Company Valuation: Japan Tobacco Inc.

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Capitalization 1 4,121,325 4,722,880 6,470,988 7,244,406 10,013,187 11,185,798 - -
Change - 14.6% 37.01% 11.95% 38.22% 11.71% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 4,318,216 4,814,306 6,573,041 7,707,959 10,860,740 11,928,025 11,835,384 11,732,305
Change - 11.49% 36.53% 17.27% 40.9% 9.83% -0.78% -0.87%
P/E ratio 12.2x 10.7x 13.4x 15.6x 19.6x 18.4x 16.4x 15x
PBR 1.47x 1.33x 1.69x 1.92x 2.45x 2.63x 2.52x 2.42x
PEG - 0.3x 1.5x -3.96x 1.9x 1x 1.4x 1.6x
Capitalization / Revenue 1.77x 1.78x 2.28x 2.3x 2.89x 2.96x 2.82x 2.69x
EV / Revenue 1.86x 1.81x 2.31x 2.45x 3.13x 3.16x 2.99x 2.82x
EV / EBITDA 6.29x 5.64x 7.71x 8.79x 10.2x 10.3x 9.54x 8.94x
EV / EBIT 8.65x 7.37x 9.78x 11.1x 12.5x 12.3x 11.3x 10.4x
EV / FCF 8.61x 12.6x 14.9x 16.1x 30.3x 23x 18.4x 16.7x
FCF Yield 11.6% 7.93% 6.72% 6.22% 3.3% 4.35% 5.44% 5.98%
Dividend per Share 2 140 188 194 194 234 251.6 278.1 304.7
Rate of return 6.03% 7.07% 5.32% 4.75% 4.15% 3.99% 4.41% 4.84%
EPS 2 190.8 249.4 271.7 261 287.4 342.2 383.1 419
Distribution rate 73.4% 75.4% 71.4% 74.3% 81.4% 73.5% 72.6% 72.7%
Net sales 1 2,324,838 2,657,832 2,841,077 3,149,759 3,467,675 3,777,088 3,962,400 4,160,970
EBITDA 1 686,078 853,226 852,062 877,040 1,062,937 1,161,076 1,240,507 1,313,028
EBIT 1 499,021 653,575 672,410 697,203 867,038 968,843 1,049,358 1,126,694
Net income 1 338,490 442,716 482,288 463,369 510,175 607,506 679,427 741,583
Net Debt 1 196,891 91,426 102,053 463,553 847,553 742,227 649,587 546,507
Reference price 2 2,322.50 2,661.00 3,645.00 4,080.00 5,640.00 6,301.00 6,301.00 6,301.00
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,774,521 1,774,851 1,775,305 1,775,590 1,775,388 1,775,242 - -
Announcement Date 14/02/22 14/02/23 13/02/24 13/02/25 12/02/26 - - -
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
18.41x3.16x10.27x3.99% 70.5B
13.14x6.97x10.79x5.91% 122B
18.99x4.8x14.33x4.7% 40.41B
14.69x2.69x10.27x3.62% 12.46B
10.83x0.67x6.82x8.55% 4.92B
16.52x0.42x2.51x6.78% 2.64B
9.91x2.51x7.45x7.9% 2.29B
15x0.37x5.05x4.84% 1.89B
Average 14.69x 2.70x 8.44x 5.79% 32.14B
Weighted average by Cap. 15.55x 5.10x 10.95x 5.15%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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