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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 5,830.00 JPY | +0.09% |
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+4.00% | +3.37% |
| 12-29 | Japan's Nikkei falls as tech stocks track Wall Street lower | RE |
| 12-18 | Italy raids illegal tobacco factory, seizes 27 tonnes of cigarettes | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Japan Tobacco Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 2,092,561 | 2,324,838 | 2,657,832 | 2,841,077 | 3,149,759 | 3,424,538 | 3,643,475 | 3,807,607 |
| Change | - | 11.1% | 14.32% | 6.89% | 10.86% | 8.72% | 6.39% | 4.5% |
| EBITDA 1 | 648,708 | 686,078 | 853,226 | 852,062 | 877,040 | 1,025,316 | 1,099,512 | 1,163,551 |
| Change | - | 5.76% | 24.36% | -0.14% | 2.93% | 16.91% | 7.24% | 5.82% |
| EBIT 1 | 469,054 | 499,021 | 653,575 | 672,410 | 697,203 | 838,788 | 920,759 | 994,793 |
| Change | - | 6.39% | 30.97% | 2.88% | 3.69% | 20.31% | 9.77% | 8.04% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -61,344 | -45,645 | -91,272 | -95,222 | -89,695 | -88,325 | -86,575 | -81,075 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 420,063 | 472,390 | 593,450 | 621,601 | 607,509 | 748,639 | 834,631 | 915,332 |
| Change | - | 12.46% | 25.63% | 4.74% | -2.27% | 23.23% | 11.49% | 9.67% |
| Net income 1 | 310,253 | 338,490 | 442,716 | 482,288 | 463,369 | 551,227 | 618,889 | 679,955 |
| Change | - | 9.1% | 30.79% | 8.94% | -3.92% | 18.96% | 12.27% | 9.87% |
| Announcement Date | 09/02/21 | 14/02/22 | 14/02/23 | 13/02/24 | 13/02/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Japan Tobacco Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 478,961 | 196,891 | 91,426 | 102,053 | 463,553 | 635,367 | 557,643 | 466,584 |
| Change | - | -58.89% | -53.57% | 11.62% | 354.23% | 37.06% | -12.23% | -16.33% |
| Announcement Date | 09/02/21 | 14/02/22 | 14/02/23 | 13/02/24 | 13/02/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Japan Tobacco Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 108,620 | 86,350 | 101,044 | 125,361 | 150,691 | 168,724 | 167,568 | 166,909 |
| Change | - | -20.5% | 17.02% | 24.07% | 20.21% | 11.97% | -0.69% | -0.39% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 411,213 | 501,410 | 381,977 | 441,653 | 479,320 | 466,287 | 631,583 | 696,001 |
| Change | - | 21.93% | -23.82% | 15.62% | 8.53% | -2.72% | 35.45% | 10.2% |
| Announcement Date | 09/02/21 | 14/02/22 | 14/02/23 | 13/02/24 | 13/02/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Japan Tobacco Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 31% | 29.51% | 32.1% | 29.99% | 27.84% | 29.94% | 30.18% | 30.56% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 22.42% | 21.46% | 24.59% | 23.67% | 22.14% | 24.49% | 25.27% | 26.13% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 20.07% | 20.32% | 22.33% | 21.88% | 19.29% | 21.86% | 22.91% | 24.04% |
| Net margin (%) | 14.83% | 14.56% | 16.66% | 16.98% | 14.71% | 16.1% | 16.99% | 17.86% |
| FCF margin (%) | 19.65% | 21.57% | 14.37% | 15.55% | 15.22% | 13.62% | 17.33% | 18.28% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 132.54% | 148.13% | 86.28% | 91.57% | 103.44% | 84.59% | 102.05% | 102.36% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 7.68% | 8.47% | 9.63% | 8.99% | 7.81% | 6.85% | 7.45% | 8.02% |
| ROE | 12% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 4.7% | 14.16% | 15.27% | 16.32% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.74x | 0.29x | 0.11x | 0.12x | 0.53x | 0.62x | 0.51x | 0.4x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 1.16x | 0.39x | 0.24x | 0.23x | 0.97x | 1.36x | 0.88x | 0.67x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 5.19% | 3.71% | 3.8% | 4.41% | 4.78% | 4.93% | 4.6% | 4.38% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 16.74% | 12.59% | 11.84% | 14.71% | 17.18% | 16.46% | 15.24% | 14.34% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 26.41% | 17.22% | 26.45% | 28.38% | 31.44% | 36.18% | 26.53% | 23.98% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 276.1 | 296.2 | 362 | 372.9 | 354.8 | 381 | 398.4 | 427.1 |
| Change | - | 7.26% | 22.21% | 3.02% | -4.84% | 7.36% | 4.58% | 7.21% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 154 | 140 | 188 | 194 | 194 | 228.9 | 255.5 | 279.7 |
| Change | - | -9.09% | 34.29% | 3.19% | 0% | 18% | 11.63% | 9.45% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 1,422 | 1,583 | 1,995 | 2,157 | 2,121 | 2,248 | 2,354 | 2,458 |
| Change | - | 11.34% | 26% | 8.16% | -1.67% | 5.98% | 4.71% | 4.44% |
| EPS 1 | 174.9 | 190.8 | 249.4 | 271.7 | 261 | 311.5 | 349.7 | 384.4 |
| Change | - | 9.08% | 30.77% | 8.92% | -3.94% | 19.37% | 12.26% | 9.92% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,774,243 | 1,774,521 | 1,774,851 | 1,775,305 | 1,775,590 | 1,775,388 | 1,775,388 | 1,775,388 |
| Announcement Date | 09/02/21 | 14/02/22 | 14/02/23 | 13/02/24 | 13/02/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 18.7x | 16.7x |
| PBR | 2.59x | 2.47x |
| EV / Sales | 3.21x | 2.99x |
| Yield | 3.93% | 4.39% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Global
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Quality
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Japan Tobacco Inc.
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