Projected Income Statement: Indian Oil Corporation Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Indian Oil Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 948,051 1,122,075 1,249,209 1,071,565 1,473,644 1,202,712 1,422,268 1,324,017
Change - 18.36% 11.33% -14.22% 37.52% -18.39% 3.86% -6.91%
Announcement Date 19/05/21 17/05/22 16/05/23 30/04/24 30/04/25 18/05/26 - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Indian Oil Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 238,332 228,038 326,001 371,754 348,499 283,627 314,036 313,798
Change - -4.32% 42.96% 14.03% -6.26% -18.61% -8.44% -0.08%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 260,286 17,666 -29,564 339,233 -1,507 477,794 -88,778 197,651
Change - -93.21% -267.35% 1,247.45% -100.44% 31,813.36% -133.93% 322.64%
Announcement Date 19/05/21 17/05/22 16/05/23 30/04/24 30/04/25 18/05/26 - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Indian Oil Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.48% 8.1% 3.65% 9.74% 4.75% 9.82% 4.85% 6.34%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.47% 6.01% 2.08% 7.69% 2.53% 7.48% 2.44% 3.99%
EBT Margin (%) 8.45% 5.82% 1.79% 7.38% 2.25% 7.33% 2.09% 3.48%
Net margin (%) 5.95% 4.26% 1.16% 5.38% 1.79% 5.37% 0.96% 2.65%
FCF margin (%) 7.15% 0.3% -0.35% 4.37% -0.02% 6.09% -0.96% 2.18%
FCF / Net Income (%) 120.29% 7.04% -30.19% 81.29% -1.11% 113.5% -99.65% 82.4%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.32% 6.56% 2.3% 9.03% 2.45% 8.13% 2.27% 3.84%
ROE 20.88% 20.25% 7.17% 25.83% 6.39% 20.74% 5.07% 10.96%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.27x 2.35x 4.07x 1.42x 4.09x 1.56x 3.16x 2.31x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.64x 63.52x -42.25x 3.16x -978.13x 2.52x -16.02x 6.7x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.55% 3.87% 3.87% 4.79% 4.6% 3.62% 3.39% 3.47%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 57.04% 47.76% 106.19% 49.18% 96.83% 36.81% 69.88% 54.68%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 91.57% 1,290.87% -1,102.7% 109.59% -23,131.51% 59.36% -353.73% 158.76%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 36.21 17.84 21.52 51.62 25.19 55.29 17.2 35.71
Change - -50.73% 20.65% 139.85% -51.21% 119.54% -46.03% 107.61%
Dividend per Share 1 8 8.4 3 12 3 8.124 3.404 6.236
Change - 5% -64.29% 300% -75% 170.8% -58.1% 83.19%
Book Value Per Share 1 81.21 95.69 101.5 129.9 135.4 159.4 162.5 175.2
Change - 17.83% 6.02% 28.02% 4.22% 17.77% 7.05% 7.81%
EPS 1 15.71 18.23 7.11 30.3 9.87 30.57 6.638 17.28
Change - 15.99% -60.99% 326.16% -67.43% 209.73% -73.64% 160.34%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,771,561 13,771,561 13,771,561 13,771,561 13,771,561 13,771,561 13,771,561 13,771,561
Announcement Date 19/05/21 17/05/22 16/05/23 30/04/24 30/04/25 18/05/26 - -
1INR
Estimates
2026 2027 *
P/E ratio 4.43x 20.8x
PBR 0.85x 0.85x
EV / Sales 0.39x 0.36x
Yield 5.88% 2.46%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
31
Last Close Price
138.13INR
Average target price
157.87INR
Spread / Average Target
+14.29%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. IOC Stock
  4. Financials Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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