangxi Copper Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 2.49% 2.66% 2.26% 1.99% 2.23% 2.09% 2.18% 2.42%
EBIT Margin (%) 1.65% 2.04% 1.59% 1.51% 2.91% 1.54% 1.59% 1.78%
EBT Margin (%) 1.02% 1.68% 1.56% 1.66% 1.75% 1.32% 1.52% 1.82%
Net margin (%) 0.73% 1.31% 1.25% 1.3% 1.34% 1.02% 1.16% 1.41%
FCF margin (%) -0.66% 1.39% 1.11% 0.79% -0.78% 0.16% 1.02% -
FCF / Net Income (%) -90.11% 106.72% 88.85% 61.07% -58.08% 15.3% 87.76% -

Profitability

        
ROA 1.62% 3.82% 3.3% 4.02% 3.82% 2.23% 2.9% -
ROE 3.96% 8.9% 8.36% 9.57% 9.58% 6.97% 7.75% 8.55%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.22x 2.46x 1.91x 3.59x 3.22x 3.21x 2.82x 2.71x
Debt / Free cash flow -16x 4.69x 3.88x 9.03x -9.22x 42.82x 6.11x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.09% 0.63% 1.06% 1.31% 1.26% 1% 1.03% 0.92%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 43.83% 23.49% 47.13% 65.82% 56.49% 47.02% 46.2% 37.25%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -166.09% 44.82% 95.85% 165.33% -162.02% 626.42% 100.02% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.65 2.608 3.073 3.157 - 5.98 2.833 3.252
Change - 501.26% 17.82% 2.73% - - -52.62% 14.79%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.605 0.6554 0.7658
Change - 400% 0% 20% 16.67% -13.57% 8.33% 16.83%
Book Value Per Share 1 17.3 20.16 21.23 19.47 - 23.36 24.65 26.22
Change - 16.53% 5.31% -8.29% - - 5.53% 6.34%
EPS 1 0.64 1.67 1.73 1.95 2 1.755 1.975 2.259
Change - 160.94% 3.59% 12.72% 2.56% -12.23% 12.49% 14.38%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,462,729 3,462,729 3,462,729 3,462,729 3,452,288 3,452,288 3,452,288 3,452,288
Announcement Date 29/03/21 25/03/22 24/03/23 27/03/24 27/03/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 7.11x 6.32x
PBR 0.53x 0.51x
EV / Sales 0.18x 0.17x
Yield 4.85% 5.25%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
12.47CNY
Average target price
13.47CNY
Spread / Average Target
+8.02%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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