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Delayed
Other stock markets
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 6,180.00 JPY | +2.01% |
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+4.09% | +9.57% |
| 05-11 | Japan Shares Fall as US-Iran Deadlock Fuels Energy Supply Fears; Nintendo Tumbles 8% | MT |
| 05-11 | Mitsubishi Motors, Japan Tobacco Gain While Nintendo Slides After Earnings | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Japan Tobacco Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 2,324,838 | 2,657,832 | 2,841,077 | 3,149,759 | 3,467,675 | 3,756,179 | 3,930,945 | 4,121,697 |
| Change | - | 14.32% | 6.89% | 10.86% | 10.09% | 8.32% | 4.65% | 4.85% |
| EBITDA 1 | 686,078 | 853,226 | 852,062 | 877,040 | 1,062,937 | 1,149,631 | 1,225,729 | 1,294,917 |
| Change | - | 24.36% | -0.14% | 2.93% | 21.2% | 8.16% | 6.62% | 5.64% |
| EBIT 1 | 499,021 | 653,575 | 672,410 | 697,203 | 867,038 | 959,480 | 1,037,267 | 1,111,876 |
| Change | - | 30.97% | 2.88% | 3.69% | 24.36% | 10.66% | 8.11% | 7.19% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -45,645 | -91,272 | -95,222 | -89,695 | -195,194 | -119,000 | -101,575 | -100,325 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 472,390 | 593,450 | 621,601 | 607,509 | 739,786 | 853,686 | 933,445 | 1,011,584 |
| Change | - | 25.63% | 4.74% | -2.27% | 21.77% | 15.4% | 9.34% | 8.37% |
| Net income 1 | 338,490 | 442,716 | 482,288 | 463,369 | 510,175 | 600,961 | 670,609 | 730,947 |
| Change | - | 30.79% | 8.94% | -3.92% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 11.59% | 9% |
| Announcement Date | 14/02/22 | 14/02/23 | 13/02/24 | 13/02/25 | 12/02/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Japan Tobacco Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 196,891 | 91,426 | 102,053 | 463,553 | 847,553 | 742,227 | 649,587 | 546,507 |
| Change | - | -53.57% | 11.62% | 354.23% | 82.84% | -12.43% | -12.48% | -15.87% |
| Announcement Date | 14/02/22 | 14/02/23 | 13/02/24 | 13/02/25 | 12/02/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Japan Tobacco Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 86,350 | 101,044 | 125,361 | 150,691 | 155,138 | 168,449 | 169,708 | 170,766 |
| Change | - | 17.02% | 24.07% | 20.21% | 2.95% | 8.58% | 0.75% | 0.62% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 501,410 | 381,977 | 441,653 | 479,320 | 358,918 | 451,689 | 629,124 | 681,452 |
| Change | - | -23.82% | 15.62% | 8.53% | -25.12% | 25.85% | 39.28% | 8.32% |
| Announcement Date | 14/02/22 | 14/02/23 | 13/02/24 | 13/02/25 | 12/02/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Japan Tobacco Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 29.51% | 32.1% | 29.99% | 27.84% | 30.65% | 30.61% | 31.18% | 31.42% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 21.46% | 24.59% | 23.67% | 22.14% | 25% | 25.54% | 26.39% | 26.98% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 20.32% | 22.33% | 21.88% | 19.29% | 21.33% | 22.73% | 23.75% | 24.54% |
| Net margin (%) | 14.56% | 16.66% | 16.98% | 14.71% | 14.71% | 16% | 17.06% | 17.73% |
| FCF margin (%) | 21.57% | 14.37% | 15.55% | 15.22% | 10.35% | 12.03% | 16% | 16.53% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 148.13% | 86.28% | 91.57% | 103.44% | 70.35% | 75.16% | 93.81% | 93.23% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 8.47% | 9.63% | 8.99% | 7.81% | 8.81% | 7.52% | 8.08% | 8.64% |
| ROE | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 4.7% | 13% | 14.67% | 15.79% | 16.52% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.29x | 0.11x | 0.12x | 0.53x | 0.8x | 0.65x | 0.53x | 0.42x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.39x | 0.24x | 0.23x | 0.97x | 2.36x | 1.64x | 1.03x | 0.8x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 3.71% | 3.8% | 4.41% | 4.78% | 4.47% | 4.48% | 4.32% | 4.14% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 12.59% | 11.84% | 14.71% | 17.18% | 14.6% | 14.65% | 13.85% | 13.19% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 17.22% | 26.45% | 28.38% | 31.44% | 43.22% | 37.29% | 26.98% | 25.06% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 296.2 | 362 | 372.9 | 354.8 | 397.7 | 344.5 | 446.6 | 475.8 |
| Change | - | 22.21% | 3.02% | -4.84% | 12.08% | -13.38% | 29.62% | 6.55% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 140 | 188 | 194 | 194 | 234 | 250 | 275.4 | 301 |
| Change | - | 34.29% | 3.19% | 0% | 20.62% | 6.84% | 10.17% | 9.3% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 1,583 | 1,995 | 2,157 | 2,121 | 2,302 | 2,388 | 2,486 | 2,593 |
| Change | - | 26% | 8.16% | -1.67% | 8.52% | 3.75% | 4.08% | 4.3% |
| EPS 1 | 190.8 | 249.4 | 271.7 | 261 | 287.4 | 338.5 | 378.1 | 413 |
| Change | - | 30.77% | 8.92% | -3.94% | 10.11% | 17.79% | 11.71% | 9.21% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,774,521 | 1,774,851 | 1,775,305 | 1,775,590 | 1,775,388 | 1,775,242 | 1,775,242 | 1,775,242 |
| Announcement Date | 14/02/22 | 14/02/23 | 13/02/24 | 13/02/25 | 12/02/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 17.9x | 16x |
| PBR | 2.54x | 2.44x |
| EV / Sales | 3.06x | 2.9x |
| Yield | 4.13% | 4.55% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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