Company Valuation: Japan Tobacco, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 4,314,758 3,729,458 4,121,325 4,722,880 6,470,988 7,467,974 - -
Change - -13.57% 10.51% 14.6% 37.01% 15.41% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 4,932,101 4,208,419 4,318,216 4,814,306 6,573,041 7,320,682 7,167,568 7,015,995
Change - -14.67% 2.61% 11.49% 36.53% 11.37% -2.09% -2.11%
P/E ratio 12.4x 12x 12.2x 10.7x 13.4x 15.1x 14.2x 13.3x
PBR 1.62x 1.48x 1.47x 1.33x 1.69x 1.85x 1.79x 1.72x
PEG - -1.1x 1.34x 0.3x 1.5x 5.65x 2.21x 1.98x
Capitalization / Revenue 1.98x 1.78x 1.77x 1.78x 2.28x 2.41x 2.4x 2.25x
EV / Revenue 2.27x 2.01x 1.86x 1.81x 2.31x 2.36x 2.3x 2.11x
EV / EBITDA 7.19x 6.49x 6.29x 5.64x 7.71x 8.31x 7.9x 7.41x
EV / EBIT 9.82x 8.97x 8.65x 7.37x 9.78x 10.5x 9.78x 9.04x
EV / FCF 12.1x 10.2x 8.61x 12.6x 14.9x 14.6x 14.4x 13.3x
FCF Yield 8.29% 9.77% 11.6% 7.93% 6.72% 6.84% 6.94% 7.49%
Dividend per Share 2 154 154 140 188 194 201.8 217.7 229.2
Rate of return 6.33% 7.33% 6.03% 7.07% 5.32% 4.8% 5.18% 5.45%
EPS 2 196 174.9 190.8 249.4 271.7 279 296.9 316.9
Distribution rate 78.6% 88.1% 73.4% 75.4% 71.4% 72.4% 73.3% 72.3%
Net sales 1 2,175,626 2,092,561 2,324,838 2,657,832 2,841,077 3,100,144 3,111,391 3,324,659
EBITDA 1 686,207 648,708 686,078 853,226 852,062 881,151 906,739 946,438
EBIT 1 502,355 469,054 499,021 653,575 672,410 700,061 733,086 776,036
Net income 1 348,190 310,253 338,490 442,716 482,288 494,404 524,696 558,224
Net Debt 1 617,343 478,961 196,891 91,426 102,053 -147,292 -300,406 -451,978
Reference price 2 2,432.50 2,102.00 2,322.50 2,661.00 3,645.00 4,206.00 4,206.00 4,206.00
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,773,796 1,774,243 1,774,521 1,774,851 1,775,305 1,775,553 - -
Announcement Date 06/02/20 09/02/21 14/02/22 14/02/23 13/02/24 - - -
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

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P/E ratio EV / Sales EV / EBITDA Yield (Y) Capi. ($)
15.08x2.36x8.31x+4.80%52.24B
8.75x5.61x9.34x+7.45%92.36B
29.53x8.6x23.13x+2.88%76.23B
13.1x1.99x8.24x+4.85%9.21B
11.59x0.62x7.9x+9.56%5.49B
17.17x2.81x19.61x+0.59%2.15B
11.6x0.37x6.03x+7.33%2B
5.91x - - +13.33%1.49B
8.62x1.45x6.61x+7.95%1.26B
Average 13.48x 2.97x 11.15x +6.53% 26.94B
Weighted average by Cap. 16.96x 5.51x 13.45x +5.37%
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Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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